SuperBowl 2013
A quarterback has been named the MVP of the Super Bowl the past three years and five of the past six, so it?s little surprise that San Francisco?s Colin Kaepernick is the +160 favorite for Sunday?s game in New Orleans, followed by Ravens QB Joe Flacco at +225.
Kaepernick has been brilliant in these playoff after just seven regular-season starts after replacing Alex Smith. Kaepernick has improved against added pressure during the postseason, primarily because he is making quicker decisions. He held onto the football for 3.8 seconds before passing, taking a sack or scrambling in the regular season when facing five or more pass rushers (league average: 3.4 seconds). That has dipped to 2.8 seconds in the postseason, and the result has been a 98.9 Total QBR (out of 100).
In addition, Kaepernick hasn?t been breaking the pocket as often this postseason, with 49 of his 52 attempts (94.2 percent) coming from within the pocket. In the regular season, 78.9 percent of his attempts came within the pocket, second-lowest in the league (Russell Wilson, 73.3 percent). His accuracy has been another huge asset. Kaepernick has seen only 12.5 percent of his pass attempts fall incomplete due to an over- or underthrown pass. When Kaepernick is off-target, the result is almost always an overthrow, as only four of Kaepernick?s 101 incompletions (including playoffs) have been a result of an underthrown pass.
Kaepernick?s nine total career starts are the third fewest starts by a quarterback prior to starting in the Super Bowl. Jeff Hostetler led the Giants to a win in Super Bowl XXV with just six starts under his belt. Vince Ferragamo?s Rams lost to the Steelers in Super Bowl XIV. In the seven regular season games Kaepernick started, San Francisco used the option a total of 26 times, averaging 5.4 yards per rush with three touchdowns. The Niners have greatly increased the use of the option their two playoff games, running the play 29 times while averaging 8.4 yards per rush with four touchdowns.
Flacco, meanwhile, has won two road playoff games this postseason. His six total road playoff wins are the most in NFL history for a QB. Flacco has eight touchdown passes and no interception in the playoffs. The record for most TDs with no picks in the postseason was set by Joe Montana in 1989 with 11.
Much of Flacco?s success this season stemmed from his downfield passing. Flacco has the most pass attempts more than 20 yards downfield this season (101) but has yet to throw an interception on those throws. Since the start of 2008, no quarterback has finished a season with more than 58 attempts without an interception (Brett Favre, 2009). Read more
