i think that green and marquez are technically better than miranda and vasquez......
but......i`ve seen both marquez and green severely hurt and(in marquez` case)actually stopped by smaller/ lesser punchers and fighters than vasquez........marquez is moving up...
marquez,imo,is a much better technician than vasquez...i honestly don`t think that vasquez is better than jhonny gonzales....
for some reason,i`m not a big vasquez fan...jhonny gonzales was literally whipping his ass and vasquez landed one big shot that changed the whole fight....to be fair,i also think that vasquez forced a tougher pace than gonzales liked in that fight and that probably wore down gonzales a bit even though vasquez took most of the early punishment......kudos to vasquez there...smart...it wasn`t a hail mary thing...he legitimately wore down gonzales...but took most of the punishment through most of the fight...his chin and toughness won that fight for him...
and vasquez is used to being in tough fights...
that can happen again...marquez,like his brother,likes to set the pace...usually a deliberate pace.....
i expect marquez to be able to outbox vasquez early.......the problem is that vasquez has a great chin...he may be able to do exactly the same thing he did to gonzales....take an ass-kicking with his chin keeping him in the fight until he lands the big equalizer.... he should try and make marquez work...and hope he can handle marquez power...as he did with gonzales....
one thing different,though...if marquez hurts vasquez as gonzales did,he`s a much better finisher than gonzales.....
better all around fighter?...definitely marquez...
tougher,more resilient guy with the better chin...and maybe the bigger one punch power?...vasquez....
not sure how marquez` power will travel up in weight...just don`t know...
soooo...being that i already caught some marquez at -120,i think taking vasquez at+265 inside the distance is a great hedge....
i can see box taking green at good odds..and the fact that it`s 10 rounds,not 12,helps green,imo....
this is at a catch weight of 162.........green is a bigger guy....he`s fought at lt heavy.....i don`t see the catch-weight helping green...
..given the venue(with miranda having somewhat of a home field advantage)....and miranda`s proven chin,my gut tells me could out-tough green and stop him at some point....
and i can`t get the thought of green almost getting knocked out by some short, white mid-western nobody named donnie mccrary....
if green`s power is as good as we think it might be,and given miranda`s not so great defense,i expect miranda to take some shots....
but,miranda is a very hard guy to stop....
maybe take green at +175.....and then hedge with under 9.5(-150)/parlayed with sobral-460(in the ufc) at better than even money.....and hope box is right on the green play....
off topic/sobral coming off the liddell loss...is very close to being an elite mma fighter, imo...his losses were to valentijn overeem(early career),randleman,feodor,chuck twice and a maj decision loss to dan henderson)...he doesn`t normally lose to just "good" fighters like jason lambert(who`s good...but he`s not sobral)...
obviously,i`m not stepping out...i`m playing cautiously because anything can happen and i could lose both sides of both hedges.....so,having some fun with the "filthy lucre" we garnered the last month or so....
i don`t see how you can step out in either fight...given the potentially explosive nature of the fighters...
really don`t need much action to make these bouts interesting....
if someone has a strong, definitive opinion on these fights,i`d sure love to hear it....
these 2 boxing bouts are potential fight of the year candidates... great fights...but,they also have the potential to end abruptly.....with any of the 4 stopping their opponent....
really good stuff...g.l.
