I don't know about that.... DETROIT has pulled off upsets before at home, beat STL two years ago at home when STL won it all in fact, and I believe they beat SAN FRAN one year at home on MNF when they won it all, possibly in OT, or at the end, can't really remember. ANYWAY, I think it's risky. Yesterday's PHIL/AZ game ALMOST went OT with the same spread on the game...
My favorite prop:
INTS OVER 2.5 +125
With a QB that threw 7 int's in his last start, and a QB who rarely throws one, I still like this play. DET needs to put lots of pressure on WARNER or it's all over. They are weak in DEF BACKFIELD, so they need constant pressure. This could result in a tipped ball at some point, and a cheap INT for DET. IF we get that cheap one, DET should still be good for at least 2 picks tonite, whether TY or BATCH is throwing the ball. That's a winner, at a PLUS PRICE!
The other scenario is a STL blowout, which has DET playing catchup all nite. In this case, you got STL chasing the QB all nite with their quick defense, and BATCH or DETMER throwing on the run which should cause a few int's. WITH DETMER, this prop looks golden, but not with BATCH. BATCH rarely throws INT's, he's very conservative. BUT, if he's pressed into service because DET is down big, he may revert to hurried or riskier throws trying to make an impression, which again, helps the INTS go up. Needing only 3 in the whole game which should revolve around the pass, looks good to me!