Bad Football Game of the Week

loophole

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Jul 14, 1999
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bfgotw debuts this year with a straight up dd win by the underdog arkansas state indians. overall record now 27-21, bfgotw 1-0, double unit plays also 1-0. i have gained exactly one unit per week over the last three weeks. with that rate of success i'll soon be able to get mom that operation she's been needing. let's get to it.


navy -2-: let's see, i lost playing on navy last weekend and lost playing against duke the weekend before, so some descretion should be advised before playing this game. however, turnovers played a big roll in the outcome of both of those games. barring similiar circumstances, the midshipmen should be able to out-mediocre the blue devils today. while duke has improved some on defense this year, i don't believe they are ready to take on a team that runs a competent triple option. defending such a team requires good athleticism in order to penetrate at the line of scrimmage and maintain assignments. news flash - devil defense is not packed with good athletes. given this fact, navy should be able to run their option with ease enough to score at least 35-40 points today, and if that's the case, duke simply does not have the offensive capability to play in a shootout type game, even against a defense as bad as navy's. as with all bfgotw, some queasiness will be involved in pulling the trigger, but firmly believe such courage will not go unrewarded.


other plays . . .


west virginia 7-: while i am an admirer of ecu coach logan, bottom line is he's a little bare in the cupboard this year, and is without the weapons to compete against the mountaineers imo.


ga tech/unc over 48-: in the past, defense has been the strength of even the bad tarheel teams, but this year not so. heavy losses from last year has left unc with an inexperienced defensive unit that has constantly made bad reads and missed assignments. they now face a chan gailey designed offense that is heavily laced with deception, multiple sets and confusing gimmickry. the games between these two teams have been high-scoring affairs in recent years, should be more so today.


wake -2-: wake will run through the cavaliers the way sherman ran through atlanta. nuff said.


ky +20: the thought of playing kentucky in the swamp gives me the shivvers, but i just don't believe there's three tds difference in these two team. wildcats seem focused on their season.


back in a bit with the rest. gl today.
 

loophole

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adding . . .


temple +5: probably spent more time this week looking at this game than any other as i just don't understand the line. in fact, considered this game for the bfgotw, but these two teams are a little better than the bowsers i usually feature there. bottom line is temple is the epitome of the loophole criterium - home dog with better rushing and better rushing defense. cincy untested on the road and uncomfortable in the role of road favorite. hell, they couldn't even cover this number at army last year, hard to believe they're that much better one year later.


caught a hook improvement on all the sides above when i put them in - here's the lines i played:

navy -2
w va -7
wake -2


got a few more coming . . .
 

MadJack

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thanks loop. i look forward to these :D

good luck today!!
 

loophole

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here's one for tonight i really like.

uab +8-: blazers traditionally play much better at home and tigers usually much worse on the road. imo this is a large number for the tigers to lay if you believe the blazers can put up three tds - which i do.
 

loophole

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here's my sucker bet of the day . . .


idaho +30-: i think idaho can put up at least a couple of tds today, which makes covering this number problematic for washington. third week in a row for the huskies laying this same number against lesser foes, and they haven't covered yet. hard to think of a reason for them to be motivated to crush idaho in this spot with conference play around the corner.
 

loophole

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i will never play on navy again.
i will never play on navy again.
i will never play on navy again.
i will never play on navy again.
i will never play on navy again.


what the hell could i have been thinking?



now that i have that out of my system, here's a total play for this afternoon.


mich/ill over 50: reasonable number for this game between two teams with plenty of offensive capabilities. last three matchups have played over this number.
 

aldabra

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was disappointed to not see kansas-tulsa in your thread...went to buy tickets and area was a tomb....tulsa not going to beat big twelve team no matter how bad it is...kansas-4.....we have state fair in town about 2 miles from stadium...support will be next to
nil....
 

aldabra

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tulsa ok
as a matter of fact...I would not be surprised to see more KU
fans....paper mentions 1000 tickets for kansas fans...
unless they find out state fair is in town....:D
 

Bubba

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Dammit Loop, I lost on your Navy pick. I demand your plays for next week free as compensation. I think it's the least you could do.
Speaking of military teams, any opinion on Air Force + 8.5 ?
 

loophole

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aldabra - obviously kansas would have been a better play than navy, but when i took my first look at them early in the week, i noticed that of about six games where jayhawks had been road favorites in the last six years, they were 1-5 ats, losing four of the games outright. and there weren't many good teams among the six that ended up home dogs to kansas, thus i took the pass.


bubba - i do like the air force team but i'll probably stick to plaiyng them at home where i feel like they have a nice home field edge. couldn't argue much against them today except to say that it appears that everyone is on them.


i think these three are it for me today . . .

syr +15-
n tex +14-
tex a&m under 49
 
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