Bowling Green vs Kent
- Thread starter big papi
- Start date
Nothing out of line or news worthy on the surface in ref to injuries etc, BG is a little thin at WR but thats about it.
This may be a case of just a team getting a lot of backing because they may deserve it. BG has dropped 4 in a row and Kent Played very well in Waco last week. The Flashes spent a lot of time in the Baylor red zone and could well have won that game without all the penalties and mistakes that they made. I think a cleaner game may have got them a huge upset.
Kent also appears to have found a couple of kids in the backfield and have done a very good job of replacing fallen All MAC RB Jarvis. This is a big answer to the largest problem that Kent had faced.
I thought the opening number was a bit high myself but did not expect Kent to catch this kind of action. The drop has been a slow progressive move, not a quick, huge reaction which leads me to believe that many just think that the opener was simply a bad number that has slowly been corrected to a more reasonable number.
Who knows?
This may be a case of just a team getting a lot of backing because they may deserve it. BG has dropped 4 in a row and Kent Played very well in Waco last week. The Flashes spent a lot of time in the Baylor red zone and could well have won that game without all the penalties and mistakes that they made. I think a cleaner game may have got them a huge upset.
Kent also appears to have found a couple of kids in the backfield and have done a very good job of replacing fallen All MAC RB Jarvis. This is a big answer to the largest problem that Kent had faced.
I thought the opening number was a bit high myself but did not expect Kent to catch this kind of action. The drop has been a slow progressive move, not a quick, huge reaction which leads me to believe that many just think that the opener was simply a bad number that has slowly been corrected to a more reasonable number.
Who knows?
I don't follow the touts and such but does this guy really have a following that can move a number this much? I do know that there had been some steady downward movement on this one right from the start so I can not believe that it's all due to Dr. Bob.
When does this guy release his plays ?
When does this guy release his plays ?
I don't know when he releases his plays and don't think that he caused the line drop from -6 to -4. However, I do think that he has probably caused the most recent drop.
HILTON LINE MOVEMENTS
Money Line Spread Total 1st Half 2nd Half
Date Time Fav Dog Fav Dog Over Under Fav Dog Fav Dog
10/05 2:59pm KENT XX BG XX BG-6 -110 KENT+6 -110
10/05 4:14pm KENT XX BG XX BG-5 -110 KENT+5 -110
10/06 2:11pm KENT XX BG XX BG-3.5 -110 KENT+3.5 -110
10/06 4:52pm KENT XX BG XX BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110
10/07 3:36pm BG-140 KENT+120 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110
10/07 4:19pm BG-140 KENT+120 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +52.5 +52.5
10/07 4:56pm BG-140 KENT+120 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +52.5 +52.5 BG-1 KENT+1
10/07 6:07pm BG-150 KENT+130 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +52.5 +52.5 BG-1 KENT+1
10/08 9:34am BG-145 KENT+125 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +53 +53
10/08 6:00pm BG-130 KENT+110 BG-2 -110 KENT+2 -110 +53 +53 BG+.5 KENT+.5
10/09 11:44am BG-130 KENT+110 BG-2 -110 KENT+2 -110 +54 +54
it's been steadily moving in kents way all week
dr bib releases his plays at 4.45 central on thursdays...the lines usually jump 1-2 points on the release but usually come back close to where they were. this movement has squat to do with him
Money Line Spread Total 1st Half 2nd Half
Date Time Fav Dog Fav Dog Over Under Fav Dog Fav Dog
10/05 2:59pm KENT XX BG XX BG-6 -110 KENT+6 -110
10/05 4:14pm KENT XX BG XX BG-5 -110 KENT+5 -110
10/06 2:11pm KENT XX BG XX BG-3.5 -110 KENT+3.5 -110
10/06 4:52pm KENT XX BG XX BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110
10/07 3:36pm BG-140 KENT+120 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110
10/07 4:19pm BG-140 KENT+120 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +52.5 +52.5
10/07 4:56pm BG-140 KENT+120 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +52.5 +52.5 BG-1 KENT+1
10/07 6:07pm BG-150 KENT+130 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +52.5 +52.5 BG-1 KENT+1
10/08 9:34am BG-145 KENT+125 BG-3 -110 KENT+3 -110 +53 +53
10/08 6:00pm BG-130 KENT+110 BG-2 -110 KENT+2 -110 +53 +53 BG+.5 KENT+.5
10/09 11:44am BG-130 KENT+110 BG-2 -110 KENT+2 -110 +54 +54
it's been steadily moving in kents way all week
dr bib releases his plays at 4.45 central on thursdays...the lines usually jump 1-2 points on the release but usually come back close to where they were. this movement has squat to do with him
Well, I guess that is it then. Dr. Bob does not move lines. There is overwhelming evidence against it.
"this movement has squat to do with him"
"The Dr. Bob reasoning is foolish."
It's difficult to argue with such reasoning.
"this movement has squat to do with him"
"The Dr. Bob reasoning is foolish."
It's difficult to argue with such reasoning.
I think that at the reduced number there may be some value with BG. They have to play a clean game to get it done but I do think that they are somewhat better than KSU. Kent has found some tallent to replace Jarvis and they are also very good at forcing TO's so this should be a very entertaining game. Though driving into Kent makes me physically ill, we may drive over and take this one in tomorrow.
Also, I agree with Spacks that the tout was probably responsible for the continuing drop. Spackler knows his shit.
Also, I agree with Spacks that the tout was probably responsible for the continuing drop. Spackler knows his shit.
Dr Bob definately 100% moves lines. I believe he releases his plays sometime on Thursday however on the 8th it looks like the line was already down to BG-3.
Time Game Bowling Green Line Kent Line Visitor Home
10/9/2009 7:13:51 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -1.0-110 1.0-110 52% 48%
10/9/2009 12:28:07 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -1.5-110 1.5-110 54% 46%
10/9/2009 1:28:28 AM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.5-110 2.5-110 56% 44%
10/9/2009 12:31:33 AM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -1.5-110 1.5-110 56% 44%
10/8/2009 6:55:54 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.5-110 2.5-110 56% 44%
10/8/2009 6:55:29 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.0-110 2.0-110 56% 44%
10/8/2009 6:03:42 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.5-110 2.5-110 58% 42%
10/8/2009 6:03:04 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.0-110 2.0-110 58% 42%
10/8/2009 6:01:18 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.5-110 2.5-110 58% 42%
10/8/2009 6:01:18 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.0-110 2.0-110 58% 42%
10/8/2009 6:00:43 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.0+100 2.0-120 58% 42%
10/8/2009 6:00:40 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -2.0-110 2.0-110 58% 42%
10/8/2009 9:56:58 AM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.0-110 3.0-110 58% 42%
10/7/2009 6:14:25 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.5+100 3.5-120 57% 43%
10/7/2009 6:13:29 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.5-105 3.5-115 57% 43%
10/7/2009 6:12:05 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.0-110 3.0-110 57% 43%
10/7/2009 5:24:32 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.5-110 3.5-110 57% 43%
10/7/2009 4:05:06 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.5-105 3.5-115 57% 43%
10/7/2009 11:26:00 AM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.5-110 3.5-110 57% 43%
10/7/2009 1:56:51 AM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.5-105 3.5-115 55% 45%
10/6/2009 4:32:19 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -3.5-110 3.5-110 57% 43%
10/6/2009 2:55:28 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -4.0-110 4.0-110 59% 41%
10/6/2009 2:14:00 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -4.5-110 4.5-110 62% 38%
10/5/2009 4:43:58 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -5.0-110 5.0-110 60% 40%
10/5/2009 4:32:01 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -5.5-110 5.5-110 44% 56%
10/5/2009 4:09:43 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -6.0-110 6.0-110 44% 56%
10/4/2009 7:14:05 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -6.5-110 6.5-110 100% 0%
10/4/2009 6:57:16 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -7.0-110 7.0-110 100% 0%
10/4/2009 6:55:22 PM Bowling Green - @ Kent - -6.0-110 6.0-110 100% 0%
Heres the line movement from Bookmaker!
Don't know if this helps but thought I would chime in....Dr. Bob does have a 4star play on Kent....thats as big as I've ever seen him have...I never seen him have one over 4stars...Hope this is ok to post...If not sorry, you can delete it.
BG I think has played a tougher shed. They have had kents number last couple years. Line should have open around 4 or 3.5.
GL
GL
I don't know where this line movement is coming from, but it's not healthy
Bowling stood toe to toe @ Mizzou,
Boise a different story.
BOWLING GREEN can win this...there will be no middle....
Spang ..Thanks.. great great input.
The line movement looks contrived?
Michael Renny, The Day The Earth Stood Still
Bowling stood toe to toe @ Mizzou,
Boise a different story.
BOWLING GREEN can win this...there will be no middle....
Spang ..Thanks.. great great input.
The line movement looks contrived?
Michael Renny, The Day The Earth Stood Still