Boxing 2/17 - 218

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YTD Total: -1.45 units
1 unit plays: 1-1 -3.5
1/2 unit plays: 12-3 +2.25
Dogs: 4-9 -.20


Dogs

2/17 Leon over Soto +450...lay .1 to win .45 (loser)

2/18 Viloria by decision +420...lay .1 to win .4 (winner)


2/18

Arthur-Burns over 8.5 -105...to win 1/2 unit (winner)

Calderon over Bustos -600...lay 2.1 to win .35 (winner)

Watson over Murray -105...to win .25 (no action)

Parlays

Chavez Jr -325 / Arthur -350...lay .35 to win .25 (winner)

Margarito -1300 / Peterson -800 / Calderon over 10.5 -475...lay .5 to win .25 (winner)



gl bl
 
Last edited:

gardenweasel

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"the bunker"
like the chavez thing...i may parlay him with something...these lines have risen....

may take a small shot with ranchero ramirez...kelley is 38...if ramirez doesn`t cut,kelley`s very beatable,imo...he doesn`t have much of a workrate anymore...can still punch a little,though..

i see box`s point with leon..he`s always competitive...wish it wasn`t in mexico...
 

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IX_Bender said:
I have Margarito in a pending parlay but it appears the lines on that fight are OTB at every place. Any word on whats happening, is the fight still scheduled for Saturday?


Line is still up at Pinny, Oly, 5dimes, and Sportsbook

I believe the fight is still on

gl bl
 

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gardenweasel said:
like the chavez thing...i may parlay him with something...these lines have risen....


Yes they have...

I played Arthur -210 and got +270 back

Played Chavez -200 and almost scalped at +290, now I can get +310 back

Played Kelley -140 and now I can get +175 back


Already scalped the Arthur play, but still trying to decide on the other two. Might as well take the free money and eliminate the risk I guess, thats why I played them in the first place.

gl bl
 

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armageto said:
I was looking at taking A.A. at -210 outright. It seems like a good bet to me. What about everyone else?


I spent a little extra time capping this fight, and I think you were right. Not b/c you could now scalp it at +320...it was just a solid wager. Of course, by the time I responded to you the line was already -300 which is why I didn't recommend laying the wood.

The other reason I didn't like A.A. at first glance was that Burns dominated Earl at 135 last year in England which is impresssive. However, Burns was a last minute replacement and took the fight on 4 days notice. Burns is 5'10" which is very tall for that weight, and Earl is only 5'5" and probably wasn't prepared for the height disadvantage. Just as important is Burns style of fighting, he has no power at all so he uses his reach advantage and stays on the outside never giving Earl a chance to land.

The difference in this fight will be Arthur's height, he's 5'9" and won't have a problem reaching Burns like Earl did. Burns says he has the perfect style and strategy to beat Arthur, which means he will use plenty of movement and stay away from Arthur's power, which is why I played the over. From what I've read Burns is very elusive, esp early.

This fight is in Arthur's backyard, he has fought 5 of his last 6 fights in this same arena in his hometown. He also has the Frank Warren factor behind him, which is always nice.

I think Burns will run all night and only the "over" bettors will be impressed. Arthur wins by lopsided UD or very late stoppage. I have him in a few parlays, glad you posted.

gl bl
 
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