BIG TOTAL LINE MOVEMENT

[ESPNTED]

DO ANYONE KNOW WHY THE LINE DROP FROM 208.5 TO 205 ON THE WAS/NJ GAME?

I PLAYED THE OVER 208.5 THIS MORNING & NOW DROP 3.5 POINTS.

THINKING PUTING 5 MORE UNITS ON THE OVER AGAIN.


THANKS

 

[Fast Eddie]

My numbers show over that total, I'm not sure why the line moved that much. They almost play at exactly the same pace as you'll see below, which I believe is a hell of alot easier capping a total, than 2 teams playing fast/slow.

Location Predicted Line
at New Jersey Nets New Jersey Nets 107.0 Washington Wizards 100.0 -7.0
Neutral New Jersey Nets 106.0 Washington Wizards 101.0 -5.0
at Washington Wizards New Jersey Nets 104.0 Washington Wizards 103.0 -1.0


Average Pace of Game 207.1
Away Team Controls Pace 207.2
Home Team Controls Pace 207.0

I also have another set of numbers I've used for a few years with the overall stats and last 5 games. I have the

overall

213.5

last 5

212.1

I'm taking a shot at the over, I'm not aware of any significant injury, maybe something will come up before tip, but with the line drop and the projected numbers I'm playing over 205.5 for 1 unit.

 

[BUCSnotYUCKS]

New Jersey and Washington have both shown the ability to go into scoring droughts. I'm showing a 1H total of 101, but game total of 205.5 at betjam.

Neither play GREAT defense, but apparently the new coaching staff in WSH are attempting to be more defensive minded.

The good MONEY today is PORTLAND/NEW YORK OVER.