big 12 freeze plays.....Oct week 1

[dr. freeze]

for the year: 18-7 +2660
ATS: 15-2 +3160
O/U: 3-5 -500

last week: 2-0 +400
last 3 weeks: 10-1 overall; 8-0 ats 2-1 O/U

Texas -6 -330
like the longhorns here....i think KState is extremely overrated this year and the horns get this one done by 2-3 scores....also like this one to be offensive battle but total is already kind of high.i think Roberson will be rusty and this will lead to turnovers on the road as Coach Mack gets win before he gets his yearly spanking next weekend at Dallas

 

[dr. freeze]

Texas Tech -5 -440

score should be about 49-24 i would imagine.....Tech rolls here...A&M sux especially away from College Station

 

[Cie]

I'm looking closely @ T Tech in this spot.

GL....................

 

[buddy]

"...and this will lead to turnovers on the road as Coach Mack gets win before he gets his yearly spanking next weekend at Dallas".

Too funny!

 

[ND2002HORNS]

Like both plays! GL

HORNS

 

[bjfinste]

It's amazing how much the words "Texas A&M" can make people stay stuck in the past and not consider the actual lack of talent on the field. Good luck this weekend, I'm with you on both.

 

[joefrog91]

I'm leaning on Tx Tech, but would rather play the over once I see it. Like your take on TX over K St.

 

[freelancc]

Texas.................-6 :spotting: :spotting:

 

[dr. freeze]

It's amazing how much the words "Texas A&M" can make people stay stuck in the past and not consider the actual lack of talent on the field. Good luck this weekend, I'm with you on both.

yep i am now a TexAg season ticket holder by marriage and this team made me want to puke when i saw them their first game against Arky State.....

they played best game of the year against Va. Tech in a hurricane while Tech didn't play that well and still didn't cover....then played good for a while against Pitt at home and got their ass kicked....

horrible team, no way spread should be this low

i'd take the Red Raiders and lay 20 if i had to

 

[dr. freeze]

lay 34.5

take Okie State -34.5 -220

think this one hits 6 TD blowout 60% of the time

 

[dr. freeze]

Okie State OVER 52 -220

think this one is a shootout...Okie State probably will get this by themselves....

Troy State +27.5 -220

May give Nebraska all they can handle this weekend

Oklahoma -20 -110

little worried about backdoor as Stoops will not show much heading into Dallas game....also possible letdown slot....but i still like the Sooners enough to play em here....not a whole lot of points against bad north team....and the north appears to be very bad this year....south should beat up on North ATS early on in big 12 games this season in general.....should be interesting to track

 

[BADTODABONE]

With you on TX TECH, have been looking for OK STATE this weekend to cover easy , OU covers and SPANKS Mac Brown next week after Bill Snyder has Mac drop his shorts! KSU win @ TX. GL

 

[yak merchant]

Dr. I agree with you that for the first time in two years betting on Texas has some value. The T-sips should cover the six versus Kstate because the Kstate defense isn't what it has been in the past, especially the secondary. I don't think they have anyone to cover Texas' receivers.

Now I have to preface this by saying, I'm an Aggie, however trust me this is not a homer play seeing how I've bet on the Aggies about twice in 10 years. There was much better value betting against RC and his pathetic coaching staff. But I wouldn't bet the farm on Texas Tech. I'm not sure how the aggie D will stop the Tech Passing attack, and yes the Aggies D has looked bad. And I'm not stuck in the past because some of the talent A&M is putting on the field is a joke especially on Defense. And at first look I thought the line looked easy, but when the computer spit out the numbers ,statistically when adjusted for strength of opponent, the Tech Run Defense versus the Aggie Run offense could pose a serious problem. My projections are 7 to 8 yards a carry. Coach Fran is alot smarter than RC, and I forsee alot of running and if they can get Tech's D-line tired, it could turn into the whoever has the ball last shootout. I don't know if the 66.5 they posted for the total is high enough. This could turn into a track meet equally as impressive as last Weeks against Ole Miss. Good luck.

 

[Jaxx]

Thanks for the headsup on T. Tech, Already on Ok. State!
Appreciate the writeups. Keep rollin!

 

[Felonious Monk]

aggy will cover this weekend.

 

[hornsfan2]

i thought we would cover in lbk last year as well....you never know. personally, i like tech in this one, i like the fact it is at 9pm, and i think their D somehow appears for this one....kind of like it appeared for our game last year.

granted they had hunt and flugence (sp?) last year, but i think playing in that damn stadium at night with the little rivalry that has built up between these two will not be fun the ags.

good luck whoever you play.

 

[Hornsfan]

Doc, ultimate respect for your Big XII opinions.

I too will be heavy on the Red Raiders. I see 54-40ish game. ATM may hang for a half, but won't be able to keep up. I will take Tech over for 3rd week in a row.

Love to see your Horns play. Not a KState believer, but am a match-up believer. I am worried about KState offense. If I were coaching against UT, I would hang half a hundred every time. Draws, reverses and misdirections. Key to beating Texas' over pursuing defense. Arkansas exposed a big weaknees that OU has exposed for 3 years. That being said, give me the Horns and the home field.

I hope you are not watering down your plays with Troy and OU. TEnd to agree, but would love to see you continue that phenomenal recode.

Regards.

 

[vanbasten]

solid season freeze. best to you the rest of the way.

 

[theGibber1]

good luck freeze!

 

[BADTODABONE]

freeze,

Let's get that TT win. The spankings happened in Ames and Stillwater.

Keep the winners coming...:Yep: BTDB