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DR STRANGELOVE

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Mar 13, 2003
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Toronto, Canada
OK, we know Tiger Woods is going to win the Masters for a record third straight time. But there is a 'prop' has to at least tempt you to go against Woods.

Station Casino hotels in Las Vegas has Woods minus $2.20 to finish higher than the entry of Ernie Els, Davis Love III, Phil Mickelson and Vijay Singh, who are plus $1.80.

Mickelson has played only once the past five weeks, Singh is coming off a rib injury and Els may not be 100 percent because of a sore wrist, but Love is one of the hottest players on Tour and is big off the tee.

"That line is outrageous," golf handicapper Alf Musketa said about getting Els, Love, Mickelson and Singh against Woods at nearly 2/1. "If it weren't the Masters, I'd play it.

"If it were any other tournament, I'd do it. If it were the PGA, U.S. Open, British Open. But not the Masters."

There's a major reason why the odds on Woods to win the tournament are even- money at Station properties, Coast hotels and the Leroy's books. The Masters course is tailor-made for his outstanding long game and putting skills.

With rainy conditions expected, the course should play longer. This favors big hitters even more because wet grass slows the ball. Woods, who averages 293.3 yards off the tee, won last year's Masters under wet conditions.

"Even-money odds are ridiculous for a golfer," said Bob Smith, chief supervisor for the Leroy's sports books. "And when you say it's a golfer in the Masters, it's even more ridiculous. But then you look at Tiger's record and what he's done on this course. When a guy wins as much as he wins, you have to give the guy his due."

No tournament draws more action than the Masters and no golfer has more tickets written on him than Woods. He has single-handily elevated not only golf, but also greatly impacted the amount wagered on the sport.

It's rarely good for the house when Woods wins. However, Smith has a mixed reaction whenever Woods comes finishes in the top spot.

"It's a double edged sword," he said. "When he wins it creates excitement and more people bet golf."

Musketa believes Woods wins easily this weekend. In five tournaments this season, Woods is 47 under par and has only finished out of the top-five once.

But if you're going against Woods, it certainly makes sense to shop. This isn't a pro football game where all the numbers are identical.

For instance, there were a number of differences Monday night at Stations and Coast properties. Mickelson was 8/1 at Station's compared to 3/1 at Coast, while Els was 17/1 at Coast but just 4/1 at Station's.

Coast had David Duval at 25/1, while Stations listed him at 40/1. Love was 12/1 at Station's and 7/1 at Coast. Sergio Garcia was 23/1 at Coast, but 15/1 at Station's. David Toms was 25/1 at Station's and 14/1 at Coast.
 

Clive

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Apr 18, 2001
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Oxford, England
www.take624.com
Thank heavens for Euro/UK books...the prices you list are a disgrace.

How about these prices?

Mickelson 8
Love 6
Duval 40
Toms 22

all available 'over here'! Not that much different you say..but these are prices to be TOP US Player (without Woods)...surely you guys can do better!?
 

Terryray

Say Parlay
Forum Member
another article

another article

April 9, 2003

History in the making?

By Brad Young
VegasInsider.com Senior Editor


VEGAS - Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Tiger Woods at 'even' money to set history at Augusta National this week. Woods is gunning for his unprecedented third straight Masters championship.

Tiger's closest competitors this week include Ernie Els at 6/1, Phil Mickelson at 8/1 and the 'field' at 5/1. However, it is Woods that is in the drivers seat after winning this tournament three times the last seven years.

"This it Tiger's tournament to lose," noted LVSC oddsmaker Jason Been. "The 'Tiger proofing' lengthened the course last year, but the course was so wet last year and this year that the effects are minimal.

"Mickelson has been playing poorly, but he has enjoyed success at Augusta. He finishes in the top-10 every year, the only thing he hasn't done is don the green jacket. This 'field' is by invitation only, and it's a small field with players like Arnold Palmer and others with no chance of winning."

The Masters odds were originally released around the Super Bowl, so there have been numerous changes the past few months. Two drastic changes during that period include Sergio Garcia from 12/1 to 22/1 and David Duval from 15/1 to 35/1. Vijay Singh has seen his odds move slightly from 10/1 to 12/1.

"Sergio can make some noise, but he has had a terrible year," stated Been. "Singh has been dealing with a rib injury, but if he is healthy he could definitely contend."

Only three golfers have seen their odds improve dramatically since being released, highlighted by Davis Love III. The former University of North Carolina star opened at 20/1 before moving up to 10/1. Mike Weir opened at 40/1 before shifting to 25/1, Robert Allenby was also 40/1 before moving to 30/1. LVSC opened Darren Clarke at 45/1 before eventually moving him to 35/1.

"Davis Love III has been playing really well this season and appears to be Tiger's biggest threat," said Been. "He already has a couple of PGA Tour victories this year."

How about some past Masters champions that could come out of nowhere to sport yet another green jacket? Jose Maria Olazabal opened at 35/1 before being bumped to 50/1, while Bernhard Langer is also 50/1 after starting at 40/1.

"Olazabal's odds have worsened recently even though he has won this tournament twice," stated Been. "He has been injured, plus age is starting to catch up with him."

Since the Masters is the premier golf tournament of the season, LVSC has also added some matchup bets where you can wager that a certain golfer will finish ahead of another. The biggest one undoubtedly has Woods going against Singh, Mickelson and Ernie Els.

Woods is listed as a $1.80 favorite (bet $180 to win $100) to finish ahead of those three golfers, while the trio enters as a $1.60 underdog (bet $100 to win $160).

"This is a chance to get Tiger at a reasonable price," noted Been. "All four of the golfers will be at or near the top of the leaderboard, we will just have to wait and see how things shake out."

Odds to win the 2003 Masters at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, compliments of Las Vegas Sports Consultants, appear below.

Name Open Current
TIGER WOODS EVEN EVEN
PHIL MICKELSON 6/1 8/1
ERNIE ELS 8/1 6/1
VIJAY SINGH 10/1 12/1
SERGIO GARCIA 12/1 22/1
DAVID DUVAL 15/1 35/1
RETIEF GOOSEN 18/1 15/1
DAVID TOMS 20/1 20/1
DAVIS LOVE III 20/1 10/1
JUSTIN LEONARD 20/1 18/1
PADRAIG HARRINGTON 25/1 25/1
CHRIS DIMARCO 30/1 25/1
JIM FURYK 30/1 25/1
RICH BEEM 30/1 50/1
CHARLES HOWELL III 30/1 25/1
COLIN MONTGOMERIE 35/1 45/1
NICK PRICE 35/1 35/1
JOSE MARIA OLAZABAL 35/1 50/1
STUART APPLEBY 35/1 35/1
BERNHARD LANGER 40/1 50/1
MIKE WEIR 40/1 25/1
ROBERT ALLENBY 40/1 30/1
THOMAS BJORN 45/1 XXXX
DARREN CLARKE 45/1 35/1
FRED FUNK 45/1 45/1
SCOTT MCCARRON 50/1 60/1
BOB ESTES 50/1 45/1
ANGEL CABRERA 50/1 60/1
SCOTT HOCH 50/1 45/1
ROCCO MEDIATE 60/1 60/1
FIELD (ALL OTHERS) 5/1 5/1

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Davis Love III +300 +300
Tiger Woods -400 -400

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Phil Mickelson +110 +110
Ernie Els -130 -130

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Mike Weir +105 +105
Vijay Singh -125 -125

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
David Toms -110 -110
Sergio Garcia -110 -110

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Justin Leonard EVEN EVEN
Retief Goosen -120 -120

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Charles Howell III EVEN EVEN
Chris DiMarco -120 -120

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Nick Price +120 +120
Jim Furyk -140 -140

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Scott Hoch +105 +105
Stuart Appleby -125 -125

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Bob Estes -105 -105
Darren Clarke -115 -115

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Angel Cabrera +140 +140
Robert Allenby -160 -160

MATCHUP OPEN CURRENT
Singh/Mickeslon/Els (Best finish) +160 +160
Tiger Woods -180 -180
 
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