another chase system

cisco

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Rules for the 5 run program
4-Game Chase

What you want to do is bet against teams that do what they do best? Lose.

1) Use only teams with a winning percentage of .470 or lower.
2) Wait for that team to win a game by 5 runs or more.
3) Skip that teams next 2 games.
4) Bet against that team for up to the next 4 games.
5) If the team wins by 5 runs or more during the 4 game period, skip another 2 games.
6) If two <.470 teams are scheduled to meet each other next, you will not play that series.
7) The betting process is:
a) Place your wager (unit)
b) If you lose, bet what you lost, plus a unit.
b) Collect a unit when you win. The chase is finished.


Example #1
04/11 Cincy wins 9-2
Skip 2 games (4/12,4/13)
4/13 Cincy wins 8-3 before the 2 game skip has finished. Skip 4/14 & 4/15
4/16 Cincy loses GM #1 7-8 and you win one unit. The chase is over.

Example #2
4/17 Cincy wins 9-1
Skip 2 games (4/18, 4/19)
4/20 Cincy wins 12-8
4/21 Cincy wins 3-1
4/22 Cincy loses GM #3 0-11 and you win one unit. The chase is over.


Example #3
4/23 Cincy wins 11-0
Skip 2 games (4/24,4/25)
4/26 Cincy wins 5-0 GM #1
Skip another 2 games (4/28,4/29)
4/30 Cincy loses GM #2 2-3 and you win one unit. The chase is over.


I left #4 for you to do.





Team Log for Cincinnati
Date L Opponent N Score S/U Line Total O/U Starter Opp Starter
04/03 H Chicago Cubs 7-16 L +120 9 O A Harang (R) C Zambrano (R)
04/05 H Chicago Cubs 8-6 W -115 10? O B Arroyo (R) G Rusch (L)
04/06 H Pittsburgh N 6-5 W -140 10 O B Claussen (L) I Snell (R)
04/07 H Pittsburgh N 7-6 W -105 10 O E Milton (L) P Maholm (L)
04/08 H Pittsburgh 11-9 W -110 9? O A Harang (R) O Perez (L)
04/09 H Pittsburgh 3-5 L -140 10? U D Williams (L) V Santos (R)
04/11 A Chicago Cubs 9-2 W +115 12? U B Arroyo (R) G Rusch (L)
04/12 A Chicago Cubs 1-4 L +130 10? U B Claussen (L) G Maddux (R)
04/13 A Chicago Cubs 8-3 W +170 9? O E Milton (L) C Zambrano (R)
04/14 A St Louis N 1-0 W +180 8? U A Harang (R) C Carpenter (R)
04/15 A St Louis 3-9 L +140 9? O D Williams (L) S Ponson (R)
04/16 A St Louis 7-8 L +135 9 O B Arroyo (R) M Mulder (L)
04/17 H Florida N 9-1 W -180 10 P B Claussen (L) B Moehler (R)
04/18 H Florida N 6-12 L -160 9? O E Milton (L) J Vargas (L)
04/19 H Florida 9-8 W -120 8? O A Harang (R) D Willis (L)
04/20 A Milwaukee N 12-8 W +120 9? O D Williams (L) T Ohka (R)
04/21 A Milwaukee N 3-1 W +125 8? U B Arroyo (R) B Sheets (R)
04/22 A Milwaukee 0-11 L +120 9? O B Claussen (L) D Bush (R)
04/23 A Milwaukee 11-0 W +120 9? O A Harang (R) D Davis (L) Date L Opponent N Score S/U Line Total O/U Starter Opp Starter | Legend
04/24 A Washington N 4-2 W +125 9 U E Ramirez (R) L Hernandez (R)
04/25 A Washington N 6-5 W +110 9 O D Williams (L) B Traber (L)
04/26 A Washington 5-0 W -135 9 U B Arroyo (R) R Ortiz (R)
04/28 H Houston N 5-4 W +140 9 P B Claussen (L) R Oswalt (R)
04/29 H Houston 6-3 W +110 9 P A Harang (R) A Pettitte (L)
04/30 H Houston 2-3 L +100 9? U E Ramirez (R) T Buchholz (R)
05/01 H St Louis N 6-1 W -110 9 U B Arroyo (R) M Mulder (L)
05/02 H St Louis 3-2 W +115 10? U D Williams (L) S Ponson (R)
05/03 A Colorado N 0-3 L -105 11? U B Claussen (L) J Francis (L)
05/04 A Colorado N 7-1 W -130 11? U A Harang (R) J Fogg (R)
05/05 A Arizona N 1-7 L +140 8? U E Ramirez (R) B Webb (R)
05/06 A Arizona N 1-3 L -130 9? U B Arroyo (R) C Vargas (R)
05/07 A Arizona 9-8 W +115 10? O D Williams (L) O Hernandez (R)
05/09 H Washington N 1-7 L -150 9? U B Claussen (L) T Armas Jr (R)
 
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Jaxx

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Jan 5, 2003
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Have you back dated this system any Cisco?
I will be on your other system. I have watched it for 2 years and has done well. Hope it does again this year. Good luck!
Gotta love baseball!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

McVegas

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Two questions: 1. Do you start this right away (i.e.:team starts 0-3) or do you wait 20 or 30 games into the season? 2. What happens when you are skipping the two games and the team wins one of the games by 5 or more, do you skip two more or just ignore it?
 

cisco

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As soon as one of these teams win by 5 runs or more we start.
These teams cannot play each other in a chase.

Baltimore
Seattle
Tampa Bay
Kansas City
Colorado
Florida
Giants
Washington
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati


2) See Rule 5 & EX. 1 4/13. (Skip 2)
 
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McVegas

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Thanks for clearing that up. Do you add any teams to this list as the year goes on? (teams under .470)
 

cruisin

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cisco, I'm not familiar with your "other" system.
Will you be posting plays for the other system, and does it have a name also? Thx very much for your help here.
 

cisco

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crusin-
I don't know if I want to post up the plays. Maybe someone else can run it this year.
The "other" system is called the favorites system.
85-0 last two years as a four game chase. Year one was 44-1 as a three game chase and hit on game four.
That system lost once last year after I shut down for the season. (Boston)
 
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