Boxing 10/21 - 10/22

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +20.25 units
2 unit plays: 1-0 +2.0
1 unit plays: 8-2 +5.25
.5 unit plays: 64-32 even
Dogs: 67-70 +13.0



10/21 Dog

Tua-Salif over 3.5 +130...lay .15 to win .2 (winner)


Parlay

Witter -850 / Foreman -500...lay 1.5 to win .5 (winner)



gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

Tua-Salif over 3.5 +131...lay .15 to win .2


gl bl

 

[armageto]

What do you think of Judah's chances for a minor upset this weekend? I think he has a shot......

 

[BOXLOCKS]

The parlay cashes as both won by UD


Tua-Salif easily goes over


Easy money

 

[fletcher]

R:

Nice job. Shocked you did not bang harding at that line, or did you have him and not want to jinx yourself? you can email and tell me.

That tua fight was the first one of those low lined and low round fights i have gone under on in the last few months don't like messing with totals that low had the over in 2 fights ov 3 rounds would have to go back and look forget who they were and both did not even go 2 I play them small if i play them . So I said hell lets take a chance and go small under and it makes it easy over. harding was one of my biggest plays in a while thought line should of been close to -500 maybe since he was not fighting in Canada they had line much lower but hell was in conn. so still had to be the home town guy.

Did you catch the end of the forrest fight, don't think many people took it had no total at a few places I looked at but line was -3000 and 1 place -3200 and it went almost till the end was weird knock out, if you saw it you know why they say protect yourself at all times, he never saw what hit him, it was a better fight then I thought it would be. you can catch it at 10 on I think 654 if you have dtv and the fox regional sports package.

Nice job today your grinding out nice units and doing good with the higher and mid rage fight parlays. Had a guy write me about a fight that was- 290 and said I don't like to play high lines I said hell in boxing anything from 200 to -380 is like -120 to - 180 in baseball, i said you get a fight under 200 on side it is like a -110 to a ev price in baseball, sent him the chart break down I have on how fight lines compair to a baseball line. if he thought those were high lines he won't be playing many fights. Like the way you have worked the parlays in your favor on mid range fights to a few high lined fight like the -850 on witter which is about as high as i would go straight and that is rare but you worked it in with a upper mid range line in foreman at -500 and made a half of unit and only had to risk 1.5 units very good work. You taking the lines almost all the way out like that. Good job doing those the last 6 months when you see the chance like tonight to make it a great shot with the start of a high line and a upper mid range line.

To me -800 is where i have my cut off for a side that is the start of the low end of higher lined fight, told him you will see many fights above- 800 to -1800 on at least 1-2 times a month if not more if he would check around. So I don't think boxing is for him.

Again very nice job in working the 2 fight parlays to get your lines down and making a profit when you have done them and if you lose you lose a unit or 1.5 units you have took the big risk out and made it work well for you

what was Mccline -3000 i think that was tua but McCline was in the upper-1500 or so right. man that would of been a nice dog I said in my thread i had un 7.5 and tua un 3.5 small but said that would of been a nice take back don't see many -1000 and up fighters lose line is that for a reason. good job hope all is well with the family talk to you soon.

Have a good weekend
Eric

 

[Anthony555]

Box,

That Tua over was the easiest money I've seen in awhile. I mean, a fat rusty Tua (who recently called this EXACT fight off in fear of losing a few months back) vs a career sparring partner to the top heavies, and a 3.5 over/under. I should've bet my house. At +115 I pounded it as I know you did...

-- Anthony

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Congrats Anthony

Sorry for not responding armageto, very busy this week, fletcher answered your question for me.



Eric

Good call and congrats on Harding, I stayed away as its hard to tell how much the guy has left in him. The Telesco fight was much closer than it should've been, two judges scored it 115-113 in Harding's backyard. This fight was in Conn also but I noticed Judah has fought in Uncasville 7 or 8 times since 2000 so I thought he might have a small following there. The fight went as planned and I missed the bus, but sometimes you gotta go with your gut and something told me to stay off it...oh well, made some decent cash on the other fights.

Tua opened -3000 and McCline opened -1000

Last year J.C. Gomez opened -3200 over Yanqui Diaz who scored a first round KO at +2000. The heavyweight division is full of upsets, I'm pissed that I missed the McCline lottery ticket. Jameel had looked horrible in his last two fights and he was dominated by a medocre Calvin Brock. I just figured Lawrence with 0 ko's wouldn't have enough power to keep the beast off him. McCline fought the wrong fight, he tried to outbox the boxer and he's just not skilled enough. McCline has to learn to use his size and strength advantages, pacing himself will get him beat every time, he's too easy to hit to be giving his opponent chances to get off. If we ever see Big Time again, I imagine he'll have a Big Change in strategy.

The Tua-Salif fight reminded me a lot of Tyson-McBride where the shorter guy is much more skilled and has plenty of power but he just can't reach his opponents head. Guys like Tyson and Tua are extemely powerful with their inside punches but they have very short arms and when they have to reach for their target the power is wasted. Salif fought the wrong fight, he stayed close and leaned in too much, stayed inside Tua's punching range. He could've made it a much harder fight for Tua by keeping him at the end of his jab, moving side to side while punching from angles. Instead he tried to outpunch the puncher and it cost him the win, almost got him ktfo at the end.


Anyway...check your e-mail later

bl