I found one hit at this site, via a search, from 2006; a list of books on same.
I heard an interview with the guy, recently, from an Australian podcast called 'The Business of Betting.' av soundcloud, if nowhere else
https://soundcloud.com/businessofbetting/ep-48-psychology-of-betting
Has a few books listed at Amazon and also writes articles for Pinnacle, which I wasn't aware of despite being a Pinnhead.
Was interesting. I agree with a lot but have to question his overemphasis on uncertainty, somewhat, for example when he questions the ability of distinguishing a good handicapper from a bad one.
Interestingly, in another episode--'can you lose money predicting 60% winners'--they (different guest) discuss the sample size required to distinguish a biased coin (60/40) vs a normal 50/50 coin 'with 95% accuracy' as being in the 140-range (per coin, I think). I see a relationship between the two distinctions but I can also see how assessing future performance of the handicappers--vs future performance of the coins--is extremely different.
I heard an interview with the guy, recently, from an Australian podcast called 'The Business of Betting.' av soundcloud, if nowhere else
https://soundcloud.com/businessofbetting/ep-48-psychology-of-betting
Has a few books listed at Amazon and also writes articles for Pinnacle, which I wasn't aware of despite being a Pinnhead.
Was interesting. I agree with a lot but have to question his overemphasis on uncertainty, somewhat, for example when he questions the ability of distinguishing a good handicapper from a bad one.
Interestingly, in another episode--'can you lose money predicting 60% winners'--they (different guest) discuss the sample size required to distinguish a biased coin (60/40) vs a normal 50/50 coin 'with 95% accuracy' as being in the 140-range (per coin, I think). I see a relationship between the two distinctions but I can also see how assessing future performance of the handicappers--vs future performance of the coins--is extremely different.
