futures:
Rays win AL Pennant +480 0.5/2.4
series rays > Rangers +148 1.5/2.22
series tigers > Yankees +133 0.75/1
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G1 rays +163 1/1.63
G1 tigers +122 2/2.44
G1 tigers ov3.5 +107 0.5/0.53
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Hoping for Rays over Tigers, obviously. Teams met 7 times during the regular season with Tig's scoring 26 to Rays 16. Rays have been a better road club than Det and I'm also calling for Rays SP's to be better lined up for that series than Tigers, who I expect to go 5 with the Yanks which means no Verlander for game 1 (will take my chances even without). Rays would match up okay with Yanks, too, IMO.
Rays will see a lot of lefties in their series with Tex and they've good success vs; higher OPS vs L than R and they're also 31-19 on the year vs L (14-6 Home, 17-13 road). Wilson my only concern in the rotation; Holland had a great stretch a while back but has cooled off, Harrison is also quite inconsistent and Lewis is quite beatable. Shields has been dynamite, I greatly prefer Moore to Niemann (stick 'em in the pen) and both Hellickson and Price (Price more in years past) have been very good at home and should work #'s 3 & 4. Call me crazier but I say Rays in 4.
Beyond Sabathia, the Yanks SP's don't scare me right now, including Nova who has worked way more innings, already, than past years and will require BP help to complete games. Teams met 7 times this year with Det scoring 36 to Yanks 33. Tigers much hotter at the plate including 7-day OPS of .935 vs Yanks .686 or, for a longer view, Tig's Sept OPS of .893 scoring 6.65 per game (and 38 HR in 26 games) to Yanks' .722 scoring 4.82 per game (34 HR in 28). I'm hoping that the Yanks are down 2 games to 1 and start C.C. on 3 days rest on Tuesday. Calling Tigers in 5.
You can see my Moore schpeel in the 'Moore...?' thread or just check his early big's experience and the numbers behind his #15 prospect rating (even before a stellar season, including a no-hitter). Rays have trouble with Wilson, Rangers are very hot and they also love home cooking. I'm just a sucker for up-and-coming hottie pitching prospects. Latest on wind is left-to-right at 10mph, instead of the earlier stronger shit out to right which may somewhat deter the Rangers preferred method of scoring. Mind you, Rays hit 18 homers over their past 7 as opposed to 17 by Tex over their past 7, and only the Rangers got to do that in Arlington.
Tigers hit .320 off of Sabathia in 2 meetings this season, C.C. going 0-1 (club 1-1). Tigers hit a little better vs L than R though not as much as some past recent years (17-10 on the road to L in '011). Despite minor blippage in Verlander's last, I might take 'em over Sandy Koufax right now (at least the under). C.C.'s been performing well to close to the season but he has been giving up a lot of hits. Tigers need this opener a lot more than the Yanks do, IMO (not that rat-a-tat-that is such a factor). Got some Tigers that have really hit Sabathia well, as well, especially batting champ Cabrera with his 1.500 or so OPS vs in 16 AB's, I believe (my freakin' usual sites for batter vs pitcher are presently funked, perhaps due to flippage to playoffs, but I was checking this earlier).
Also have a 7mph wind blowing out to left-center expected in this hitter's park so I think that Tigers can plate at least 4. Crew chief Gerry Davis should be behind home plate and he prefers the overs.
I wouldn't be surprised to see any of these lines improve before gametime, but I've been wrong after.
(Like all of us, I'm always right before)
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/19FFbmbZ3bc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
Some recently released Buckethead.
A cool track.
Good way to kick things off.
GL
Rays win AL Pennant +480 0.5/2.4
series rays > Rangers +148 1.5/2.22
series tigers > Yankees +133 0.75/1
-
G1 rays +163 1/1.63
G1 tigers +122 2/2.44
G1 tigers ov3.5 +107 0.5/0.53
-
Hoping for Rays over Tigers, obviously. Teams met 7 times during the regular season with Tig's scoring 26 to Rays 16. Rays have been a better road club than Det and I'm also calling for Rays SP's to be better lined up for that series than Tigers, who I expect to go 5 with the Yanks which means no Verlander for game 1 (will take my chances even without). Rays would match up okay with Yanks, too, IMO.
Rays will see a lot of lefties in their series with Tex and they've good success vs; higher OPS vs L than R and they're also 31-19 on the year vs L (14-6 Home, 17-13 road). Wilson my only concern in the rotation; Holland had a great stretch a while back but has cooled off, Harrison is also quite inconsistent and Lewis is quite beatable. Shields has been dynamite, I greatly prefer Moore to Niemann (stick 'em in the pen) and both Hellickson and Price (Price more in years past) have been very good at home and should work #'s 3 & 4. Call me crazier but I say Rays in 4.
Beyond Sabathia, the Yanks SP's don't scare me right now, including Nova who has worked way more innings, already, than past years and will require BP help to complete games. Teams met 7 times this year with Det scoring 36 to Yanks 33. Tigers much hotter at the plate including 7-day OPS of .935 vs Yanks .686 or, for a longer view, Tig's Sept OPS of .893 scoring 6.65 per game (and 38 HR in 26 games) to Yanks' .722 scoring 4.82 per game (34 HR in 28). I'm hoping that the Yanks are down 2 games to 1 and start C.C. on 3 days rest on Tuesday. Calling Tigers in 5.
You can see my Moore schpeel in the 'Moore...?' thread or just check his early big's experience and the numbers behind his #15 prospect rating (even before a stellar season, including a no-hitter). Rays have trouble with Wilson, Rangers are very hot and they also love home cooking. I'm just a sucker for up-and-coming hottie pitching prospects. Latest on wind is left-to-right at 10mph, instead of the earlier stronger shit out to right which may somewhat deter the Rangers preferred method of scoring. Mind you, Rays hit 18 homers over their past 7 as opposed to 17 by Tex over their past 7, and only the Rangers got to do that in Arlington.
Tigers hit .320 off of Sabathia in 2 meetings this season, C.C. going 0-1 (club 1-1). Tigers hit a little better vs L than R though not as much as some past recent years (17-10 on the road to L in '011). Despite minor blippage in Verlander's last, I might take 'em over Sandy Koufax right now (at least the under). C.C.'s been performing well to close to the season but he has been giving up a lot of hits. Tigers need this opener a lot more than the Yanks do, IMO (not that rat-a-tat-that is such a factor). Got some Tigers that have really hit Sabathia well, as well, especially batting champ Cabrera with his 1.500 or so OPS vs in 16 AB's, I believe (my freakin' usual sites for batter vs pitcher are presently funked, perhaps due to flippage to playoffs, but I was checking this earlier).
Also have a 7mph wind blowing out to left-center expected in this hitter's park so I think that Tigers can plate at least 4. Crew chief Gerry Davis should be behind home plate and he prefers the overs.
I wouldn't be surprised to see any of these lines improve before gametime, but I've been wrong after.
(Like all of us, I'm always right before)
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/19FFbmbZ3bc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
Some recently released Buckethead.
A cool track.
Good way to kick things off.
GL
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