Boxing 1/20 -1/21

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: -3.0 units
1 unit plays: 1-1 -3.5
1/2 unit plays: 4-2 +.10
Dogs: 3-3 +.40



1/20 Dog

Rakkietgym over Pereira +213...lay .2 to win .4 (loser)


1/21

Castillo by decision +130...lay .3 to win .4 (winner)

Morales over Pacquiao +100...to win .5 (loser)

Morales-Pacquiao over 11.5 -110...to win .5 (loser)

Morales-Paquiao under 11.5 +173...lay .25 to win .45 (winner)


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Explanation

Explanation

I posted the Morales-Pacman over 11.5 -110 when the line opened a few weeks ago. Since then the line has steadily climbed to -183.

I can't recommend playing the over at that price, I played it at -110. For those of you who follow my plays on a regular basis, you got it at -110 to -120...congrats, you are now in the drivers seat.

I don't like bailing on a play I posted in my futeres, but I can't recommend laying 2-1 on the over, I got it at -110 and so did my regulars

gl bl

 

[gardenweasel]

i see teddy reid/j.c. candelo are fighting friday.....

i wasn`t even aware of it...

reid is at-128....a year and a half ago,he would have been a substantial underdog,imo...

has candelo slipped drastically?...or is losing to ouma,winky wright,angel hernandez(ouch) and late sub eduardo sanchez(double ouch....reid stopped sanchez,btw).....just due to being in with some really good fighters?...

reid is relatively new at 154...even though he has the frame for the extra weight....

they both come to fight...

should be a war...

 

[gardenweasel]

pereira and reid just jumped...i don`t think i did that....lol...pereira looks to be in pretty tough here...

this is an excellent start to the espn boxing year....

good stuff..

 

[HoopsGuru]

box, any thoughts on the gatti fight? I'm heading to it next weekend, should be a good time. let me know what you think if you have a minute.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

1/20 Dog

Rakkietgym over Pereira +213...lay .2 to win .4


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

HG...I'll get back to you later tonight, gotta run

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I love Rakkeitgym in this fight...

In 2004 he had a very impressive victory stopping Jack Asis in the 5th round

Sorry...I had to do it

 

[BOXLOCKS]

HoopsGuru

I recommend playing Damgaard at +450...small b/c of the location and promotion of the fight

I'll explain later

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Added some futures below...love the Skelton-Williams over 7.5

 

[gardenweasel]

actually caught damgaard at+500......(actually-actually i rechecked and i got damgaard at +475)....

i haven't seen footage of damgaard, but on paper he looks at least the equal of say,a branco..with maybe a little more pop...i think the gatti gravy train is about to derail for good, so I'll be on the 5-1 odds against an undefeated welter.....and a lefty to boot...even if gatti wins this one, it's still a value bet, because imo,it`s looking more and more like gatti would have trouble putting together a five-fight win streak in a bar anymore, let alone the welterweight division......

450 or 5-1?....why not...even in a.c....

g.l.

 

[amhlilhaus]

actually caught damgaard at+500......

it`s looking more and more like gatti would have trouble putting together a five-fight win streak in a bar anymore, let alone the welterweight division......



g.l.

that's hilarious

 

[1837]

What a bad temper that Reid!

 

[1837]

Got lucky to have a draw... Now the main event...

 

[gardenweasel]

i am really impressed with donaire.....really impressed....

but, i don`t believe for a second that these two guys i`m watching belong in the same weight class....

that`s crazy...

candelo was robbed....

i`m kicking myself for not putting 10 bucks on hernandez...i was looking at it....knew nothing about him...just the k.o. percentage and that he was an unknown quantity......just got lazy...

what was he,30-1?...

damn.... :mj01:

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I actually did alright last night, took Periera by 12 round decision +280 as a hedge knowing he probably wouldn't stop Rakk

Then I played Donaire -220 and hedged with Harutyunyan by 12 round decision +560 knowing he wouldn't be able to hurt Donaire let alone stop him. Lucky for me, the fight was rescheduled for 10 rounds which refunded the prop wager leaving with one play and one winner on the fight.

I had a small play on Reid -130 and feel very fortunate to get a draw, esp considering that Reid had two points deducted in a 10 round fight that he was clearly outboxed. I did however give Reid a 10-8 round (before the point deduction) for the lopsided 10th round. If the judges did the same, the last round cost Candelo the win. Reid is an absolute joke and a tolal jerk, before the fight he claimed he's still one of the best fighters in the world...hilarious.


There's one more solid hedge play out there, taking Castillo -590 and Munoz inside distance +1070. The only way you can lose both is if Munoz wins by 12 round decision, and that won't happen.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Btw...don't forget to put a little on the Morales-Pacman draw at +1700

 

[armageto]

I was going to put some on the draw and also on Morales now. I see he's moved into + territory. I saw him at +110 a min. ago. Since I do think he'll win and I'll be rooting for him anyway, I'll forget about my train wreck of a betting weekend a few weeks ago and put some on Morales and a little on a draw....

 

[gardenweasel]

a little on a parlay.... morales to win and castillo by decision at a little under 4-1....already have a little on mannyinside the distance at almost 4-1...

also played munoz inside the distance at +1300 and change...

g.l.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Very Nice

Very Nice

Castillo won by 12 round split decision

I played him by decision +130 and straight at -540