Boxinf 05/11 - 05/13

[LordoftheLunch]

Early odds:

Alexander Alekseev -450
Firat Arslan +350

Gennady Golovkin -2000
Makoto Fuchigami +900

Zaurbek Baysangurov -225
Michel Soro +170

Colin Lynes -300
Junior Witter +280

Kid Galahad -475
Josh Wale +400

 

[THE_THONG]

i wrote something in the older thread about the arslan-alekseev fight

arslan opened as -900 :scared

now totally flipped, so they put the line up wrong or bettors just been hitting the uzbek-russian

i think it's the latter

 

[LordoftheLunch]

i wrote something in the older thread about the arslan-alekseev fight

arslan opened as -900 :scared

now totally flipped, so they put the line up wrong or bettors just been hitting the uzbek-russian

i think it's the latter

Hi Thong,

This was just a mistake by the bookie. In europe the lines are already up for several days and Ale, had been the big favorite since the first sec.

Btw. I like Arslan at +350 (or better some books have him at +500 :scared ), the only question is if he can get Alekseev tired over time and then win with a strong finish...

 

[fastfrank]

Boxing tonite; Jhonson/Nelson

Boxing tonite; Jhonson/Nelson

Play: Nelson +365. Some value as Nelson has some pop, but doesn't always fight smart. At 6'3" he has serious wing span and is starting to use his jab more, which would make sense. Should be an interesting matchup, on Showtime, from Las Vegas.

 

[Habecki]

Willie "The Great" Nelson seems to have a suspect chin. I know he might have been weight drained in that fight against Arroyo but the legitimacy of the knockdowns sure don't give me confidence this guy can take a punch. Boxrec also notes he was dropped against the journeyman Carrasquillo. Only seen limited footage but overall this guy doesn't seem to impressive, never good at elite level when you can't punch and can't take a punch. Suppose he could outwork Jhonson...

I would rush to bet the under rounds but Yudel Johnson is almost the exact opposite of James Kirkland. Just moves around the outside and uses his fast hands/accurate punching to get in and out and score. Decent pop but his output is really underwhelming.

 

[fastfrank]

Not sure about Nelson not being able to punch. I think he can crack, but he will have his work cut out for him. Jhonson has good head/feet movement, and decent defensively. I see some serious exchanges and some one may get put to sleep. If Nelson finds himself behind on the cards, which I suspect, he may go into search and destroy mode. Anything is possible. Also, Nelson has never been past 8 rounds, but he is only 25 so stamina should not be an issue, but who knows? Punchers chance for Nelson.

 

[LordoftheLunch]

Play: Nelson +365. Some value as Nelson has some pop, but doesn't always fight smart. At 6'3" he has serious wing span and is starting to use his jab more, which would make sense. Should be an interesting matchup, on Showtime, from Las Vegas.

Like that one too. Maybe even inside at +1400

 

[fastfrank]

Like that one too. Maybe even inside at +1400

Yea, I'm of a mind that Nelson knows he is in versus a better technician with good defensive skills. So does he try to win a chess match, or try and make it ugly? Ah yes, the plot thickens!

 

[Habecki]

Maybe I am underestimating what Nelson brings to the table. Can't get a full fight of his on video. Probably going to go small on the under 9.5 rounds, hopefully he does have some power.

Probably off the board at most books now but like Alekseev to beat Arslan. Arslan plodding guard up style perfect for Alekseev to box around. And I don't think Arslan has the power to exploit Alekseev's below average beard. Should be pretty straightforward, especially with the fight in his backyard. Wide UD or late stoppage imo.

 

[Shawn89]

My plays

Alexeev & Jhonson parlay - Medium

Under 7.5 Jhonson-Nelson - Small

Good luck :0074

 

[LordoftheLunch]

To be honest Nelon and A. are heavy underdogs for a reason, but I see value in those lines :0corn

 

[Shawn89]

Arslan looking good so far.

I don't know why Alexeev is choosing to fight him on the inside :shrug:

 

[Habecki]

Arslan looking good so far.

I don't know why Alexeev is choosing to fight him on the inside :shrug:

Arslan looks to be getting the best of Alexeev but who knows where the cards are at. One thing for sure is Alexeev is fighting like an idiot. Why on earth is he trying to fight inside? Just walking into shots, Arslan must be laughing.

 

[Shawn89]

Majority Draw.

114-114 twice
116-113 Alexeev

 

[fastfrank]

To be honest Nelon and A. are heavy underdogs for a reason, but I see value in those lines :0corn

Fri 5/11 505 Nelson wins inside distance +650
11:30PM 506 Not Nelson inside distance -1350
Fri 5/11 507 Nelson wins by 10 round decision +505
11:30PM 508 Not Nelson by 10 round decision -915
Fri 5/11 509 Johnson wins inside distance +173
11:30PM 510 Not Johnson inside distance -240
Fri 5/11 511 Johnson wins by 10 round decision +117
11:30PM 512 Not Johnson by 10 round decision -157
Fri 5/11 513 Nelson/Johnson draw +2000
11:30PM 514 Fight not a draw -3000
At 5Dimes.

 

[THE_THONG]

i like colin lynes to get revenge over junior witter

witter = corpse of the former hitter

i remember seeing that fight online

can't believe it was seven years ago :facepalm:

 

[fastfrank]

i like colin lynes to get revenge over junior witter

witter = corpse of the former hitter

i remember seeing that fight online

can't believe it was seven years ago :facepalm:

you old man

 

[THE_THONG]

you old man

yeah i'm getting old

willie nelson is fighting jhonson tonight

more tax problems for willie nelson? :142smilie

 

[fastfrank]

yeah i'm getting old

willie nelson is fighting jhonson tonight

more tax problems for willie nelson? :142smilie

Wonder if he can pass a drug test?

 

[LordoftheLunch]

Result

Result

95-94, 97-92, 97-92 all for Willie Nelson

Great Weekend so far!