Australian Mastercard Masters

Stanley

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Outright plays:

Craig Parry to win 25/1 e.w. @ BetDirect

Would rather have Allenby as my first selection, but not when he is 9/1 at best. Instead, top place goes to a Huntingdale specialist who has won this event three times and finished runner-up several times as well. He may have struggled this year after winning twice in 2002, including the NEC Invitational, but he has finished in the top-10 in two if his last three starts and this course definitely suits his game.

Nick O'Hern to win 28/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
O'Hern does not have the same record on this course, but his finishing positions have improved in each of the last four years so he is gradually taming this tough course and he was in the top-10 last year. His form at the end of the European Tour season was very encouraging though. His last five finishing positions were 19th, 19th, 6th, 2nd and 13th. He has now had a month's rest and if he can resume at the same level of golf, he will have a strong chance this week.

Joe Ogilvie to win 66/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Victor Chandler
Ogilvie is the only one of this trio to have won this season and that was on Australian soil. After a miserable few years on the PGA Tour, he joined the Nationwide Tour and followed a runners-up spot in his opening event in Texas with a win in the co-sanctioned Jacob's Creek Open. This has been quite a year for Ogilvie as he won again en route to finishing 2nd on the Nationwide Tour Money List and regaining his PGA Tour Card. He even finished 12th in the Clearwater Classic in Australia as well. No course experience, but this rejuvenated player should not be at such high odds having proved his ability to play on Australian courses.

All plays = 1.5 units wagered.
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):

Robert Allenby to beat Adam Scott -108 @ Pinnacle
Both in similar form and have similarly impressive histories on this course, but Allenby is the better player in Australia. He has finished in the top-5 in 4 of 7 starts on this Tour in the last three years, while Scott's record is only 2 from 13. This course is a stern test of hitting greens in regulation and Allenby has a considerable advantage in this stat.
(available widely)

Scott Laycock to beat Steve Elkington -115 @ Five Dimes
Looks straightforward. Elkington has yet to complete an event since June, has a best finish of 17th this year and is a very rare entrant to Australasian Tour events. Laycock has recovered from a very disappointing first season on the PGA Tour to make the cut in five of his last six Tour starts and he finished 6th in the New South Wales Open two weeks ago. He has also finished 4th and 12th in his last two visits to Huntingdale.

John Senden to beat Richard Green -110 @ SkyBet [3 units]
Easy to oppose Green as well. He has not played in over nine weeks and when he last played, he was woefully out of form. He missed six of his last seven cuts on the European Tour. No comparison with a player who kept his PGA Tour Card with ease.
(also available at Paddy Power)

Nick O'Hern to beat Jarrod Moseley -120 @ Centrebet [3 units]
Backing the outright selection again. O'Hern and Moseley played in 18 common events in 2003 and on only three occasions did Moseley finish ahead of his opponent. Having also only finished ahead of O'Hern once in their last five visits to Huntingdale, this should be a win for the lefty.

Rod Pampling to beat Jarrod Moseley -125 @ Expekt [3 units]
If O'Hern should beat Moseley, then so should Pampling. He had a very profitable finish to the 2003 PGA Tour season to finish in 68th place in the Money List and though he has had a break for minor surgery, he is the better player whether rusty or not. He can at least claim a 3rd place finish two years ago on this course.

Rod Pampling to beat Steve Allan -118 @ Centrebet [3 units]
Allan can be thankful that two weeks in July secured his PGA Tour Card for next year as he has shown little else of the form that won him the 2002 Australian Open. He missed his last two cuts on the PGA Tour, finished only 13th in his only event since - the lowly New South Wales Open two weeks ago - and missed the cut on his last visit to Huntingdale.
 

Stanley

Registered
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Outrights final update: 1-2; +0.94 units

Parry 2nd
O'Hern 27th
Ogilvie mc

Small profit on the outrights with two of the three selections making a god showing. O'Hern was in the place positions for the first two rounds, but Parry took Allenby to a playoff. He could have saved a poor week, but was eliminated on the first hole.

Matchups final update: 2-4-0; -7.88 units

Allenby/Scott WON by 1
Laycock/Elkington LOST by 7
Senden/Green LOST by 5
O'Hern/Moseley LOST by 11
Pampling/Moseley LOST by 2
Pampling/Allan WON by 1

Not very impressive. Two wins by a single shot and a large loss overall with Moseley along counting for over a 7-unit deficit.

Australasian Tour ytd
Matchups: 21-19; 3.28 units
18-holes: 0-0; +0.00 units
Outrights: 5-16; -9.41 units

All Tours ytd
Matchups: 444-315; +173.65 units
18-holes: 302-282; -46.55 units
Outrights: 102-380; +19.51 units
 
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