I found this write-up on the Louisiana Tech (-3) at San Jose St.
3 pts is a key number, I'll be happy to take it for insurance. The wrong team is favorite!! Books messed up this line bigtime!! I book this game as San Jose st -4!! That's a 7 pt swing!! That's like getting a free 7 pt tease in one game! I look at all the lines each week, and for the first time this season, my eyes almost jumped out of my skull when I saw this one!!
Analysis.....
Louis tech, never won one road game all season (0-5). Understandable losses to Clemson, Penn st and Tex AM on the road, but also to mediocre Rice and pathetic SMU on the road, two teams you need to beat in order to atleast consider yourself half decent. If a team goes away against good teams like the first three, if you're any good, atleast decent, you'll put up a fight atleast, but Louis tech never even challenged any of them, (Clemson 33 Louis tech 13......Penn st 49 Louis tech 17.......Texas AM 31 Louis tech 3). What really tells more about their patheticism, is not only they go on to lose to mediocre Rice and SMU, but allow each of them to score 37 pts against them.
The Rice Owls scored more points (37) against Louis tech, compared to any other opponents all season, Navy, Utep, Smu, and Tulsa, all with pathetic defenses held Rice to less points than Louis tech did. Even SMU mustangs, who doesn't score much points, tacked on (37) pts on Louis tech's defense, the most points smu have scored on any opponent they've played this season also. San Jose st's offense is much more potent than Rice's and SMU's offense. So I'm looking for San jose st to score around 50 pts in this game. If that's not proof enough that Louis tech has a horrific defense, I don't know what is. Check out the stats yourself.
On the other side, San jose st is 4-6, however, they've played 8 out of their 10 games on the road, and mainly against big conference schools, Wash, Stanford, Illinois, Ohio st. Most Wac teams would have a losing record if they had the same schedule as San Jose st. What's impressive about San jose st did get 3 wins on the road, ark st, illinois, and SMU(who Louis tech lost to). Looking at the 2 games they played at home, they got hammered by Boise st, which is very understandable, seeing that boise is by far the elite team in the WAC. The other home game, they blew out UTEP 52-24. Louis tech's defense ain't no better than Utep's defense.
I look for San jose st, who has, I feel, just as potent offensive skilled players at their 3 key positions(QB Rislov, RB Ferguson, and WR Poley, and excellent kick returner) as Louis tech's previous opponents Clemson, Tex Am and Penn st., to light up the scoreboard all night long on an absolutely horrible Louis tech defense. Expect Louis tech's McKnown, to lead them to score some points, too, against San Jose st's bad pass defense, however, it evens out or works fine for San jose st, because if you check an interesting key stat about San jose st's defense, they have the most "turnovers gained" in the nation (30). Even more than Notre Dame!!! (Who has 25).
They blitzed and put a ton of pressure on Hawaii's Timmy Chang, disrupted him more than any other opponent did in Aloha stadium this season(very tough place to play), and getting 2 interceptions. Now back at home against another passing team in Louis tech, I expect the same pressure and even more turnovers. Also, this is a good position to pick San jose st and go against Louis tech this weekend. Louis tech comes off a big win at home, 50-47 over Nevada. Often times a team leaves back that fire and emotion in the previous game in which they barely won, not as up for the next game after an emotionally draining win, and goes into the den of an opponent fired up and hungry for a win. San Jose st will be fired up and score a ton of points in this game.
Looks like there is some big time line value if you scratch the surface a little more on this game
:thumb: :thumb:
3 pts is a key number, I'll be happy to take it for insurance. The wrong team is favorite!! Books messed up this line bigtime!! I book this game as San Jose st -4!! That's a 7 pt swing!! That's like getting a free 7 pt tease in one game! I look at all the lines each week, and for the first time this season, my eyes almost jumped out of my skull when I saw this one!!
Analysis.....
Louis tech, never won one road game all season (0-5). Understandable losses to Clemson, Penn st and Tex AM on the road, but also to mediocre Rice and pathetic SMU on the road, two teams you need to beat in order to atleast consider yourself half decent. If a team goes away against good teams like the first three, if you're any good, atleast decent, you'll put up a fight atleast, but Louis tech never even challenged any of them, (Clemson 33 Louis tech 13......Penn st 49 Louis tech 17.......Texas AM 31 Louis tech 3). What really tells more about their patheticism, is not only they go on to lose to mediocre Rice and SMU, but allow each of them to score 37 pts against them.
The Rice Owls scored more points (37) against Louis tech, compared to any other opponents all season, Navy, Utep, Smu, and Tulsa, all with pathetic defenses held Rice to less points than Louis tech did. Even SMU mustangs, who doesn't score much points, tacked on (37) pts on Louis tech's defense, the most points smu have scored on any opponent they've played this season also. San Jose st's offense is much more potent than Rice's and SMU's offense. So I'm looking for San jose st to score around 50 pts in this game. If that's not proof enough that Louis tech has a horrific defense, I don't know what is. Check out the stats yourself.
On the other side, San jose st is 4-6, however, they've played 8 out of their 10 games on the road, and mainly against big conference schools, Wash, Stanford, Illinois, Ohio st. Most Wac teams would have a losing record if they had the same schedule as San Jose st. What's impressive about San jose st did get 3 wins on the road, ark st, illinois, and SMU(who Louis tech lost to). Looking at the 2 games they played at home, they got hammered by Boise st, which is very understandable, seeing that boise is by far the elite team in the WAC. The other home game, they blew out UTEP 52-24. Louis tech's defense ain't no better than Utep's defense.
I look for San jose st, who has, I feel, just as potent offensive skilled players at their 3 key positions(QB Rislov, RB Ferguson, and WR Poley, and excellent kick returner) as Louis tech's previous opponents Clemson, Tex Am and Penn st., to light up the scoreboard all night long on an absolutely horrible Louis tech defense. Expect Louis tech's McKnown, to lead them to score some points, too, against San Jose st's bad pass defense, however, it evens out or works fine for San jose st, because if you check an interesting key stat about San jose st's defense, they have the most "turnovers gained" in the nation (30). Even more than Notre Dame!!! (Who has 25).
They blitzed and put a ton of pressure on Hawaii's Timmy Chang, disrupted him more than any other opponent did in Aloha stadium this season(very tough place to play), and getting 2 interceptions. Now back at home against another passing team in Louis tech, I expect the same pressure and even more turnovers. Also, this is a good position to pick San jose st and go against Louis tech this weekend. Louis tech comes off a big win at home, 50-47 over Nevada. Often times a team leaves back that fire and emotion in the previous game in which they barely won, not as up for the next game after an emotionally draining win, and goes into the den of an opponent fired up and hungry for a win. San Jose st will be fired up and score a ton of points in this game.
Looks like there is some big time line value if you scratch the surface a little more on this game
:thumb: :thumb:
