Movement of the line really doesn't affect my plays in any way.
I just pick what I think will happen. My plays are purely opinion.
Texas Tech OVER 68.5 **
Oklahoma -18.5 **
There is no way I could pick KState in this spot as OU may score 60. KState may also not score 20, so I can't take the over. I think there is no way OU scores less than 40 and I think they win this one 50-21 or somewhere around that number.
Texas Tech should score 30 and so should Kansas. One team likely hits 40. I think this game is a shootout. As for a side, i really think this is a pickem so I have no opinion.
The Neb/Baylor game is interesting. I initially thought this was a good spot for Nebraska, but was impressed at how the Bears defense played against Okie State. I could see this one likely being a 31-17 type of game and don't see many scenarios where either Baylor truly has a chance to win (making this a Baylor play) or Nebraska routing them off the field (making this a Nebraska play). So I don't see a good play here.
Anyway, thats my take on the early games. May have another one later.
Good luck.