Arnold Palmer Invitational
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
Outrights
Outrights
Man I thought I had a good chance of B2B with Moore, then I hoping for O'Hair. Local Boy Wins, good for him.
Getting my picks in early as March Madness can make me forget to pick.
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL 2015 BRANDT SNEDEKER +5250
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL 2015 WEBB SIMPSON +4550
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL 2015 RUSSELL KNOX +8550
Outrights
Man I thought I had a good chance of B2B with Moore, then I hoping for O'Hair. Local Boy Wins, good for him.
Getting my picks in early as March Madness can make me forget to pick.
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL 2015 BRANDT SNEDEKER +5250
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL 2015 WEBB SIMPSON +4550
ODDS TO WIN ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL 2015 RUSSELL KNOX +8550
TOURNAMENT
RICKIE FOWLER (+118) over ADAM SCOTT
WEBB SIMPSON (-110) over PAUL CASEY
ROUND 1
HARRIS ENGLISH (-149) over RUSSELL HENLEY
:toast:
RICKIE FOWLER (+118) over ADAM SCOTT
WEBB SIMPSON (-110) over PAUL CASEY
ROUND 1
HARRIS ENGLISH (-149) over RUSSELL HENLEY
:toast:
To Win
Big 10 (50 to win 50)
Laird (30 to win 1500)
Steele (30 to win 1500)
Howell III (30 to win 1700)
Knox (10 to win 500)
Berger (10 to win 700)
Weekley (5 to win 500)
Davis (5 to win 500)
GL
Big 10 (50 to win 50)
Laird (30 to win 1500)
Steele (30 to win 1500)
Howell III (30 to win 1700)
Knox (10 to win 500)
Berger (10 to win 700)
Weekley (5 to win 500)
Davis (5 to win 500)
GL
Round 1 plays (2pts):
Brendan Steele to beat Daniel Berger -116 @ Bet365
All purple patches of form come to an end and it did last week for Berger when he missed the cut after four consecutive top-25 finishes. Steele looks a good player to oppose him with this week - he has top-15 finishes in each of his last two starts and finished in the top-20 here last year; Berger is making his course debut.
Hunter Mahan to beat Ernie Els -118 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Els has shot 69 in each of his last two events, but it has not been enough to stop him missing the cut both time and extending his run of missed cuts to 4-for-4 on the PGA Tour this year. He won this event five years ago, but his game is nowhere near that level and he can be easily opposed with a player on a run of 13 events without a missed cut and that run also includes a win (The Barclays). Mahan has also made the cut in each of the last seven years here, so this really should be a one-sided match.
J.B. Holmes to beat Harris English -110 @ 5Dimes
Holmes could easily have been a multiple-winner already this season - he lost a playoff for the Farmers Insurance Open last month and led for three rounds of the Cadillac Championship after his opening 62, so he is clearly a player in very good form. He is 8-for-8 in cuts made in this event, including a top-10 finish last year, which is something that English hasn't achieved in his previous three visits to Bay Hill. I can only see Holmes as a clear favourite in this matchup.
[unofficial rd1 system plays: Poulter tb McDowell -102; Holmes tb Koepka -120]
Brendan Steele to beat Daniel Berger -116 @ Bet365
All purple patches of form come to an end and it did last week for Berger when he missed the cut after four consecutive top-25 finishes. Steele looks a good player to oppose him with this week - he has top-15 finishes in each of his last two starts and finished in the top-20 here last year; Berger is making his course debut.
Hunter Mahan to beat Ernie Els -118 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Els has shot 69 in each of his last two events, but it has not been enough to stop him missing the cut both time and extending his run of missed cuts to 4-for-4 on the PGA Tour this year. He won this event five years ago, but his game is nowhere near that level and he can be easily opposed with a player on a run of 13 events without a missed cut and that run also includes a win (The Barclays). Mahan has also made the cut in each of the last seven years here, so this really should be a one-sided match.
J.B. Holmes to beat Harris English -110 @ 5Dimes
Holmes could easily have been a multiple-winner already this season - he lost a playoff for the Farmers Insurance Open last month and led for three rounds of the Cadillac Championship after his opening 62, so he is clearly a player in very good form. He is 8-for-8 in cuts made in this event, including a top-10 finish last year, which is something that English hasn't achieved in his previous three visits to Bay Hill. I can only see Holmes as a clear favourite in this matchup.
[unofficial rd1 system plays: Poulter tb McDowell -102; Holmes tb Koepka -120]
Outrights:
Sam Saunders(250/1) e.w.
- - I almost landed a 400/1 fairy tale in 2007 when Pennsylvanian Rocco Mediate and a lifer in Arnie's Army finished second to Vijay Singh at Bay Hill . . . I was on board with Tom Watson at 400/1 as Top American at Turnberry in 2009, and the fairy tale was almost so much bigger than that specialty market, but along came another American to deliver to me a crushing blow (having absolutely nothing to do with wagering) from which I'll never fully recover . . . I "kept a candle burning" for Jean Van de Velde, and it was at this time of year in 2006 when I landed a 100/1 wager on Van de Velde at Madeira when the chap managed a double bogie instead of a triple on the last hole . . . I still regularly chase fairy tales in sports and sports wagering, the best reality show I know.
Webb Simpson(50/1) e.w.
- - Someone I almost never wager on, but another lifer in the Army.
Kevin Na(40/1) e.w.
- - Mr. Na seems to have an affinity for impressing Mr. Palmer.
Lucas Glover(160/1) e.w.
- - It is what it is.
Chad Campbell(250/1) e.w.
- - Even before the pairings came out in 2004, Campbell at 40/1 was very strong on my radar before he won here in 2004, and when I saw his pairing with Arnie the first two days back then, that remains THE TOP INSTANCE in my capping history in which a pairing had me over the moon over impacting a player's chances . . . Campbell is another who seems to be showing at least a hint of a spark (i.e., Peter Lawrie from a post last night), and now needs to take it to the next level, and so help me God, as I was sitting at the computer capping last night, I was wondering how bad Chad's putting is, when the Golf Channel preview show cut to shots of Campbell on the practice green as he struggled to hole 2 out of 4 putts from 5-6 feet. It is what it is.
Gary Woodland(80/1) e.w.
- - Definitely been on my radar (btw, isn't he a Butch Harmon pupil?), and I played him once so far this season, been waiting for a second spot.
Charles Howell(80/1) e.w.
- - Arnie and Augusta provide a couple of storylines for the very hard worker bee.
Henrik Stenson(8/1) e.w.
- - It's likely I've already got a couple plays too many given my fears that Rory may step up if the weather is docile, but even though I think Rory at 5/1 and JB at 33/1 might offer better value, I'm letting Henrik carry my last chips this week.
GL
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<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/wLxKSvkpE1Y" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
"Arnie has more people watching him park the car than we do out on the course." ~ Lee Trevino
Sam Saunders(250/1) e.w.
- - I almost landed a 400/1 fairy tale in 2007 when Pennsylvanian Rocco Mediate and a lifer in Arnie's Army finished second to Vijay Singh at Bay Hill . . . I was on board with Tom Watson at 400/1 as Top American at Turnberry in 2009, and the fairy tale was almost so much bigger than that specialty market, but along came another American to deliver to me a crushing blow (having absolutely nothing to do with wagering) from which I'll never fully recover . . . I "kept a candle burning" for Jean Van de Velde, and it was at this time of year in 2006 when I landed a 100/1 wager on Van de Velde at Madeira when the chap managed a double bogie instead of a triple on the last hole . . . I still regularly chase fairy tales in sports and sports wagering, the best reality show I know.
Webb Simpson(50/1) e.w.
- - Someone I almost never wager on, but another lifer in the Army.
Kevin Na(40/1) e.w.
- - Mr. Na seems to have an affinity for impressing Mr. Palmer.
Lucas Glover(160/1) e.w.
- - It is what it is.
Chad Campbell(250/1) e.w.
- - Even before the pairings came out in 2004, Campbell at 40/1 was very strong on my radar before he won here in 2004, and when I saw his pairing with Arnie the first two days back then, that remains THE TOP INSTANCE in my capping history in which a pairing had me over the moon over impacting a player's chances . . . Campbell is another who seems to be showing at least a hint of a spark (i.e., Peter Lawrie from a post last night), and now needs to take it to the next level, and so help me God, as I was sitting at the computer capping last night, I was wondering how bad Chad's putting is, when the Golf Channel preview show cut to shots of Campbell on the practice green as he struggled to hole 2 out of 4 putts from 5-6 feet. It is what it is.
Gary Woodland(80/1) e.w.
- - Definitely been on my radar (btw, isn't he a Butch Harmon pupil?), and I played him once so far this season, been waiting for a second spot.
Charles Howell(80/1) e.w.
- - Arnie and Augusta provide a couple of storylines for the very hard worker bee.
Henrik Stenson(8/1) e.w.
- - It's likely I've already got a couple plays too many given my fears that Rory may step up if the weather is docile, but even though I think Rory at 5/1 and JB at 33/1 might offer better value, I'm letting Henrik carry my last chips this week.
GL
**************************************
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/wLxKSvkpE1Y" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
"Arnie has more people watching him park the car than we do out on the course." ~ Lee Trevino
i have poulter @ 50-1 but forgot to post, so took some in play @ 16-1 ew as my official selection.
David Lingmerth (3rd Rnd) +105
over
Danny Lee (3rd Rnd)
Sean O'Hair (3rd Rnd) -135
over
Matt Jones (3rd Rnd)
over
Danny Lee (3rd Rnd)
Sean O'Hair (3rd Rnd) -135
over
Matt Jones (3rd Rnd)
Round 3 plays (2pts):
Matt Jones to beat Sean O'Hair +117 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Hideki Matsuyama to beat Rockie Fowler +100 @ 5Dimes
Matt Jones to beat Sean O'Hair +117 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Hideki Matsuyama to beat Rockie Fowler +100 @ 5Dimes
