K-State +11 COL
K-State is playing much better as of late beating Iowa State who lost by 2 at COL albeit at home but convincingly.......COL is 0-7 ATS and remarkably laying 11 at home. Home they play tough and this team is more talented than K-State with big frosh center who is gonna be good but I think 11 is a little too much.
I always like to look at 5 and 10 points on either side of line and try to figure out which is more likely. Think K-State giving them a game is much more likely than COL winning by 20. The talent differential just is not that great and hard to see COL beating a big 12 team by that much with inconsistent guard play and poor shooting.
K-State is playing much better with guard Larry Reid back in the lineup and I think this line should be more like 7-9 points instead of 11 so I see a little value here. Plus they do have a couple big bodies to counter with CU's center and at least try to neutralize him.
Am still hesitating on whether or not to make a play on this but if I did it would be in K-States direction for a unit. Just do not think there is any way to justify a team laying 11 in conference after losing 7 in a row ATS.....only thing keeping me from playing K-State is the strength of the home court ATS so far this year. Do not know the numbers but I bet home court is about 75% ATS in conference so far..........
Good luck........
K-State is playing much better as of late beating Iowa State who lost by 2 at COL albeit at home but convincingly.......COL is 0-7 ATS and remarkably laying 11 at home. Home they play tough and this team is more talented than K-State with big frosh center who is gonna be good but I think 11 is a little too much.
I always like to look at 5 and 10 points on either side of line and try to figure out which is more likely. Think K-State giving them a game is much more likely than COL winning by 20. The talent differential just is not that great and hard to see COL beating a big 12 team by that much with inconsistent guard play and poor shooting.
K-State is playing much better with guard Larry Reid back in the lineup and I think this line should be more like 7-9 points instead of 11 so I see a little value here. Plus they do have a couple big bodies to counter with CU's center and at least try to neutralize him.
Am still hesitating on whether or not to make a play on this but if I did it would be in K-States direction for a unit. Just do not think there is any way to justify a team laying 11 in conference after losing 7 in a row ATS.....only thing keeping me from playing K-State is the strength of the home court ATS so far this year. Do not know the numbers but I bet home court is about 75% ATS in conference so far..........
Good luck........
