Arnold Palmer Invitational - Bay Hill Club & Lodge

[stomie]

$105.00 $100.00 Pending 3/21/13 12:30pm PGA Golf 119 Charles Howell III (Tourn) -105* vs Bo Van Pelt (Tourn
$105.00 $100.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am PGA Golf 115 Peter Hanson (Tourn) -105* vs Ian Poulter (Tourn)
$110.00 $100.00 Pending 3/21/13 8:25am PGA Golf 130 Geoff Ogilvy (Tourn) -110* vs Russell Henley (Tourn)

$150.00 $6,000.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +4000 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Hunter Mahan
$350.00 $7,000.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +2000 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Brandt Snedeker
$100.00 $7,000.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +7000 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Peter Hanson
$25.00 $4,000.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +16000 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Lucas Glover
$20.00 $3,900.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +19500 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Pat Perez
$20.00 $4,900.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +24500 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Greg Chalmers
$10.00 $4,250.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +42500 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Matt Jones
$10.00 $5,750.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +57500 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Justin Hicks
$10.00 $6,500.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +65000 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Kevin Chappell
$30.00 $4,050.00 Pending 3/21/13 7:00am Golf PGA +13500 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Geoff Ogilvy

 

[stomie]

$199.65 $570.43 Pending 3 Team Parlay
Pending 3/21/13 7:00am PGA Golf 2 Field wins Arnold Palmer Invitational -350* vs T.Woods wins Arnold Palmer Invitational
Pending 3/21/13 7:50am PGA Golf 143 Graham DeLaet (Tourn) -150* vs Scott Brown (Tourn)
Pending 3/21/13 7:50am PGA Golf 182 Brian Davis (1st Rnd) -125* vs Brendan Steele (1st Rnd)

 

[IE]

To Win:

Tiger Woods +305
Webb Simpson +3500
Charles Howell III +7000

 

[jvenz]

Couldn't get odds on jones & hicks

 

[sharky17]

TOURNAMENT

GREG CHALMERS (-110) over BOO WEEKLEY

:toast:

 

[craig31]

Good luck, heavy on field versus woods

 

[Dallasbetgolf]

Simpson 30-1win, 15-1 place, 7 1/2 show

Dufner 30-1 win, 15-1 place, 7 1/2 show

Watney 50-1 win, 25-1 place, 12 1/2 show

English 100-1 win, 50-1 place, 25-1 show

Good luck to everyone!

 

[cole]

To win:

Snedeker +1800

McDowell +1600 (2)

Mahan +4000

Howell +5000

Moore +5500

Weekley +5500

Good luck fellas!

 

[cawdawg]

Last Week
Matchups 1-3 -2.2u
Outrights/Finishes 0-7 -.8u

YTD
Matchups 36-32-5 +2.12u
Outrights/Finishes 2-39 -1.05u

AP Invitational

Top 5
Garcia 3.6/1 (.2u)

Top 10
Henley 8.3/1 (.2u)
Harmon 12/1 (.2u)
Stuard 12.5/1 (.1u)
Kohles 16.5/1 (.1u)
Streb 25/1 (.1u)

Matchups (1u)
Garrigus ov Piercy -105 ? Garrigus longer off the tee with a better GIR% than Piercy so far this year, two keys to performing well on this golf course. Neither has good course form. Garrigus better performer in Florida over his career.

Haas ov Coetzee -120 ?Haas is 5-0 head-to-head against Coetzee in the six tournaments they have both played in since 2012. Coetzee and Haas have similar length off the tee with Haas having better driving accuracy and much better GIR% this year. Also, Coetzee has never competed on this course and Haas has played five straight (29-MC-17-59-MC) with some success.

Tringale ov English -118 ? Tringale 6-2 head-to-head against English this year. Tringale has a better GIR% and is 20th in the all-around ranking in 2013.

Good luck this week!

 

[Tommyjay]

Wagner to win 725-1

I get Wagner and Walker confused sometimes. I think they are fairly comparable, Walker being a little better right now. I capped up this weeks tournament, and Wagner comes up the pick for longshot of the week. He's 375-1 on Monday, and I think, well OK, that's a lot for a guy who finished T4 last year, and has won 3 PGA tournaments fairly recently. I'm looking at three other guys who are in the 40-1 range, I'm leaning on two of them when on Weds. I see Wagner goes up to 725-1. No brainer, I have to back Wagner.

 

[scrub]

Woods over Rose -150. 1500

Poulter over Hanson -110 550

Poulter over Westwood -110 550

 

[stomie]

You guys love Poulter this week.

 

[scrub]

Lol sorry stomie.

Just for you

Howell over Van Pelt sorry Mark Chaney -110

880

 

[UGA12]

Outrights 0-57 -7.67 :facepalm:
Position Finish 4-9 +.40
Match-ups 23-20 -1.50
YTD Total -8.77 units


Weekley 80/1 (.13 units)
Glover 100/1 (.12 units)

 

[Tommyjay]

I'll go on the record as not liking Poulter too.

72 holes
Watney over Furyk +155
SY Noh over Cink -125

 

[Another Steve]

Outrights
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL JUSTIN ROSE +1600
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL HUNTER MAHAN +3000
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL NICK WATNEY +5000

1st Round Match Ups
H MAHAN (RND 1) -145 (H MAHAN (RND 1) vrs R HENLEY (RND 1))
B WATSON (RND 1) -120 (B WATSON (RND 1) vrs W SIMPSON (RND 1))

4 Rounds Matcjh Up
N WATNEY +160 (J FURYK vrs N WATNEY

 

[Stanley]

Round 1 play (2pts):

Zach Johnson to beat Russell Henley -110 @ Stan James and BetVictor
Backing experience in this matchup. Johnson is making his tenth consecutive appearance in this event and he missed the cut just once. This ball-striker's course clearly suits him as he has three top-10 finishes, plus an 11th place finish last year. Henley has played well this year, but of the 33 rookies who have competed at Bay Hill in the last four years, only Bud Cauley posted a top-10 finish. That points to experience over youth, for this week at least.

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Graeme Mcdowell(22/1) e.w.
Sergio Garcia(22/1) e.w.
Bubba Watson(28/1) e.w.
Webb Simpson(35/1) e.w.
Boo Weekley(100/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(125/1) e.w.
Pat Perez(125/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(125/1) e.w.
Kyle Stanley(150/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(100/1) (1st Round Leader) e.w.

GL

**************************************

"Arnie has more people watching him park the car than we do out on the course." ~ Lee Trevino

 

[stomie]

$75.00 $4,500.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:00am Golf PGA +6000 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Ben Kohles
$50.00 $4,750.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:00am Golf PGA +9500 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Zach Johnson

 

[Stanley]

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Nick Watney to beat Tim Clark -179 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek, Carib and WSEX]
Big difference in the rd1 performances between these two players: Watney finished the day in 5th place, Clark finished it in 109th and four shots off the cut line. That will be a tough ask for Clark to make the weekend. He has made it from outside the top-100 after rd1 just once (in eight attempts) since the start of last season, averaging 72.63 in rd2 from that position. His best finish in a strokeplay event is 46th since the Sony Open in Hawaii, so I don't see him bouncing back from yesterday's round.

Zach Johnson to beat Russell Henley -105 @ Stan James [also available @ BetVictor]
Repeating yesterday's play which, in its small way, confirmed the difficulties that rookies have on this course. Henley's 94th position is justified by his 98th rank in greens in regulation. Johnson, on the other hand, played better than he scored - he ranked 1st in driving accuracy and 3rd in greens in regulation in rd1 - so there is optimism that he can shoot an even lower round today.

Hunter Mahan to beat Russell Henley -167 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek, Carib and WSEX]
Opposing Henley with another Bay Hill veteran. This is Mahan's 10th consecutive appearance in this event, with no missed cuts in the last five years and after his sub-par round yesterday, he looks set to maintain that streak. Like Johnson, the key to good scoring here is hitting the greens in regulation, for which he ranked in the top-10, so I expect another sub-par round from him today.

Luke Guthrie to beat Ben Kohles -110 @ Stan James
Two rookies in this matchup and Kohles did shoot the lower score yesterday, but last week was the first time in six events that Kohles has finished ahead of Guthrie and in terms of rd2, Guthrie leads Kohles 11-5 h2h. The final factor against Kohles is that this is only the second time that he has finished rd1 inside the top-10 on the PGA Tour. On the previous occasion (2013 Honda Classic), he shot 73 in the 2nd round and fell from 6th to 43rd.

Bill Haas to beat Jimmy Walker -135 @ 5Dimes
Two players with previous course experience who ended day one inside the top-5. This is something that Haas has done on 12 previous occasions on the PGA Tour, finishing the event in the top-15 on ten of those 12 occasions. Walker has done so on 13 previous occasions, but never has he previously converted any of those flying starts into top-15 finishes. I'll back Haas as the more likely to maintain his current position.