Indy -10
Total - 44.5
"No team is as good as they look when the win or as bad as they look when they lose"
In no other sport is this as often true then the NFL. Bills looked offensively lost vs NO last week while Indy marched up and down field vs NYJ. based on what we saw in week 1, Bills would have no chance today.
I'll give you some reasons why the Bills can keep this close and some reason why not and you decide.
1) Bills played indy very tough for six quarters last year. Lost a heartbreaker at RWS as manning drove for game winning field goal in last two minutes and then trailed only 6-3 at half in Monday night at Indy.
2) GM Donahoe put OL Fina on notice this week that his play must improve or face losing his job. Fina is a 6-7 year veteren and i expect that this will inspire him to play better. Johnson from NO ate him up last week but I don't see indy putting the same type of pressure on him today.
3) Talk in Buffalo in last two weeks centered on failure to get moulds the ball. Bills skill players followed up publically by saying that teams are going to try to take moulds out of game and it is up to them (Price, centers, riemsama) to pick it up if Moulds is going to be double teamed. I like this attitute and expect to see a better performance from the short passing game today.
3) Bills will move Moulds around more today to get him in single coverage situations. johnson and Moulds spent more time over past two weeks working on timing.
4) I expect johnson to get better and more confortable with the west coast offense. With two weeks to prepare and facing a defense that is much softer then Saints, Johnson will do better today. Johnson has played well vs. Colts in past.
5) RB Henry is explosive runner. if line steps up preformance against colt team that can be had on the ground, Bills can control the clock and keep manning off the field. Colts ran alot of hurry up vs. Jets but remeber that this place can place defense on field for long stretches. Jets cashed for 24 points and turned it over inside the five vs. Colts.
6) Defense played great vs. Saints until turnovers turned the tide in ame one. Bills strength is in the secondary and have held manning in check in the past.
Reason why they will not cover the 10..
1) Loss of cowart is tough. Bills rose to the occasion in game one but teams often rise up emotionally when a leader is hurt like that. two weeks have pass and reality will set in. replaced up undrafted rookie from last year. Good run stopper but needs experience on pass coverage. manning knows this and will go at him.
2) Williams took over game in 2nd half and expose Bills lack of run stoppers on line. james will give them all they can handle here.
3) Colts return game is excellent and Bills coverage is not. Give Manning field position and he will light up scoreboard.
4) Johnson could get flustered inside the Dome. he was almost killed in 1st half on Monday night last year as Colts were in backfield on every play. Colts will pressure him from the start.
5) Bills are not a catch up team. if Colts get up early Bills will not be able to stop the bleeding.
5) PK Ariens for Bills made two chip shots in first action but has yet to be tested from 40+. My feeling is that he lacks the leg strength.
I look for the Bills to play better offensively. Colts defense play softer then most, giving up the short syuff and trying to avoid the big play. This plays into Bills game plan of short passes, move the ball, run the clock, etc....Bills could realistically could put up 20+ today.
Bills will be unable to stop manning and James today. i don't see the Bills getting much pressure upfront and will hasve to gamble with blitzes or manning will pick them apart. if they do blitz, expect harrisson to grab a long one or two. Two weeks is an eternity for manning to prepare and Bills have holes that can be exploited.
Colts 34 Bills 23
TAKE THE OVER
Total - 44.5
"No team is as good as they look when the win or as bad as they look when they lose"
In no other sport is this as often true then the NFL. Bills looked offensively lost vs NO last week while Indy marched up and down field vs NYJ. based on what we saw in week 1, Bills would have no chance today.
I'll give you some reasons why the Bills can keep this close and some reason why not and you decide.
1) Bills played indy very tough for six quarters last year. Lost a heartbreaker at RWS as manning drove for game winning field goal in last two minutes and then trailed only 6-3 at half in Monday night at Indy.
2) GM Donahoe put OL Fina on notice this week that his play must improve or face losing his job. Fina is a 6-7 year veteren and i expect that this will inspire him to play better. Johnson from NO ate him up last week but I don't see indy putting the same type of pressure on him today.
3) Talk in Buffalo in last two weeks centered on failure to get moulds the ball. Bills skill players followed up publically by saying that teams are going to try to take moulds out of game and it is up to them (Price, centers, riemsama) to pick it up if Moulds is going to be double teamed. I like this attitute and expect to see a better performance from the short passing game today.
3) Bills will move Moulds around more today to get him in single coverage situations. johnson and Moulds spent more time over past two weeks working on timing.
4) I expect johnson to get better and more confortable with the west coast offense. With two weeks to prepare and facing a defense that is much softer then Saints, Johnson will do better today. Johnson has played well vs. Colts in past.
5) RB Henry is explosive runner. if line steps up preformance against colt team that can be had on the ground, Bills can control the clock and keep manning off the field. Colts ran alot of hurry up vs. Jets but remeber that this place can place defense on field for long stretches. Jets cashed for 24 points and turned it over inside the five vs. Colts.
6) Defense played great vs. Saints until turnovers turned the tide in ame one. Bills strength is in the secondary and have held manning in check in the past.
Reason why they will not cover the 10..
1) Loss of cowart is tough. Bills rose to the occasion in game one but teams often rise up emotionally when a leader is hurt like that. two weeks have pass and reality will set in. replaced up undrafted rookie from last year. Good run stopper but needs experience on pass coverage. manning knows this and will go at him.
2) Williams took over game in 2nd half and expose Bills lack of run stoppers on line. james will give them all they can handle here.
3) Colts return game is excellent and Bills coverage is not. Give Manning field position and he will light up scoreboard.
4) Johnson could get flustered inside the Dome. he was almost killed in 1st half on Monday night last year as Colts were in backfield on every play. Colts will pressure him from the start.
5) Bills are not a catch up team. if Colts get up early Bills will not be able to stop the bleeding.
5) PK Ariens for Bills made two chip shots in first action but has yet to be tested from 40+. My feeling is that he lacks the leg strength.
I look for the Bills to play better offensively. Colts defense play softer then most, giving up the short syuff and trying to avoid the big play. This plays into Bills game plan of short passes, move the ball, run the clock, etc....Bills could realistically could put up 20+ today.
Bills will be unable to stop manning and James today. i don't see the Bills getting much pressure upfront and will hasve to gamble with blitzes or manning will pick them apart. if they do blitz, expect harrisson to grab a long one or two. Two weeks is an eternity for manning to prepare and Bills have holes that can be exploited.
Colts 34 Bills 23
TAKE THE OVER
