Betting/Math Question...

[flapjack]

Occasionally, I'll mess around with round robin parlays with ML dogs - like playing the lottery. I placed 8x $5 7-team parlays with 8 teams in combination. I did so with 5 wednesday soccer games and 3 college football games this weekend. I hit all 5 of the soccer plays - some of which at really good odds. Now, I am left with basically 40 to win 14K with 3 games remaining - ND -2.5, UCLA ML, Ohio St ML. Its still a bit of a long shot, but within the realm of possibility. So, I stand with 8 7 team parlays pending, 5 games won, 3 pending:

5 parlays with OSU, ND -2.5 AND UCLA 25 to win 10,286

1 with OSU & ND-2.5 5 to win 1146
1 with OSU & UCLA 5 to win 2298
1 with UCLA & ND-2.5 5 to win 1233

ND and UCLA kick off 1/2 hour a part from each other. OSU will be after they end. After their outcome, it will be pretty obvious what to do for the OSU game - if any of my parlays are still alive.

Any suggestions on what to do other than to just ride out the first 2 games and hedge if I get a winner in eath or both? Seems like there should be a way to use something like if/then betting to lock in a profit on the first two games. Thanks for any suggestions.

 

[gjn23]

since you've got little money invested to win big money and are thinking about hedging anyway (the only time i like to hedge)

what about a fairly large 2 team parlay?

tenn ml
mich +

its an initial hedge against your largest payout )10k) but also leaves you with the ability to still win the osu = nd -2.5 parlay while still also being able to hedge on osu/sc if ucla ml and nd come thru

or you could gamble and take ucla + as opposed to tenn ml

or you could really gamble and let it ride and see what happens (but i dont think ucla wins s/u)