Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
- Thread starter PaulW
- Start date
Round 1 play (2pts):
Raphael Jacquelin to beat John Parry -111 @ Paddy Power [available generally]
Jacquelin had a poor final round last year, but he showed his links credentials for three rounds when he finished each round in 2nd, 1st and 2nd place respectively. In better form than Parry and simply a better player - he ranks almost 200 places higher in the World Rankings - he looks more likely to contend this week.
Raphael Jacquelin to beat John Parry -111 @ Paddy Power [available generally]
Jacquelin had a poor final round last year, but he showed his links credentials for three rounds when he finished each round in 2nd, 1st and 2nd place respectively. In better form than Parry and simply a better player - he ranks almost 200 places higher in the World Rankings - he looks more likely to contend this week.
Outrights:
Luke Donald(28/1) e.w.
Matthew Fitzpatrick(33/1) e.w.
David Howell(60/1) e.w.
Peter Hanson(125/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(140/1) e.w.
Bradley Dredge(150/1) e.w.
GL
Luke Donald(28/1) e.w.
Matthew Fitzpatrick(33/1) e.w.
David Howell(60/1) e.w.
Peter Hanson(125/1) e.w.
Tom Lewis(140/1) e.w.
Bradley Dredge(150/1) e.w.
GL
Round 4 play (2pts):
Brad Fritsch to beat Thorbjorn Olesen +138 @ SkyBet [also available @ 5Dimes and Paddy Power]
Olesen holds a three-shot lead at the end of day three, so it is a standard play to oppose the leader, though the odds are rarely so good to do so. He has previously led a European Tour event after 54 holes and it was with a 3-shot lead after 54 holes on each occasion: in the 2012 Sicilian Open, he made a nervous start, duffing his chip at the first hole and walked off the green now tied for the lead, but won by one shot when Chris Wood played a poor penultimate hole; in the 2012 Lyoness Open, it wasn't until early on the back nine that he was caught, but he played poorly throughout and finished in 5th place and five shots behind Bernd Wiesberger; in the 2014 Perth International, he did go on to win, but his lead had dropped to a single shot by the back nine and he benefitted hugely by no-one putting him under any real pressure - none of the top-6 at the start of the day shot lower than 71. Fritsch has shown good form recently - five top-30 finishes in his last six starts - and can certainly benefit if Olesen stutters under the added pressure tomorrow.
Brad Fritsch to beat Thorbjorn Olesen +138 @ SkyBet [also available @ 5Dimes and Paddy Power]
Olesen holds a three-shot lead at the end of day three, so it is a standard play to oppose the leader, though the odds are rarely so good to do so. He has previously led a European Tour event after 54 holes and it was with a 3-shot lead after 54 holes on each occasion: in the 2012 Sicilian Open, he made a nervous start, duffing his chip at the first hole and walked off the green now tied for the lead, but won by one shot when Chris Wood played a poor penultimate hole; in the 2012 Lyoness Open, it wasn't until early on the back nine that he was caught, but he played poorly throughout and finished in 5th place and five shots behind Bernd Wiesberger; in the 2014 Perth International, he did go on to win, but his lead had dropped to a single shot by the back nine and he benefitted hugely by no-one putting him under any real pressure - none of the top-6 at the start of the day shot lower than 71. Fritsch has shown good form recently - five top-30 finishes in his last six starts - and can certainly benefit if Olesen stutters under the added pressure tomorrow.
