Az +4.5 and under 164.5

topspinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 19, 1999
174
0
0
nc
I really like Az tonight. I think Duke expended a lot of energy coming back against MD and zona had a fairly easy game. On one days rest, AZ 8-3ats and Duke 0-4. I know it is a small sample, but Dukes game scoring average on one days rest was only 153. Zona's defense against MSU really impressed me, especially the quickness of the guards. On the season they allow less than 40% FG shooting, and 30% from 3 pt range. AZ is also the better rebounding team and average about the same shooting percentage and are better from the line and the deeper team.
Olson has been here before, so shouldn't panic like Williams did. The only thing you can't factor in is heart. Something tells me that Battier could will win this team to victory. However, if they do win I see a very small margin of victory, so give me the points.
On the prop side really like Zona over duke in rebounds. Only team that has outrebounded them in the last ten was MSU, who is the best rebounding team in the country. Duke not that strong on the boards, they are 3-5-2 in their last ten.

The only thing that could change my mind on this game would be if Arenas doesn't play, becuase of injury. Would like to hear contrary opinions, as on paper Az appears to be the better team. (I know games are not played on paper)
 

Patriot

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 12, 2000
43
0
0
charlotte, nc, usa
Like your thoughts and I agree with everything you said about Duke being a little drained. The only thing I don't agree with is that games are not played on paper...
They are played inside TV's.

Good Luck!

Patriot
 

wigs

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 27, 2001
1,935
0
0
49
austin, tx,usa
like you analysis, i really like a propl bet on zona to outrebound duke, with woods, wright, edgersson(sp?) i think they have the size to grab some offensive boards. duke has been outrebounded in the last 2 tourney games and tied ucla in boards...
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top