Booz Allen Classic

[Stanley]

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Jim Furyk to win 16/1 e.w. available generally
Furyk's rehabilitation from his wrist injury is almost complete. He has done everything but win. He has five top-10 finishes in the last three months, including two runners-up spots and but for a very slow start last week when he made the cut on the mark, he would have seriously challenged for the title last week. A 64 on Saturday and a very fast start in Sunday showed his form and given that he finished 5th in the 1997 U.S. Open on this course, this could be a very successful preparation for next week's event.

Luke Donald to win 28/1 e.w. available generally
The U.S. Open represents Donald's best chance of a major and while it is probably a little too early in his career for this year, he will win majors throughout his career. For now, he is merely being competitive wherever he plays and that involves three different continents in his last three events. Only once has he finished outside the top-20 in any event this year (the FBR Open in February), so he really should contend for a top-5 place finish, at the very least.

Will wait until Sectional Qualifying in Ohio for the U.S. Open is complete before adding any more plays.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Stan Have you seen anything on course set up.? Tough to gauge it by 97 open set up?
---can come up with only one clue so far--fairways must be somewhat generous--out of top 75 players in fairways hit in US Open 8 come from 1997--none from 02 thru 04.

 

[Stanley]

Yes, the fairways are large at Congressional. According to the GCSAA site, there are 80 acres of fairway on this course, which compares to a Tour average of 35. Haven't found much on the course set-up this week, but it is not a U.S. Open type setup from what I have found ... just a quality course that should sort out the wheat from the chaff.

Further outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Padraig Harrington to win 33/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes, BlueSq and Boyle Sports
Already a winner on the PGA Tour this year, there is one primary worry with this play. As with the other leading players, how serious will they take this event with the U.S. Open next week. As look back at history is supportive. Last year, he played in two events in the week before a major, finishing 4th in the BellSouth Classic ahead of the Masters and finishing 2nd via a playoff loss to Sergio Garcia in the Buick Classic ahead of the U.S. Open. He clearly does not use these events merely as competitive warm-ups and in good form recently - 5th in the Irish Open when troubled by a neck injury and 11th in the BMW Championship around a course that does not suit his eye - he looks a strong contender this week.

Bo Van Pelt to finish in the top-five 15/1 @ Centrebet and SuperOdds
Waited until the results of the U.S. Open Sectional Qualifying before finalising this play. He again played well, but his 2nd round score took him out of the top-20 qualifying places and not even being an alternate, he can concentrate fully on this week's event. He is certainly a player that will win on this Tour, but these odds on a top-five place look generous enough for a player who has hit that mark in two of his last five starts - most impressively last week when out-playing his playing partner, Tiger Woods, for most of the final round - and in this event at Avenel last year.

 

[phar lap]

72 hole matchplay

Furyk -108 vs Goosen
at Centrebet

Leonard -118 vs Weir
at Centrebet

 

[Cantona7]

hoping the big boys have their minds elsewhere although tempted by the 11/1 on Ernie but go with..

Van Pelt 1pt e/w - proof at 50/1. think got 66/1 last night but will proof at the generally available price.

Sabbatini 1pt e/w - 80/1 at paddy power last night.

Mayfair 1pt e/w at generally available 100/1

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Els seems to playing different game since changing shafts in irons--can't figure why these guys tinker with success. Just found out yesterday from Perrys good friend here he had "the shits all last week and was deydrated--Will get to play a hole or so with Perry July 9th--I'm gonna get on his ass for dumping on the 18th hole @ Riveara--I won't soon forget that.

 

[Whalers Rule]

Fredddie Jacobson 100-1 Sportingbet 1 unit e.w.

Impressed by his 6th in GIR last week and as always he is a good chipper and great putter. Also like the fact that he did not qualify for the U.S.Open, so no looking ahead.

 

[phar lap]

Geoff Ogilvy 100/1 (available in a few spots ) e.w.
Good performence last week, and also won US Open Qualifiers.

 

[stomie]

Phil Mickelson over Vijay Singh +100 betjamaica

P Harrington over Tom Lehman -123 pinnacle

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

tough to gauge this event till viewing and will do most in running but will venture out on one to place top 5 @ Cbet

Olazabal 16 1/2
agree with Stans summation last week on him and he in his 2nd week to recover from 2nd week stint in Europe.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Will wait till I see setup on this one before stepping out too much but just saw one I can't pass @ 5 Dimes
72 holes
Glover +163 over Westwood

Unless Glover is hurt certainly looks like someone loaded the wagon on emotional exuberance.
Glover should like this course with ample fairways and small greens as he is 10th DD 16th GIRS
Westwood has not busted top 20 stateside in 5 attemps Glover has 6 top 10's and holds 2.5 scor ave/rd on Westwood.
It may not win but certainly can't pass on it and line still up as I type.

 

[Another Steve]

Booz Allen Plays

Booz Allen Plays

Padraig Harrington WINS BOOZ AL+25.00

Haven't an Outright year, ready for this to change

Jim Furyk OV/Sergio Garcia-1.60
Padraig Harrington OV/Tom Lehma-1.45
Luke Donald OV/Sergio Garcia-1.30
Tim Clark OV/Stuart Appleby-1.20

Let's hope the Juice holds form. GL to all and Thanks for posting your Plays.

 

[stomie]

PADRAIG HARRINGTON over LUKE DONALD +108 wsex

MIKE WEIR over CHARLES HOWELL III +104 wsex

 

[phar lap]

One more outright....


Stephen Leaney 31.25/1 top 5 only
at Centrebet

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Fredrik Jacobson(100/1) e.w. @ 5dimes
Greg Owen(100/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods
Jonathan Kaye(100/1) e.w. @ 5dimes
Zach Johnson(100/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods
Tom Lehman(66/1) e.w. @ Bet365
Sergio Garcia(33/1) e.w. @ 5dimes
Justin Rose(150/1) e.w. @ Bet365


MATCHUPS:

Singh(+100) over Els (Tournament) @ 5dimes
Leaney(-119) over Parnevik (Tournament) @ 5dimes
Rose(-120) over McCarron (Tournament) @ 5dimes


3 BALLS:

Poulter(+162) over Durant/Kuehne @ Bet365
Ogilvy(+150) over Sluman/O'Meara @ Bet365
Garcia(+125) over Price/Petrovic @ Bet365


GL

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 72 holes
Westwood -110 over Immelman @ Boyles
Makes more sense for this one to take Westy who is 12-2 last 14 vs Trevor at pick em than the -200 he was vs Glover

Owen -113 vs Poulter @ Acuman
Owen 9-0 vs Poulter in 05 Stateside

Props 1st rd
Mickelson -110 over Brown (-1/2 stroke)
Aware of the hype on Brown this week and his 59 in Open qualifying--also aware Mick is 5-0 vs him in 05 including 5-0 1st rd by a collective 27 strokes (5+ per/rd)

Birdies or better
Mick -125 over Appleby (-1/2)

2 vs 1
Cink-Couples -110 over Goose (-1/2)
Scott-Garcia -130 over Mick (-1/2)

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

prop totals

1st rd prop results 1-3
Props 1st rd
Mickelson -110 over Brown (-1/2 stroke) loss (even/even)
Aware of the hype on Brown this week and his 59 in Open qualifying--also aware Mick is 5-0 vs him in 05 including 5-0 1st rd by a collective 27 strokes (5+ per/rd)

Birdies or better
Mick -125 over Appleby (-1/2) loss (1/4)

2 vs 1
Cink-Couples -110 over Goose (-1/2) loss (-1/-1)
Scott-Garcia -130 over Mick (-1/2) win (-3/even)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
2nd rd props
match
Garcia +100 vs Sabbatini - 1/2 loss (-3/-3)
GIRS
Els -125 vs Estes +1/2 win (16-9)

Most erroneous statement by a sports writer--Sal Johnson
"Putting isn't as much of a concern as it is on other courses. While greens will be lightning fast, they don't feature much slope, so lots of 10 to 15-footers will be made this week"

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Steve Elkington(33/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4) e.w. @ Bet365

GL

 

[stomie]

Lee Westwood 15/1 WSEX 5 units

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Hmm Just thought last weeks 1/2 point prop loss's were bad --3 of 4 losses this week by the 1/2 already this week-I'll give Murph some time out.

3rd rd match @ 5 Dimes
Maggert +120 over Tripp