Analysis finals...good read

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Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson combined for only 20 points on 8-for-27 shooting in Game 1 of the NBA Finals on Thursday, and yet the Golden State Warriors rolled the Cleveland Cavaliers 104-89 just the same. When something like that happens, there are obvious reasons: Golden State?s bench played out of its mind, and Cleveland?s offense fell in a hole. Those things will probably even out as the series goes on, but the Cavs should be more concerned that, on a night when the Warriors? biggest guns went quiet, the holes in their defense were already glaring.

Coming into the series, the basic bargain of this season?s Cavaliers compared to last year?s was an improved offense producing enough to cover for an inferior defense. The Cavs? shots didn?t fall in Game 1 as often as they normally do, and a lot of the shots that went in for the Warriors? bench were absurdities ? Leandro Barbosa fading away to his weak-hand baseline isn?t on the scouting report. But Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving, the two Cleveland stars playing in this series who combined to miss all but one game of last season?s Finals, were worked over exactly as expected.

On 18 shot attempts in which Irving was the nearest defender, the Warriors had an effective field goal percentage (eFG%) of 66.7, according to data from the NBA?s player-tracking cameras. On the 13 shots in which Love was the nearest defender, the Warriors had an eFG% of 61.5. Both of those numbers are very bad. There?s some margin for error on these plays ? for instance, the cameras will sometimes assign a ?nearest defender? who is guarding a different offensive player because the shooter?s defender was so badly lost ? but the underlying plays looked just as terrible.

rest here....https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/kevin-love-and-kyrie-irving-got-eaten-up-against-the-warriors/
 

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Before facing the defending champion Golden State Warriors in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, the Cleveland Cavaliers had at least one thing going for them: a sterling postseason r?sum?. Although their hopes of a fo?-fo?-fo?-fo? were dashed in the conference finals, the Cavs cruised through the playoffs in only two more games than the minimum, compiling metrics along the way that helped Cleveland stand head and shoulders above the pack ? even after accounting1 for the weakness of the Eastern Conference:


In particular, Cleveland?s postseason offense was off the charts. Before Thursday?s game, the Cavs had been scoring 14.8 more points per 100 possessions than would have been expected from an average NBA team against the same slate of playoff opponents. No other team was even close to that level of offensive execution ? the second-best playoff offense belonged to the Oklahoma City Thunder, at +5.8; the difference between Cleveland and OKC was roughly the same as the difference between OKC and the 12th-ranked Dallas Mavericks.

The Cavs protected the ball pretty well and did a good job on the offensive glass, but the main component of their prodigious scoring output was a spell of outrageous shooting accuracy. And that?s what the Warriors? defense short-circuited when Golden State defeated Cleveland in the Finals opener Thursday night.

rest here....https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-cavs-shooting-went-to-hell-in-game-1/
 
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