At an O/U of 54 in the Iowa/Miami(Oh) game is almost like free money- unless they are expecting bad weather in Ohio.
The reason Iowa's defense looked weak against Akron last week, joebell, is due to the 37 points the Hawks scored in the 1st quarter coupled with the fact that the Zips couldn't run on the Iowa defense at all.
The Iowa coaching staff had the defense playing prevent with 5 defensive backs from the 2nd quarter on. In addition, due to the lack of experience on the defensive line, the coaches were shuttling players in and out to try and get a better feel for who should be in the D-line rotation.
I was all set to grab the RedHawks and the points until I took a close look at Miami's win vs North Carolina. The Tar Heels turned the ball over 9, count 'em.... 9! times and still almost stole the game at the end with a late TD and a recovery of the onside kick.
NO WAY does Iowa lose 9 TOs and the Hawks won't have much trouble running on Miami behind one of the deepest and more talented offensive lines in the country.
The defensive line of the Hawkeyes still concerns me a bit, and this game should give us more idea of how good that unit will be. If they struggle to put pressure on the Miami QB, this game will certainly be a high scoring affair.
Right now, I'm leaning to a small (1 or 2 unit) play on Iowa -4.5 and a larger (4-6 unit) play on the over 54. Hope this helps a bit and good luck on your wagers!
