Sydney +14.5
Sydney are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings...and going back to 1997, they have played 3 games at Perth...Sydney are 2-1 SU and the loss was by 13 points (in 2002 with Eagles as heavy 1.33 fav's).
Going back to last season, West Coast have won only 2 of their last 9 games...by 3 and 7 points.
Sydney are 3-4 this season, with their
biggest defeat being by 13 points.
Both attacks are very even, but Sydney has a huge edge in defense, and the midfield.
West Coast have allowed 381 inside 50's so far....3rd worst behind Hawthorn and the Bulldogs. They are very loose, which is bad news for the defense who have allowed a goal every 3.34 times the ball enters the 50....3rd worst behind Adelaide and he Kangaroos.
Carlton +43.5
If we discount last year's meeting (when Carlton were terrible!..Did I say that last week too?
)..Brisbane have never beaten the Blues by more than 35 points in a home and away match.
Brisbane have only won 3 of their last 17 home roster games by more than this...They commonly tend to coast when they have the game won...rarely going for the kill.
Lynch out, and history shows that Brisbane do struggle to kick goals without him in the side.
Not suggesting Brisbane will lose this game, but too many points on offer.
{EDIT: Even in last years game which Brisbane won by 77, they kicked 9 goals to 2 in the last 1/4...made it look much worse than it was.}
Port Adelaide -14.5
Kanga's have a GREAT head-to-head record v. Port....But none of the games have been played in the dome. Port have won their last 7 straight games indoors (going back to 2001) and the last 6 in a row have been by 15 or more.
Kanga's have taken a couple of beltings in the dome this year.
They are 4th worst for allowing inside 50's and this is BAD news given that Port have the most efficient forward line in the comp by a long way....They have a shot at goal every 1.65 times the ball enters their 50!!
(2 words...Warren Tredrea!)
This game wil be a shoot-out, and I don't think the Kanga's have the guns to keep up.
Doggies +12.5
Just got a great line on this one!!
Love the game being at the MCG, not the dome. Going back to 2001, the Dogs are 6-6 at the 'G, but only 2 of the 6 losses have been by more than this number.
Richmond are still crap! Beating Hawthorn was nothing...good win in Sydney last week, but the conditions certainly helped.
Not saying the Dogs are any good either!!..(esp. with Harris out
), but I'll take 12 points against a crappy Tiger team any time.
Hope everyone has a solid weekend.
Any thought on Friday night, beast??
