Baseball 7/27/01

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Happy'Capper

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Nov 6, 1999
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La Crosse, WI
Yesterday's Recap:
2-4 -1.66 Units
Overall Second Half (July 1st & After)
40-37-1 +11.47 Units

So far for today I have two totals and two sides, looking at a couple more......

Hou Astros Vs. Pitt Pirates OVER 9 1/2 -107
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 1.86 Units

The Astros beat up on left handed pitchers because of that dominant right handed lineup. Tonight they get a lefty that is struggling. Overall this season Houston is hitting .303 VS. Left handed pitching. Over their last ten games they are hitting .316 Vs. Lefties. Joe Beimel is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in July and was 1-3 with a 6.33 in June. In those two months he has allowed 31 Earned runs in 43 IP. Right handed hitters are cracking him at .300 clip. Looks good for Biggio, Bagwell, Alou, Hidalgo, and Castilla. Shane Reynolds is 1-3 with a 6.85 ERA in July and has struggled this year against the Pirates in one start allowing 4 Earned in 5.2 IP. Teams are hitting him at a .303 pace overall. Struggles with runners on base as well..... teams hit him at .379 with runners in scoring position and .404 with runners in scoring position and two outs.

Cle Indians -1 1/2 -117 Det Tigers
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 1.70 Units

I know stop me if you have seen this before, the Indians did not even come close to lighting up the scoreboard last night as I thought they would. Well, I will give them another chance here. The Indians are 30-18 on the road this year as they seem to be able to maintain their concentration better away from Jacobs field. They have hit lefites at a .280 pace on the road as well. Pettyjohn will have his hands full tonight against that powerful lineup. In two starts this year he has allowed nine earned in 10.2 IP, allowing 17 Baserunners total. You will get hammered allowing that many on base against a lineup that has great ability. Colon has pitched extremely well on the road, 7-1 with a 2.65 ERA and .230 average against. In July so far he has been outstandng as well, 3-0 1.82 ERA.

MN Twins Vs. Sea Mariners UNDER 9 1/2 -120
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 1.66 Units

Seattle's last ten games have played to the under nine times with the other contest ending in a push. Six of the Twins last ten games have gone under the total as well. The main reason I believe for the Under being so dominant in the Mariners games is the excellent bullpen. At home this year the M's pen has a 2.29 ERA and in their last ten games their pen has an amazing ERA of 0.96.... The Twins pen recently has held their own as well in the series VS the A's they had an ERA of 1.57. Abbott is 5-1 with a 3.32 ERA at home with teams only hitting .203 against him. In July he is 2-0 with a 3.41 ERA......... When runners are on base he really gets hard to hit, .275 with runners in scoring position and .179 with runners in scoring position and two outs.

KC Royals +190 Oak A's
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 3.80 Units

It probably isn't a good idea to go against Mulder and the A's at home, but Suppan has pitched very well against the A's. So far this season he has pitched 15 innings against them and has allowed five earned runs for a 3.00 ERA..... On the road Suppan has a respectable 4.36 ERA with opponents hitting him at .256; with runners on base he is very tuff...... .207 with runners in scoring position and .200 with runners in scoring position and two outs. Meanwhile Mulder has struggled in his start against the Royals...... 11 hits four earned in five innings ptiched..... Plus, it is possible to get to him later in games, in the seventh inning and later opponents hit him at a .311 pace. In their last three games the pen for the A's got worked really hard throwing 171 pitches. Going to take a chance on "Soup" and the big plus number.

HC
 

Happy'Capper

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Tor BJ's +147 NY Yankees
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 2.94 Units

Here I go again with another pick against the Yanks, 0-2 going against them in their series with Detroit...... But I guess I am hard headed. I believe that Mussina can be gotten to in this game. He is coming off four days of rest and back to back starts where he has thrown over 100 pitches (114 & 113)..... It wasn't like the Yanks held Detroit scoreless in that sweep, the Tigers just had no pitching. So, now here is the first game of the road trip coming off the sweep, looking for the letdown. In night games Mike Mussina is only 3-5 with a 5.10 ERA. Mussina also allows teams to hit .306 with runners in scoring position. In his three starts after the All-Star break opponents are hitting him at a .324 clip overall. I will give you that Carpenter does struggle at home, but since the All-Star break he has been pretty sharp allowing oppenents to hit only .234 off him in his three starts following the break. Koch will be available to close this one out as well if necessary.

HC
 

Happy'Capper

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 6, 1999
342
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La Crosse, WI
Last one of the evening.....

Blt Orioles Vs. Ana Angles OVER 8 1/2 -125
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 1.60 Units

Yes, -125 is quite a high price to pay on a total..... But, wow, when I finished looking at the stats it looks actually like quite a deal. Johnson is coming off his highest pitch count of the year (122) on four days of rest. Not sure how long he will be effective. Away from home he is a very hitable 2-5 with a 4.74 ERA, nothing spectacular. On the other side Scott Schoeneweis at home has a nice record 4-1, but a dull 4.80 ERA. In his last two starts he has given up 10 Earned in Nine innings pitched. With runners in scoring postion team hit .328 off of him. Here is an eye popping stat..... This year Scottie S. has pitched 8 innings agaisnst the Birds. He has allowed 15 Earned, 20 Hits and 5 Walks in that time. That makes for a 16.88 ERA. Orioles have been hitting lefties well (.284 Overall and .306 in their last ten). Plus the Angles have been hitting Righties well lately (.300 in their last ten). These teams have met six times this year and five have played to the over. So now, 8 1/2?!?! Do the pitchers have to hit tonight or are they still using the DH...... actually I would still play the Over if the pitchers were hitting for themselves like they should.

HC
 
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I

Investment Executive

Guest
lineups for sd/mil have haynes pitching...

who do you have out of interest?

=====
SAN DIEGO AT MILWAUKEE -- LINEUPS

SAN DIEGO MILWAUKEE
AVG HR RBI AVG HR RBI
Rickey Henderson LF .220 5 23 Ron Belliard 2B .270 9 31
Mark Kotsay CF .301 7 46 Mark Loretta 3B .286 0 14
Ryan Klesko 1B .297 19 83 Geoff Jenkins LF .268 15 46
Phil Nevin 3B .315 27 83 Richie Sexson 1B .249 23 66
Mike Darr RF .274 0 26 Jeromy Burnitz RF .246 22 66
Ben Davis C .259 7 45 Devon White CF .269 11 36
Damian Jackson 2B .254 2 25 Jose Hernandez SS .255 17 46
D Angelo Jimenez SS .236 1 13 Henry Blanco C .211 2 15
Bobby J Jones RHP .132 0 0 Jimmy Haynes RHP .158 0 0
(6-12, 4.01) (6-13, 5.11)
 
I

Investment Executive

Guest
scratch that question...its confirmed
smile.gif
 
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I

Investment Executive

Guest
No prob H/C.....

make sure you grab some dessert!!
smile.gif


and bring home some winners tonight!!....
 
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