Beating a team 3 times: myth or good angle?

johnnyonthespot

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Everyone's heard the old adage "It's tough to beat a team 3 times in one yer". Just wanted to see if anyone had any thougts on this as I've been thinking a lot about this through the first half of the conference tourneys. The last 2 nights this angle has seemed to be pretty strong with Creighton beating SMS and UL Laffayette beating Denver after both had lost to those respective teams twice already this year. Is this a case where people only seem to notice when the team that has lost twice wins, but when the team that has already won twice wins again it's just "expected" and no one takes notice? I ask because this has become relevant again to my capping today. I initially really liked WVU, as I think with them needing needing at least one win to lock up a bid they have a lot more to play for today than Prov does. But after seeing that they pulled 2 squeakers out against Prov already this year I am leary. So now, of course, I have to ask myself if I am leary for a good reason or is this just an unsubstantiated superstition? Any thoughts would be appreciated.
 

KsYaS

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also Saint Marys Cal, they were beaten by Santa Clara twice and then SMC beat them in their tourney
 

HoopsGuru

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i think it depends on the situation. if its a rivalry, i would most likely side with the team who is 0-2, however if one team is better than the other i could see reasons for both however i'd lean to the 2-0 team.
 

johnnyonthespot

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Yeah, you know the more I look at it the more I think the line is telling me that Providence has to be the play. You have a sub-.500 team with a 4-12 conference record installed as a 1 point dog (or PK) against a team with an 18-9 overall and 8-8 conference record. That in itself looks goofy. However, this is certainly an even game talent-wise, with maybe even an edge to Providence. It should come down to how Gomes plays, but since the Friars have won 3 of last 4 maybe they are finally putting it together. Think I'm gonna bite on this one and for the moment favor the "good angle" side of this debate. The only other game today that falls under this angle is South Florida vs. Houston. This would appear to be quite a mismatch so the 5 point line looks suspicious. I will consider this one more before I decide to take the plunge or not.
 

HoopsGuru

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i think another big thing in the hou and wvu games are that hou/wvu are good teams at home but average on a neutra/road setting. just another thing to keep in mind.
 

HPark1

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believe Montana played this role also last night beating Montana St.

Personally I don't think it means that much.
 

johnnyonthespot

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Ugh, a lot of time left but this Prov game is not looking good. Gomes is 1-4 which equals the team's overall 26% shooting to start the game and 1-7 from behind the arc. WV is only shooting 44%, which is pretty decent but shouldn't be enough to open up an 18 point lead. Think I'll just cut my losses with this one. Prov. just looks like they want this season over with. They should have their wish soon.
 
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