Another Biggen

[bigruss50]

Too many more nights like last night and Im gonna be forced to quit my day job. The dookies flexed their muscles as expected, msu protected their home court, tulsa made a game of it on the big island, and the ducks thoroughly embarassed the cougars.

Yesterday 4-0 ATS +11 units

Overall 15-3 ATS +27 units

I might be laying low tonight. None of these games are absolutely jumping out at me right now so Im not gonna push anything too hard. I may throw around a couple units as the evening nears but Im torn on the Cincy game. Im sold on the bearcats being a true powerhouse but Marquette hasnt totally convinced me yet. That being said 10 points is an awful lot and I have a hard time laying that many in this one. I'll give it some thought today and pop in later with my verdict.

 

[bigruss50]

early leans

early leans

I came to the conclusion that there's no way Im laying off these games tonight. Im gonna do some more research but Im leaning towards these early:
Princeton, Iona and San Fran

Back later with reasons why

 

[bigruss50]

small play

small play

Princeton -3.5 hosting Yale for 1 unit

While both teams really want this game bad, I think Princeton NEEDS it a little more. With a loss, the tigers would fall to 2 games back, with only 4 to play (3 of those are road games). With a win, the teams would be in a deadlock atop the ivy standings. According to the Daily Princetonian, the players realize this game is of UBER importance. Im assuming thats a good thing. The tigers fell by 10 @ yale in the first meeting but that was the result of 19% from behind the arc, not good for a team that lives by the three and dies by the three. I dont see them shooting that bad again. If they can manage 30% or greater, they should cover this one. This is a small play as the tigers win by 6

 

[THE KOD]

bigruss

I see you got San Fran . I looked at this game and immediately felt that Gonzaga will take them on San Frans home court. Gonzaga won the first game handily. I am not sure what the motivation is for Gonzaga and how big a game it is for either team. Any more info you can give me on this particular game I will be very interested in...

Any consideration for a moneyline play on San Fran ? Do you think they got a chance of winning ? or just covering ...

Thanks

Scott-Atlanta

 

[Unicorn]

Nice week Big Russ. I see what you're saying about Princeton but Yale has proven they're up to challenge each week. And they might need this a little more than we think as Penn is on deck.

Is Ptown Palentine, Ill? I went to college and played FB in Ohio with a guy from there. Anyway, good luck...

 

[bigruss50]

san fran

san fran

Scott--

I've decided to stay stay away from the gonzaga game altogether. I havent had enough time to research these games today so I decided not to push my luck. Lyryan Russell, starting pg from the dons, blew out his acl three games ago and they have lost both since then. He was leading the conference in steals and pretty much ran the offense for the dons every time down court. Since his injury, they have lost two road games, by 33 to sd and 10 to santa clara. On the flip side, they have played extremely well at home, winning by an average of 17 ppg in their last 10. They always come to play at home and the zags are not a great road team. The zags are winning by an average of 7 ppg. I am confident that Gonzaga will not slip up tonight, with a conference title on the line, but I have a really bad feeling about them covering the spread. Thats why Im staying away. Dont let that scare you away from Gonzaga though, because if I was confident that the dons were going to cover, I would be laying some units on em. I just dont know enough about the game to make a great call on it.

 

[THE KOD]

ok bigruss

thanks ... I still am undecided also. Got to read some more posts and see what everyone else says ...

Scott-Atlanta