Basic handicapping guide

layinwood

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Aug 29, 2001
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I know this is a pain but I'm going to be hitting Lone Star Park for the next few weeks and horse racing is one of the few things I would like to know how to handicap on my own but I don't.

Does anyone have some basic tips on how to handicap a race?
 

yyz

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I've never looked at a program in my life. I look at the tote board. (The people at the track every day, know more about those horses than you or I will.)

I stay away from races that have 8 or more horses. Too much seems to happen in them.

If I see a race that has 5,6 horses, I like it the best. If it has two horses that are well-favored over the others.........I box them in the "exacta".

$10 each way, usually pays back a nice sum!


The $2 pay for most of those is anywhere from $8-$24, and I get a lot of hits right in the middle of that.

Does it work all of the time? Of course not. But, it seems to serve me well when I go to the OTB, and I don't ever come back close to broke, and plenty of times I make out ok!
 

hogman14

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The program has some good information in my opinion. It's hard to explain over the computer, but you can deduct a lot of information from it.

Starting positions: Compare how a horse has performed in that position prior. There is generally a small "comment" section also to the right of this. For example, if a horse has post position 1, look at the program and see how he's finished when he was close to the rail.

Jockeys: knowing the jockeys at certain tracks is helpful. keep a note of how they perform, they are always good to bet on, especially if the horse has some value

Bet WPS, stay away from any "exotics" bigger than exactas. Simple math can show you the actual odds of hitting some of the larger wagers.

Horse racing is a lot like any type of handicapping. Everyone thinks they have an "edge" but at the end of the day, we're all pretty much equals except for a slight percentage of very sharp cappers.

Still, it is a fun day, and can be inexpensive if you want it to be.

Good luck, and let us know how you fared.
 

Mully

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Here are a few of the most important things to look at when handicapping a race.

1. The Conditions- What I mean by this is, what is the level/purse they are running in. The program will always have this listed at the far left just after the horses post position. This is very valuable to see if the horse is moving up or down in class.

2. What's the distance of the race? It's smart to look back at pp's of each horse to see what their previous speed figs where at the distance and to see what the final time of that race was clocked in. For instance, there might be a horse entered that finished 6th in his last start at the distance, but maybe the race was 2 or 3 sec faster. Each sec of a race could = 2 to 3 lengths.

3. Jockey/Trainer Index- These are normally listed after the last race of each track in the program.

4. Track conditions- Is is fast, sloppy, are they on dirt, turf, or synthetic?

5. ALWAYS read the comments on the far right of the program after each listed race. Very helpfull info. example: bumped out of gate, rider lost whip, checked hard , 5 wide around turn ect...
Just the least bit of traffic or bumping can cost a horse dearly.

6. FOLLOW THE ODDS. If you see a horse that's morning line 12-1 and with 1 min until post, its 2-1 that should tell you something.

These are just a few of the MANY angles one needs to look at when handicapping any race. Or you can just do what my wife does and pick them by name..:mj07:
 

Bif "The Hat"

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It's trial and error. Study the program see what works for you. It won't happen overnight, it will take years.

Try to beat the favorite, its the best strategy, your percentage can be low but you can still do okay.
 

airportis

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Theres so many things to factor in but I'd really advise against betting on the favorites via the toteboard. I think the favorite only wins like 33% of the time or something. Maybe someone can confirm this and has the exact number but the favorite is OFTEN beaten.

Also depends what type of form you have. Some have a lot more information than others.
 

gjn23

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i wouldnt advise boxing 2 horses in a 5-6 horse field that are the two clear favorites over the other 3-4 horses.......they likely will be somwthing like 8-5/8-5 and you'll be lucky to make any money if it hits as half your wager will be a loser.
 

Morris

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Aug 23, 2002
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I never buy a program! Buy a Racing Form and learn how to read it. 10 times more info there than in a program.

Don't look at the tote board it will influence your play. If you like a horse for a good reason bet it.Don't let the tote board change your mind.

Bet to WIN only. Sure the exotics pay more but you will lose more money betting them than if you bet to win only.
 

yyz

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Theres so many things to factor in but I'd really advise against betting on the favorites via the toteboard. I think the favorite only wins like 33% of the time or something. Maybe someone can confirm this and has the exact number but the favorite is OFTEN beaten.

Also depends what type of form you have. Some have a lot more information than others.


I don't think it's even that often. The thing is........is YOUR pick going to be the one that wins? :0corn

Probably not.
 

Redfish

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Aug 3, 2002
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I enjoy betting the ponies just don't have the time to keep up with everything...as others have said lots of info on the PP's that I use when at a track otherwise just review the ML & program...wife likes it to...she goes with the typical women trends but is not to bad at it...she made about 75% of the bets below...when the Crown is running, got to have some action even with small wagers...exotics didn't do to bad .....

24fbprk.jpg
 

kickserv

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Great info guys.........


I don't bet horses much any longer. But back in my "High School Days" I lived at the track. Spent a ton of time there. I couldn't bet legally (too young) so I found guys that would bet for me. I learned quite a bit of info.

Here are a some tips I learned:


1. Always box exactors and triactors

2. Never a bad thing to bet on the top jockey or top owner

3. Daily Racing Form has lots of info (I pay attention to the "expert picks")

4. If a horse poops a massive load just before he races, bet him to show. A horse with a big crap always seems to finish in the money.

and finally.......

If there is a horse named "Shogun", the judges will not award him the win:mj07:
 
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