Ashes 1st Test - Aust v Eng

[Pumpkin]

Only a couple more sleeps until the 1st Test begins.

I still am finding it hard to believe that Australia are continuing to shorten. England seem to have most of their Batsmen in some sort of form, however the doubts over their bowling strikepower may be forcing the price to move.

As I stated earlier I feel that the draw is the play for this test as England will compete at some stage and to be honest I think that the Australian top order is more likley to crumble rather than the English.

One early play on an exotic market is 50-1 for James Anderson Most wickets for the match. This price is far too good to pass up. Could even take the 14-1 Hoggard but may let that go.

1pt Anderson Most Wickets 1st Test @ $51

 

[british bulldog]

I know this has been posted up at bettingzone and they certainly make a solid case for it, so I will post it up here.

I played this when the market first came out at 10/11 and it moved to 5/6 before being posted up at the above named site.


First Test .... Gabba


6 units Shane Warne over 136.5 (player performance market Bet365) @ 5/6 (1.833) in First Test at the Gabba.


Warne excels at the Gabba and his recent performances in Brisbane are better than his overall test career stats. With Bet365 offering 1 point per run, 10 points per catch and 20 points per wickets, warne looks set to pass this total. On batting and bowling performances alone he would have surpassed this total at the Gabba in eight of his last ten matches.

Looking back over the 10 game span, Warne has averaged nearly 3 catches per game and as he fields predominatly in the slips and Australia going with atleast 3 seamers, there's every chance that he will hold onto one or two catches which will only help with regards to warne passing this total make up in the player performance market.

 

[british bulldog]

Pontings excellant innings at the end of day 1 has left me in an awkward posiition as he now requires just a further 74 runs to get test 6000 runs, so it's more likely that he breaks that barrier here in the first test rather than the second or third test that I had expected.


However, Hills have made a rick at the close of play on day 1. they have Australia at 5/6 to score 550 or more in their first innings.

I make that a BET and have just got my maximum bet on.


20 units Australia to score 550 or more runs in their first innings @ 5/6

 

[Pumpkin]

Call me a glutton for punishment, But I'm going again on the draw.

A very flat pitch so can see England posting some sort of 1st inns score. Still think the Aussies may win this one, but with $5 avaliable I'll take some more draw and look to offload when Eng bat.

Her's hoping Anderson actually bowls a bit better!!!!

1pt Draw $5

 

[Pumpkin]

Anderson 1 for 141 - Not even close, :scared

Oh well!!!!

 

[Pumpkin]

Pietersen and Collingwood have given England some semblence of a chance fora draw

I'm like one of the Aust Farmers in the drought - praying for Rain