frankie
I always give youl my honest opinion of the plays you post, and I try to supply all the information and angles I use to make my decision on the fight in question. Since you already have a lean on these fights, I don't focus on reasons why your play will win b/c you already know. So I take the other side of the arguement in an attempt to bring all possible information to the surface. Unfortunatly, when I do this it looks like I'm criticizing you or your play, and that is not my intention at all. Hope you know that I respect your opinion and I'm just "role playing" if you will in an attempt to cover all sides before placing a wager.
Just wanted to clear that up...
Anyway
In this case, I can't take the other side b/c there is no other side. Cazares will take this guy out, its just a matter of time, and I'm thinking sooner than later. At -115 you almost have to play it, Guillen is 37 and has been stopped several times by equal and lessor punchers than Cazares who was ranked the biggest puncher 108 by Ring magazine. The only thing that could scare you off is the low # of rounds, 6.5 doesn't give you much room to play with if the opponent is scared and refuses to engage. BUT, I don't think that will be the case as Guillen is a slugger not a boxer. I actually think Cazares could get caught early if he's not careful, he's been stopped a couple times himself.
I think the Under 6.5 at -115 is a solid play, waiting to see if 5dimes will put out props on that fight.
Btw, a guy I respect at another site likes the Under also
gl frank
bl
