Billy Blastoff

[gk51]

My calculations say there are 3 plays today. Please tell me if I'm wrong. I've been wrong before.:mj07:

Holy Cross +10'
Hartford +6
Vanderbilt +15

GLTA
SDJ

I only come up with Holy Cross +10 1/2

7OT has Hartford by 1 & TR has UMass Lowell by 10.8 = No Play

TR has Auburn by 10 & TR has Auburn by 22.4 = No Play

**** Holy Cross is a low mid major game not sure if he includes in system.

 

[SourDoughJoe]

I only come up with Holy Cross +10 1/2

7OT has Hartford by 1 & TR has UMass Lowell by 10.8 = No Play

TR has Auburn by 10 & TR has Auburn by 22.4 = No Play

**** Holy Cross is a low mid major game not sure if he includes in system.

Thanx gk, I was looking at the variance from the bottom and top ends.
GL SDJ

 

[beckster311]

Thanx gk, I was looking at the variance from the bottom and top ends.
GL SDJ

What about Notre Dame and Gardner Webb? I see both with a difference of 4 or above on both sheets...

 

[Hailmary]

What about Notre Dame and Gardner Webb? I see both with a difference of 4 or above on both sheets...

Nc State opened -5 over Notre Dame and talismanred has NCS by 5 and 7OT's has NCS by 10 so that one is a no play.

Radford opened -3 over Gardner Webb and talismanred has Rad by 6.9 and 7OT's has Rad by 7 so it has a delta of 4 so it is a non play as well.

Hope this helps you with your decision. Good luck tonight!! :0074

 

[heleanth]

Nc State opened -5 over Notre Dame and talismanred has NCS by 5 and 7OT's has NCS by 10 so that one is a no play.

Radford opened -3 over Gardner Webb and talismanred has Rad by 6.9 and 7OT's has Rad by 7 so it has a delta of 4 so it is a non play as well.

Hope this helps you with your decision. Good luck tonight!! :0074

In the ?Live Odds? on this site, it shows NC St opened at pk and Radford opened at -2. Why are those different?

 

[gk51]

What about Notre Dame and Gardner Webb? I see both with a difference of 4 or above on both sheets...

Notre Dame game: 7OT has by 10 & TR has by 4 = No Play

Gardner Webb game this morning the line was -3 1/2 and both had by 7 = No Play

2 things about that game you can't let line changes during day factor the play I believe and also that G Webb is a low mid major game.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Sorry I did not look at the games today

 

[Billy Blastoff]

One of the easiest sites that you can use that will have the numbers calculated for you is the predictiontracker.com

Once you click on college basketball you scroll down to the bottom of the page and will have about 20 different number predicting systems you just find the two that I am using and it becomes easy to figure out which ones are the correct selections usually gets updated around 11 AM each day

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Years ago I gave everyone a lot of my philosophies nowadays with so many computer algorithms if you can just figure out the right combination you can make money at this game years ago are used to have to input everything just to arrive with my Q factor.

But I know it?s hard for people to understand but you?re better off not knowing anything and just work with pure numbers once you get to emotional thinking everything goes out the window because any angle that you think you can find Las Vegas has already found so the easiest way to win is to bet on the side of Las Vegas

And no matter what anyone thinks there is no such thing as smart money unless a game is fixed and nowadays that is near to impossible

 

[gk51]

One of the easiest sites that you can use that will have the numbers calculated for you is the predictiontracker.com

Once you click on college basketball you scroll down to the bottom of the page and will have about 20 different number predicting systems you just find the two that I am using and it becomes easy to figure out which ones are the correct selections usually gets updated around 11 AM each day

That's what I use. After you open up the page at the top of page there is a link labeled "Comma Separated File", when you open that up it puts everything in an Excel file then you can cut and paste the teams you want next to the line and it makes it easier to figure out what the plays are. Sure makes it a lot easier to figure out what the plays should be.

Billy thanks for sharing the sites that you use for calculating the plays.

 

[beckster311]

Thanks for the help with this everyone, this is what these forums are for and its very much appreciated. I'm always learning!:0008

 

[locman]

Thanks for the help with this everyone, this is what these forums are for and its very much appreciated. I'm always learning!:0008

+1 thanks for sharing Billy.

Looks like Weber St. is the only play on the board.. line opened at N.Col -3 and both models have NCol by 10 and 8.2.

Btw, Billy - with so many other predictors - can you share why 7ots and Talisman?

 

[bryanz]

+1 thanks for sharing Billy.

Looks like Weber St. is the only play on the board.. line opened at N.Col -3 and both models have NCol by 10 and 8.2.

Btw, Billy - with so many other predictors - can you share with 7ots and Talisman?

Weber st is not a play.

 

[locman]

Weber st is not a play.

why not? it's a >4 variance on both models

Opening line Ncol -3'
7OTs has NCol by 10 (73-63)
Talisman has NCol by 8.2

both models have a greater than 4 variance over the opening line.. which means a play on Weber St.. what am I missing :shrug:

 

[bryanz]

why not? it's a >4 variance on both models

Opening line Ncol -3'
7OTs has NCol by 10 (73-63)
Talisman has NCol by 8.2

both models have a greater than 4 variance over the opening line.. which means a play on Weber St.. what am I missing :shrug:

your right.

 

[IowaDonk]

Nice work guys!

 

[Billy Blastoff]

+1 thanks for sharing Billy.

Looks like Weber St. is the only play on the board.. line opened at N.Col -3 and both models have NCol by 10 and 8.2.

Btw, Billy - with so many other predictors - can you share why 7ots and Talisman?

I?m not sure anyone would understand linear regression and probability indexes.

All you need to know is it wins.

You must remember even if the system picks a team you have to make sure the game isnt from one of the lower 4 conferences ( low mid major)
If any team from that conference is playing in a game it is automatically eliminated the conferences to eliminate all the teams from are

NEC
Southland
SWAC
MEAC

 

[bryanz]

I liked Tx San , It was a close miss for your system but easy winner.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

I liked Tx San , It was a close miss for your system but easy winner.

In the initial stages when I was trying to figure out where the cut off was I initially started at 3 but it gave me way too many pics and the results only came out at roughly 50%.
I would be careful with anything that is below the 4 cutoff.

You will see that if you use and follow strict with the rules of the 4 spread I have found that the results come up with over a 62-64% win number

Unfortunately if you want to add the selections from the bottom for conferences of which I?ve taken out of the system the number comes up around 55% so make sure that you will delete any games for any teams that are from the bottom 4 conferences

NEC
Southland
SWAC
MEAC

 

[gk51]

Billy for future reference would you not include the Ohio Valley? Reason I ask is yesterday SIU-Edwardsville was a play.

Also the added games in the rotation I assume you would not include.

Thanks for the information.