Aussie Open parlay

[Nelson]

Licking wounds after Kohlschreiber loss to Santoro, will try this (off record) parlay. I like to build parlays around one fifty-fifty proposition.

Lu +6 games -125 (Robredo)
Djokovic
Federer
del Potro
Safina

(roughly 3.3 to win 4.8)

 

[WayneWonder]

Good luck Nelson!!

 

[Nelson]

Thanks, Wayne, same to you.

Going to put just a little on these dogs:

Wawrinka +140
Fish +140
Santoro +1000
Lu +265

Why?

Wawrinka - he just tends to win.
Fish - good price. Close to a coin flip match.
Lu - same as fish.
Santoro - beat Kohlschreiber who was playing well. Going against announcer hype for Roddick, who is always likely to be irregular in mind and stroke.

(BTW, have to picks for record in basketball. USC +5 and Boston +4'.)

 

[Nelson]

For futures, Djokovic looked extremely good the other day, as he cost me two record bets, covering games and producing under. He's +640 to win it all. The place to take him will be when he comes up against one of the main guys, Nadal, Murray or Federer. And probably the over in games will be the best bet.

 

[Nelson]

Lu as in loser as in my parlay. Not a damn thing he showed today. Djok was pressured by Delic, who looks like a pretty solid player.

Hope some of the other dogs can do better, so far all favs.

 

[Nelson]

Went 2-0 on basketball picks, thereby subsidizing my so-far s***y parlays. Actually, this parlay will go 4-1, granted heavy favs. Haven't gotten the games right on these calls yet. Had Lu +6, he loses by 12, never even threatens a tiebreak, let alone take a set.

Seems like tennis is same as other sports: if you bet on what you just saw to repeat itself, you're going to have a rough time of it. I bet very few took Delic + games tonight. People were mostly on the other dogs, not one of which has covered yet today.

[Record: 15-11]

would like to see roddick lose, not just for the payout.