tommorow at arky seem a little off??my numbers show them winning outright by 10 and 7 and losing by 2.....any thoughts?thx,le 
anyone think mizzu st. getting 4....
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expected the line to be 7 or 8.
thus, im a little perplexed. arkansas is a very good basketball team and will only be getting better. jury still out on swmizzou at least in my opinion
thus, im a little perplexed. arkansas is a very good basketball team and will only be getting better. jury still out on swmizzou at least in my opinion
hmmm...so it looks like u guys r thinking that arky should cover this number right?.....maybe ill just lay off....been a bit cold lately and when my #'s say its too easy i usually get it smacked in my ass....thx for ur imput guys....le
Billy Blastoff's numbers agree with Clem and Gman...then again, given his system, that warrants a play on SW Mizz so you are partially right!
Clem D said:
You numbers are fine , I believe the line should be 7 1/2. Vegas is in the business of making money not loseing. They want you to play the razorbacks. My theory is to play the side vegas is on in this case SW Missouri and take the 4 points. Just my opinion but I live in fantasyland located due east of blastoffville :scared
Anyone know of any injuries/suspensions for Arkansas or was this $$ that moved line this far off opener?
I'm from Ark and Stan Heath has not figured out how to defend 3's or beat a zone. There are no Hog injuries.
Thank you Dr.
hmmmmmmmmmm
They played MU @ home and I believe the line was 11 or 13? Definitely double digits. MU lost by 3 or 4. I know they are not that good, but certainly they are on par w/SWMO? Strange line. It will probably fall between 4 & 8. I would imagine this # will be bet up as day goes on.
hmmmmmmmmmm
They played MU @ home and I believe the line was 11 or 13? Definitely double digits. MU lost by 3 or 4. I know they are not that good, but certainly they are on par w/SWMO? Strange line. It will probably fall between 4 & 8. I would imagine this # will be bet up as day goes on.
I've had this game capped at a pick 'em since last night. So, I'm confused on why everyone is giving Arkansas too much credit in their lines.
The line opened at Stardust at -5 and has only moved half a point there to -4.5 at last check a couple of hours ago. I trust their line moves much more than I do the ones you see at the tout sites like scoresandodds. I use 5 to 8 points off as a guideline, and yes, I don't consider a pk to -5 as 5 points off. It's 4 points off in my twisted way of thinking.
I started out last night thinking that Vegas was trying to draw Missouri St money by inflating the line. In fact, if Stardust's lines had opened at anywhere from 6 to about 9, I would have probably hammered Arkansas. As it is, it's a no play for me which is good. I'm a Hog fan and don't like betting their games because I'm pissed when they're favored and win but don't cover and want to swallow a bullet when they are the dog and lose and don't cover.
And yes, I've adopted my own version of Billy Blastoff's system in my capping, but I use a different number source and cross check with Stardust line moves. Using this, I've gone (not posted on this web site but another) 21-5 in actual played games and 25-8 in all picked games since Monday, December 5.
It's because of the info on this site and another that I've been able to figure this stuff out. The cappers on this site are outstanding and good at sharing the secrets with guys like me who haven't been playing that long.
The line opened at Stardust at -5 and has only moved half a point there to -4.5 at last check a couple of hours ago. I trust their line moves much more than I do the ones you see at the tout sites like scoresandodds. I use 5 to 8 points off as a guideline, and yes, I don't consider a pk to -5 as 5 points off. It's 4 points off in my twisted way of thinking.
I started out last night thinking that Vegas was trying to draw Missouri St money by inflating the line. In fact, if Stardust's lines had opened at anywhere from 6 to about 9, I would have probably hammered Arkansas. As it is, it's a no play for me which is good. I'm a Hog fan and don't like betting their games because I'm pissed when they're favored and win but don't cover and want to swallow a bullet when they are the dog and lose and don't cover.
And yes, I've adopted my own version of Billy Blastoff's system in my capping, but I use a different number source and cross check with Stardust line moves. Using this, I've gone (not posted on this web site but another) 21-5 in actual played games and 25-8 in all picked games since Monday, December 5.
It's because of the info on this site and another that I've been able to figure this stuff out. The cappers on this site are outstanding and good at sharing the secrets with guys like me who haven't been playing that long.
