Big Numbers Don?t Scare ?Over? Bettors
By SPORTSBETTING.COM
Looking over the lines of the Week #13 matchups it was hard not to notice a few numbers that jumped off the page. Notably, the posted totals on three of the games. We were intrigued by the fact this week?s lineup featured a trio of games with totals right at, or above the 50-mark.
It wasn?t that long ago a posted total of 50-plus was a rare event, but over the last few seasons we?ve begun to see a few more sprinkled throughout each season, usually involving the Indianapolis Colts. But this season has seen a noticeable shift and this card is a perfect example.
The week?s action kicked off with the Thursday night Packers-Cowboys matchup sporting a 51.5 Over/Under number, and it concludes on Monday night with the Patriots and Ravens game butting right up against the 50-mark for their posted total (currently it sits at 49.5 at SPORTSBETTING.COM but could hit 50 before game time). In between those two matchups you?ll find a 51 hung on the Cleveland Browns - Arizona Cardinals Sunday game.
That?s correct?not only is there a Baltimore Raven game with a posted total a sliver away from the 50-mark, but Cleveland is part of the ?Over? 50 club. We note that prior to Week #5 of this season, there had only been one Brown game with a posted total over 44 since the 2003 season and now in back-to-back weeks they have had a total of over 50 on their matchups (last week vs. Houston the line was 52, which went under in a 27-17 final).
This is unfamiliar territory for the Ravens as well, but they?re opponent this week makes it impossible to hang anything but a big number. New England keeps scoring and bettors keep hitting the ?Over? when they take the field.
This offensive prowess has led New England to a mark of 9 overs and 2 unders in their 11 games so far this season. In fact going into the Monday Nighter, New England?s Over/Under record in their last 17 games is 14 overs and 3 unders.
Regardless of the fact Baltimore?s been known for a stout defense (they rank 4th in yards allowed this year), the betting public still can?t stay off the ?over? in a Patriot game, as 80% of the action at SPORTSBETTING.COM on this one is pegged on the game hitting at least 50 points.
- Turning to the Cleveland-Arizona matchup, we have a game involving two of the league?s ?leakier? defenses. The Browns and the Cardinals rank 32nd and 24th in terms of points allowed, which obviously has contributed to the number being set at 51.
The Browns offensive firepower this season has come as a complete surprise, but the total numbers are catching up. The Browns have produced a mark of 9 overs, 1 under and 1 push to this point in the season, with the lone under coming in last week. The Cardinals have only gone over the total three times this year.
Despite the high number, bettors still like the ?Over? in this matchup, as 75% of the action from SPORTSBETTING.COM?s players is counting on a high-scoring affair.
- The ?Over? bettors scored an early win this week, as the Packers and Cowboys battled on Thursday night. The total went off at 51.5 (this season was the first time in well over 10 years the Cowboys have had a total of over 48 on one of their games, and the only other game this season was vs. the Pats), with bettors lining up to get in on the ?Over?. More than 80% of the action on the total in this tilt was tabbed to the ?Over.
The tickets cashed when the Dallas scored a late touchdown for a 34-24 win.
So with one big ?Over? in the books, we?ll keep an eye on the other two matchups to see if ?Over? bettors get their wish and the other games hit well into the 50?s.
Other Over/Under notables from this week are:
- The ?Fire Matt Millen? lobby group has gone into hibernation for the time being and the Lions faithful actually have something to be excited about, and it?s not a high pick in the draft either. Detroit is gearing up for a tilt in Minnesota and the total is set at 45.
The Lions have 7 overs in their last nine division games, while the Vikings have gone over in five out of their last seven matchups. SPORTSBETTING.COM is seeing 85% of the wagering volume going towards the Over in this one.
- One of the closest division races in the league is taking place in the AFC South with David Garrard and the 8-3 Jacksonville Jaguars nipping at the heels of Peyton Manning and the 9-2 Indy Colts. The two teams square off in Indianapolis this Sunday with top spot in the division on the line. The Colts are favored by 6.5, and the total is set at 44.5.
The Over is seeing action at an 80% clip.
Not all NFL games are seeing a majority of Over bets though.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a dreadful Monday Nighter where they only managed to score a field goal?well short of the total of 37.5.
This week the bettors at SPORTSBETTING.COM thinks the Steelers will go below the posted total of 45 when they host the Cincinnati Bengals (77% are on the Under), although recent numbers aren?t supporting it. In their last 25 home games Pittsburgh has gone Over the number 18 times.
- Speaking of Miami, the winless Dolphins are playing the two win NY Jets in a potential snorer. Here?s some interesting numbers: since October of ?04, the Fish have only gone under four times after a loss on the road and the Jets have dipped below the total only four times in their last 14 against divisional foes.
Still, 90% of the action is tabbed on the Under.
Whatever plays you make this week, enjoy all the action. It?s a big weekend in the NCAA (Championship Weekend) and the NFL. Good luck.
Stop by SPORTSBETTING.COM to check out the great bonus offers, reduced juice specials, and free contests with some of the biggest prizes on the net.
By SPORTSBETTING.COM
Looking over the lines of the Week #13 matchups it was hard not to notice a few numbers that jumped off the page. Notably, the posted totals on three of the games. We were intrigued by the fact this week?s lineup featured a trio of games with totals right at, or above the 50-mark.
It wasn?t that long ago a posted total of 50-plus was a rare event, but over the last few seasons we?ve begun to see a few more sprinkled throughout each season, usually involving the Indianapolis Colts. But this season has seen a noticeable shift and this card is a perfect example.
The week?s action kicked off with the Thursday night Packers-Cowboys matchup sporting a 51.5 Over/Under number, and it concludes on Monday night with the Patriots and Ravens game butting right up against the 50-mark for their posted total (currently it sits at 49.5 at SPORTSBETTING.COM but could hit 50 before game time). In between those two matchups you?ll find a 51 hung on the Cleveland Browns - Arizona Cardinals Sunday game.
That?s correct?not only is there a Baltimore Raven game with a posted total a sliver away from the 50-mark, but Cleveland is part of the ?Over? 50 club. We note that prior to Week #5 of this season, there had only been one Brown game with a posted total over 44 since the 2003 season and now in back-to-back weeks they have had a total of over 50 on their matchups (last week vs. Houston the line was 52, which went under in a 27-17 final).
This is unfamiliar territory for the Ravens as well, but they?re opponent this week makes it impossible to hang anything but a big number. New England keeps scoring and bettors keep hitting the ?Over? when they take the field.
This offensive prowess has led New England to a mark of 9 overs and 2 unders in their 11 games so far this season. In fact going into the Monday Nighter, New England?s Over/Under record in their last 17 games is 14 overs and 3 unders.
Regardless of the fact Baltimore?s been known for a stout defense (they rank 4th in yards allowed this year), the betting public still can?t stay off the ?over? in a Patriot game, as 80% of the action at SPORTSBETTING.COM on this one is pegged on the game hitting at least 50 points.
- Turning to the Cleveland-Arizona matchup, we have a game involving two of the league?s ?leakier? defenses. The Browns and the Cardinals rank 32nd and 24th in terms of points allowed, which obviously has contributed to the number being set at 51.
The Browns offensive firepower this season has come as a complete surprise, but the total numbers are catching up. The Browns have produced a mark of 9 overs, 1 under and 1 push to this point in the season, with the lone under coming in last week. The Cardinals have only gone over the total three times this year.
Despite the high number, bettors still like the ?Over? in this matchup, as 75% of the action from SPORTSBETTING.COM?s players is counting on a high-scoring affair.
- The ?Over? bettors scored an early win this week, as the Packers and Cowboys battled on Thursday night. The total went off at 51.5 (this season was the first time in well over 10 years the Cowboys have had a total of over 48 on one of their games, and the only other game this season was vs. the Pats), with bettors lining up to get in on the ?Over?. More than 80% of the action on the total in this tilt was tabbed to the ?Over.
The tickets cashed when the Dallas scored a late touchdown for a 34-24 win.
So with one big ?Over? in the books, we?ll keep an eye on the other two matchups to see if ?Over? bettors get their wish and the other games hit well into the 50?s.
Other Over/Under notables from this week are:
- The ?Fire Matt Millen? lobby group has gone into hibernation for the time being and the Lions faithful actually have something to be excited about, and it?s not a high pick in the draft either. Detroit is gearing up for a tilt in Minnesota and the total is set at 45.
The Lions have 7 overs in their last nine division games, while the Vikings have gone over in five out of their last seven matchups. SPORTSBETTING.COM is seeing 85% of the wagering volume going towards the Over in this one.
- One of the closest division races in the league is taking place in the AFC South with David Garrard and the 8-3 Jacksonville Jaguars nipping at the heels of Peyton Manning and the 9-2 Indy Colts. The two teams square off in Indianapolis this Sunday with top spot in the division on the line. The Colts are favored by 6.5, and the total is set at 44.5.
The Over is seeing action at an 80% clip.
Not all NFL games are seeing a majority of Over bets though.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a dreadful Monday Nighter where they only managed to score a field goal?well short of the total of 37.5.
This week the bettors at SPORTSBETTING.COM thinks the Steelers will go below the posted total of 45 when they host the Cincinnati Bengals (77% are on the Under), although recent numbers aren?t supporting it. In their last 25 home games Pittsburgh has gone Over the number 18 times.
- Speaking of Miami, the winless Dolphins are playing the two win NY Jets in a potential snorer. Here?s some interesting numbers: since October of ?04, the Fish have only gone under four times after a loss on the road and the Jets have dipped below the total only four times in their last 14 against divisional foes.
Still, 90% of the action is tabbed on the Under.
Whatever plays you make this week, enjoy all the action. It?s a big weekend in the NCAA (Championship Weekend) and the NFL. Good luck.
Stop by SPORTSBETTING.COM to check out the great bonus offers, reduced juice specials, and free contests with some of the biggest prizes on the net.
