BMW Russian Open

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
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Outright plays (1pt):

Markus Brier to win 25/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Victor Chandler and BlueSq
In the best form of any player in this field following two top-20 finishes in the last two weeks and crucially he does have good course experience. He played last year and finished 21st, but also managed a 5th place finish on this course on his previous visit in 1999. Would expect the same again.

Jean-Francois Lucquin to win 40/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Lucquin is another with good course experience, having finished 8th on his last appearance in 2002. He was in the middle of a six-month spell in which he had seven top-10 finishes in 13 starts on the European Challenge Tour, including a win and two top-5 finishes in two starts on the main European Tour. He struggled in 2003, but there were indications earlier in the summer that he was returning to his previous form and this represents a good chance for him to secure his Tour card for next year. He is certainly a good enough player for this Tour.

Ross Fisher to win 80/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
Whether Fisher is good enough or not remains to be seen, but the young Wentworth pro has made an impressive start in his two appearances on Tour. He shot every round under par to finish 15th in the Scandinavian Masters two weeks ago and was set for another high finish, lying 17th after three rounds last week, but fell back on Sunday. These were on courses that he had never played before, so if can maintain this level of play, his lack of course knowledge at Moscow may not be such a handicap. Worth a punt at this price.
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Matchup plays (1pt):

Markus Brier to beat Andrew Coltart +124 @ Expekt
Will gladly take these odds on a player who is looking to maintain his elevation to the main Tour over someone who has declined a long way from a Ryder Cup player only five years ago. Brier had two top-5 finishes in four starts when this was a Challenge Tour event, plus 21st last year, so even though Coltart finished 4th on his debut last year, there does not appear to be an edge of favour of the Scot on course form. And with Brier having finished ahead of Coltart in three of their last five common events, there seems little reason for such good odds.
(also available at Five Dimes)

Markus Brier to beat Jarmo Sandelin -125 @ Centrebet
Four missed cuts in his last five starts, trailing behind Brier in their last four common events and having no previous course experience, there seems little reason to expect Sandelin to win this matchup.

Sven Struver to beat Iain Pyman +108 @ Five Dimes
With two wins in three starts on this course, Pyman is clearly the course specialist on view this week, but his form is very poor, much worse than Struver's. The German has a 8-3-0 h2h lead in 2004 and importantly does have course experience having finished 42nd last year. Will take these odds on the player who is the much better form.
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +0.63pts

Brier 2nd
Lucquin 47th
Fisher mc

Small profit after Brier finished 2nd. He was in contention throughout, but never quite did enough to get a share of the lead.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-0-0; +3.32pts

Brier/Coltart WON by 14
Brier/Sandelin WON by 10
Struver/Pyman WON by 1

Three wins at good odds, particularly against two players whose game has seen better days, but still attract good odds.

European Tour ytd
Outrights: 17-42; +42.35pts
Matchups: 51-36; +16.13pts
 
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