ARROW

[arrow]

For the season, I am up $61,400. I wish everyone good luck Sunday and I am posting all four plays that I bet with two different books. Good luck to all, arrow.

first half Philadelphia plus half point 3k
Game Philadelphia plus one and a half 5K
First half under 24 10k
Two team teaser Philadelphia +8, Philadelphia under 56 5k

 

[rocky mountain]

For the season, I am up $61,400. I wish everyone good luck Sunday and I am posting all four plays that I bet with two different books. Good luck to all, arrow.

first half Philadelphia plus half point 3k
Game Philadelphia plus one and a half 5K
First half under 24 10k
Two team teaser Philadelphia +8, Philadelphia under 56 5k

That's an incredible year, congratulations and thanks for sharing your wisdom!

 

[Smitty]

dave, i have some bad news... i REALLY like the first half under.

be prepared for a safety or a blocked fg returned for a td at the end of the half. something really stupid that puts it over the total.

i apologize in advance.

 

[arrow]

All good Schmitty good luck, buddy

 

[rocky mountain]

dave, i have some bad news... i REALLY like the first half under.

be prepared for a safety or a blocked fg returned for a td at the end of the half. something really stupid that puts it over the total.

i apologize in advance.

Wazzup Smitty. Make sure to factor in that the Eagles were shit in first qtr through the first 10 games approx bringing down their points per first half. They have started scoring off the jump now. That being said 2 really good defenses, and the Eagles will allow small clock churning plays in front of them. The Eagles go for it on 4th down a lot, even 4th and 3's from their own 45. I'm not sure if KC is as risky, but it wouldn't surprise me, so this makes it difficult. Both offenses have been picking up and trending higher for sure up to this point. Either could sustain 7-8 minute drives if 1 or 2 end up in a fg then your golden! 4 Iggles could take it to the house on 1 play, and 2 Chefs could do the same.

 

[Smitty]

Wazzup Smitty. Make sure to factor in that the Eagles were shit in first qtr through the first 10 games approx bringing down their points per first half. They have started scoring off the jump now.

oh, i know. thanks to nolan dalla, i started betting them under the 1Q. it was good for a while. and, oddly, i think it turned around when pickett played. but they continued their good starts when hurts came back.

but until then, the only 2 times they went over their 1Q total was when they got a very short field (via a TO or, i think, a long punt return).

 

[rocky mountain]

oh, i know. thanks to nolan dalla, i started betting them under the 1Q. it was good for a while. and, oddly, i think it turned around when pickett played. but they continued their good starts when hurts came back.

but until then, the only 2 times they went over their 1Q total was when they got a very short field (via a TO or, i think, a long punt return).

You always do your homework more thoroughly. I look forward to seeing your plays. I have to make mine soon. Do you plan on posting before Sunday? I want to check out your props. I know you will have Karlaftis over for the sack.
Good luck pal!

 

[Smitty]

You always do your homework more thoroughly. I look forward to seeing your plays. I have to make mine soon. Do you plan on posting before Sunday? I want to check out your props. I know you will have Karlaftis over for the sack.
Good luck pal!

you are 100% correct. last i looked, karlaftis was +100 to go over .25 sacks. i probably should have grabbed that, because i doubt he'll go higher. but so far, the only bet i've placed was hurts to score a TD.

funny thing about that, as we completely hijack arrow's thread (sorry, dave!), before last year's SB, i hadn't even heard of karlaftis. but i saw the # on him to get a sack was oddly low for someone i wasn't familiar with. obviously, he's been on my radar ever since. he didn't get one in the AFC championship game, but he had 3 QB hits, so he was close. all the attention on chris jones certainly helps. i'll probably be somewhat large on him to get another one sunday.

as of right now, i don't love much in this game.

ok, before i ramble on any more... maybe i'll just go ahead and open my own thread.

LET'S GET THAT 1H UNDER!!!

 

[Missy]

Man, I hate to see this. I would say good luck but then that means I'm gonna have bad luck lol I hate when I'm on the opposite side.

 

[ejthree]

dave, i have some bad news... i REALLY like the first half under.

be prepared for a safety or a blocked fg returned for a td at the end of the half. something really stupid that puts it over the total.

i apologize in advance.

 

[bulldog]

great season, hate it is fixing to end till August.
Good luck today and thanks for sharing your thoughts and selections this year.

 

[arrow]

Got a little unlucky, but that is what Mahomes has done to me for 5 years, but I’ll take any win, I did pick another two dimes with DeJean getting an interception. Way to go Iowa boy. now if I can get a safety in the second half it’ll be huge.

 

[Smitty]

dave, i have some bad news... i REALLY like the first half under.

be prepared for a safety or a blocked fg returned for a td at the end of the half. something really stupid that puts it over the total.

i apologize in advance.

sorry, man. tried to warn ya. at least some of y'all got a push.

 

[jdg226]

Got a little unlucky, but that is what Mahomes has done to me for 5 years, but I’ll take any win, I did pick another two dimes with DeJean getting an interception. Way to go Iowa boy. now if I can get a safety in the second half it’ll be huge.

A little unlucky? That's a lot unlucky.

 

[redsfann]

Got a little unlucky, but that is what Mahomes has done to me for 5 years, but I’ll take any win, I did pick another two dimes with DeJean getting an interception. Way to go Iowa boy. now if I can get a safety in the second half it’ll be huge.

This iowa grad jumped off the couch yelling and screaming when our boy DeJean scored on the INT.
And I found a juiced 24.5 1st half line at FanDuel last week so I got a winner there thanks to your post.

 

[arrow]

I gotta push and I bet it +105 when it first hit should’ve won it, but it didn’t. That’s the way it goes.

 

[rocky mountain]

I gotta push and I bet it +105 when it first hit should’ve won it, but it didn’t. That’s the way it goes.

Your winning plenty though it looks like to finish a HOF year!!

 

[bulldog]

Can you explain why Philly did not punt from the 50. Kc, no time outs and it least 80 yards for td would probability run out the clock with a couple of runs. Teaser would win

 

[arrow]

I have no reason to, don’t understand anything these coaches do anymore, but I do know Vegas wanted the overs big time

 

[ezpickin]

I have no reason to, don’t understand anything these coaches do anymore, but I do know Vegas wanted the overs big time

Really? I though the world was on the over? You are saying Vegas needed the over?