Originally posted by Combato:
My problem with asking bad teams to cover is the timing of what weeks to bet them and what weeks to avoid. Bad teams seem to beat a bettor when he needs them the most. I admit this is a subjective thing.
I don't really understand the significance of this statement. Are you implying that you don't have any problem knowing when to bet favorites and when to avoid them? If you substitute *good* both times you used the word *bad* in the post above, how does the meaning really change?
My point is, you claim that "anyone who bets on bad teams is asking for trouble regardless of whatever the perceived value may be on any particular bad team," and then proceed to support that statement by saying it is hard to figure out when to bet on a team and when to avoid betting on that team. I would say it is difficult to know when to bet on ANY team - good, bad, mediocre, whatever. To say that bettors are asking for trouble by betting on bad teams
regardless of whatever the perceived value may be on any particular bad team just doesn't make sense. I would contend that betting on bad teams could actually be the smarter option in many instances simply because Joe Public pushes the lines towards the favorites and therefore leaves value on the underdogs.
Just my thoughts, good luck.