I like the under 130 in the Gtown/ohio st game as strong a play as I've had in the tournament. The line is moving away from me, but it seems like alot of people like the under as well, am I misreading this.
Heres the numbers I come up with for the game. My numbers show the total @ 124.4. The line opened @ 127.5 and has steadily climbed. Also the possessions per team Gtwon 61 ohio st 67 average to 64. This is a very low number for a total that high (130). I just don't see value going over in this game, but I've been wrong before.
The last two opponents these two teams played actually got the tempo they wanted. North Carolina averaged over 70 possesions per game, and they controlled the game for over 35 minutes. Memphis averaged 73 possessions per game so they played the up tempo game as well. I just don't see ohio st or georgetown playing out of character and changing their pace of play. The defense will be tougher in the half court, and the transition layups should be few and far between, as opposed to the last two opponents.
Off Def poss 03/31/07 overall last 5 Line Total Mytotal Poss
116% 94% 61 GEORGETOWN - Current Season Performance 88.8 91.4
113% 91% 67 OHIO ST - Current Season Performance 87.5 1.3 86.9 4.5 0 130 124.4 64
Heres the numbers I come up with for the game. My numbers show the total @ 124.4. The line opened @ 127.5 and has steadily climbed. Also the possessions per team Gtwon 61 ohio st 67 average to 64. This is a very low number for a total that high (130). I just don't see value going over in this game, but I've been wrong before.
The last two opponents these two teams played actually got the tempo they wanted. North Carolina averaged over 70 possesions per game, and they controlled the game for over 35 minutes. Memphis averaged 73 possessions per game so they played the up tempo game as well. I just don't see ohio st or georgetown playing out of character and changing their pace of play. The defense will be tougher in the half court, and the transition layups should be few and far between, as opposed to the last two opponents.
Off Def poss 03/31/07 overall last 5 Line Total Mytotal Poss
116% 94% 61 GEORGETOWN - Current Season Performance 88.8 91.4
113% 91% 67 OHIO ST - Current Season Performance 87.5 1.3 86.9 4.5 0 130 124.4 64
