Just wanted to start a thread to share any good systems you guys have been using in the past that's been a success for college football. Can't wait for the start!!! I've been using one system for awhile which is to take any double digit underdog who outrushes their opponent.....it hits a pretty high % every season. Thanks for the input guys and let's all have a successful season hear at Madjack's!!
ANY SYSTEMS OR TRENDS TO SHARE...
- Thread starter RIGHT SIDE
- Start date
...a few that I use, but I don't know if you can characterize all of them as "systems"
1.) 40+ dogs (as documented in BBC's thread in this forum)
2.) Each year around the 7th or 8th week I will make a list of teams that have either a.) covered ATS every single week of the season or b.) not covered ATS in every single week of the season. Then I will begin a progressive fade.... (i.e. I will progressively fade the teams that have covered every week and progressively bet on the teams that have not covered at all.)
3.) I also use a variation of the unranked home fav over the ranked visiting underdog....
4.) I also use the system that you mentioned...assuming that some other variables are not making me pass on the game.
Hope that helps a little.... If I think of any more, I'll add them. This thread should be very helpful throughout the season if we can get others to contribute....
1.) 40+ dogs (as documented in BBC's thread in this forum)
2.) Each year around the 7th or 8th week I will make a list of teams that have either a.) covered ATS every single week of the season or b.) not covered ATS in every single week of the season. Then I will begin a progressive fade.... (i.e. I will progressively fade the teams that have covered every week and progressively bet on the teams that have not covered at all.)
3.) I also use a variation of the unranked home fav over the ranked visiting underdog....
4.) I also use the system that you mentioned...assuming that some other variables are not making me pass on the game.
Hope that helps a little.... If I think of any more, I'll add them. This thread should be very helpful throughout the season if we can get others to contribute....
LOL :mj07:
...you're funny, Al! :142smilie
...actually, I did manage to work up a system last season in which I used the picks from the NCAA contest. It was far from scientific, but it did produce good results.... I may try that again this season if we have a NCAA contest.
...you're funny, Al! :142smilie
...actually, I did manage to work up a system last season in which I used the picks from the NCAA contest. It was far from scientific, but it did produce good results.... I may try that again this season if we have a NCAA contest.
that's not such a bad idea..but it doesn't look like there will be a college contest...hope i'm wrong though.
This is a repeat from last year (I find myself doing this more often these days), but I bought my wife a set shoulder pads and a new helmet and we run each teams offensive schemes in the living room.
I like looking at teams that win total yards and lose outright. I look deeper into the game and find out the story...were there 4 turnovers? 100 yards in penalties? 2 fumbles on the 1 yard line? A kickoff/punt returned for TD? MIss 5 field goals?
Anything to make it deviate from a "normal" game.
Usually makes them a real value the following week...because they aren't as bad as they showed and they will most likely be more "lucky" the next game.
Anything to make it deviate from a "normal" game.
Usually makes them a real value the following week...because they aren't as bad as they showed and they will most likely be more "lucky" the next game.
Good stuff Marra, Please keep me posted on how its working out and any majors plays you have for saturday
To back up Taoist and RightSide, i use the double digit dog better in rushing, and taking homedogs over ranked opponents seems to be as effective in both bball and football.
Taoist, i know you were for texas at the end of last season, but did you really fade them half the season cause if i remember right they covered every or all but 1 or 2 games didnt they?
I basically dont use a system but something thjat works really well for me is when there is a 8+ dog that is significantly better rushing D, I will play the ML on the dog, and then play the over for the game, and depending on where the scores is at there has always been great middling opportunities. It has been a successful "system" for me but I have only used it 5 or so times
To back up Taoist and RightSide, i use the double digit dog better in rushing, and taking homedogs over ranked opponents seems to be as effective in both bball and football.
Taoist, i know you were for texas at the end of last season, but did you really fade them half the season cause if i remember right they covered every or all but 1 or 2 games didnt they?
I basically dont use a system but something thjat works really well for me is when there is a 8+ dog that is significantly better rushing D, I will play the ML on the dog, and then play the over for the game, and depending on where the scores is at there has always been great middling opportunities. It has been a successful "system" for me but I have only used it 5 or so times
blgstocks said:
Yes, I had Texas in the BCS Championship...nothing major, but a nice little parlay...and yes, I did in fact progressively fade them for the last few weeks of the season. I'd have to look at my notes to see what week I started, but I have yet to see any team go the entire season and cover (or fail to cover) in every game. 2003, it was Rutgers that put a scare in me, but they wound up not covering against BC and I made a profit. (If they would have covered...whew...well, let's just say that in and of itself would have ruined my whole season. I started the progression too early.) Same thing with Texas last year...just not as drastic because I waited to begin my progression. Without looking at my notes, I think that it was Texas A&M who finally covered the number against them...but if I remember correctly, I was only 3 weeks into my progression. (Rutgers in 2003 - I was about 6 weeks into my progression.)
I also did a progressive fade against Dr. Strangelove's Thursday night games after he had correctly predicted about 10 in a row.... I only escaped that fade (and made a profit, mind you) by the skin of my teeth.... He finally lost in the very last Thursday night game. Bastid scared me to death... LOL :mj07:
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