Boxing 3/24 - 3/27

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +12.15 units
2 unit plays: 1-0 +2
1 unit plays: 5-0 +4.6
.5 unit plays: 18-12 -.4
Dogs: 16-13 +5.95

3/25 Poodle
Reese over Ornelas +350...lay .1 to win .35 (winner)

3/26 Shitszu
Vargas wins by 10 round decision +144...lay .2 to win .3 (winner)

3/27
Darchinyan over Sikali -365 1/2 unit (winner)
Darch-Sikali under 10.5 -135...lay .5 to win .4 (winner)

gl bl

 

[Spreadking]

nooooooooo, boxlox.

you want me to mail you Fana W 12 Suico. Fana got dropped twice and was wobbling around horribly in the last round. Suico is a hard puncher, but his feet were so slow, he couldn't get in range hardly ever. I'm sure Barrera won't have any problem landing. just my opinion. Fana is fast on his feet, but has nothing to keep Barrera off him.

Darchinyan looks good

 

[Spreadking]

YTD Total: +10.55
2 unit plays: 1-0 +2
1 unit plays: 5-0 +4.6
.5 unit plays: 16-12 -1.35
Dogs: 13-12 +4.7


3/27
Darchinyan over Sikali -365 1/2 unit

gl bl

I got Darchinyan at -380, now my book has jumped to -450 already.

also playing Barrera/Fana 8.5 under (-105).
maybe I should have waited for a kayo prop, but i'm sure it won't be much better.

another i already "laid" was +300, Braithwaite by decision over Mormeck.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

nooooooooo, boxlox.

You had me scared for a second there, when I first read the words I thought you were talking about Darchinyan who I played very BIG. I only posted it as a half unit play b/c I hate seeing a negative in my totals. They got screwed last week as I originally posted Lucas and the Magee under as halfs but upgraded one and found a dog line on the other. Darchinyan should get them back on track, I also have a parlay up my sleeve.

The Barrera-Fana is a value play, I'll explain later.

Glad to see you agree on Darch, thats my cash cow for the week.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

Making my play on Darchinyan a 1 unit play, I have looked at every aspect of this fight 10 times and it looks like Darch will stop Sikali in the early rounds. I like the under also but I'm sticking with Darch straight just in case Sikali runs and holds the entire fight.

I'm posting it as a 1 unit play but personally I just UNLOADED on this one. I'll post a write-up on it tomarrow.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding a small dog for FNF's

Reese over Ornelas +350...lay .1 to win .35

6 months ago Ornelas was stopped in the 9th round by Christian Cruz, 4 months ago he won a close majority decision over southpaw Giorbis Barthelemy in California. Cruz has some power but neither of those guys are top fighters. Reese (like Giorbis) is a southpaw, he doesn't have a lot of power but he should be the bigger guy here. Orn has only fought outside of Cali twice and this fight's in AZ. At +350 Reese is worth a shot, this is his big chance and I expect him to give it his all.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

My reasons for playing Darchinyan over Sikali...


1A Sikali has been very inactive, he has only fought 5 times in the last 4 years. He was stripped of the WBA Int title for inactivity in 2001. At 33 years old it seems fighting is not much of a priority for him right now.

1B Darch has fought 22 times in the last 4 years. He's 29, he's fresh, and he's hungry.


2A In 1997 Sikali was stopped in the first round by southpaw Wongjongpong at 108
In 2002 Sikali was dropped 3 times in the first round by southpaw Roy Doliguez who is now 12-6-2 with 6 ko's, the fight was stopped due to a headbutt and was ruled a tech draw. Sikali obviously has problems fighting other southpaws.

2B Darchinyan is a southpaw with a lot of power


3A In 1999 Sikali lost a split decision to Luigi Castilione who went on to lose 2 of his next 5 fights against weak competition. One of them was a 6 round unanimous decision loss in his own back yard to a journeyman.

3B This fight is in Darch's home land of Austrailia, he will defintly have a full crowd of support behind him. The judges down under usually help the home team out a little also.


4A In 2002 Sikali won the IBO belt by winning a contraversial majority decision over Makepula. I read an unbias review of the fight that said it could have easily gone to Makepula as he dominated the second half of the fight. Sounds like Sikali ran out of steam.

4B Darch started very strong against Pacheco who like Sikali is a southpaw. Darch domintaed the early rounds and the later rounds against Pacheco. This is Vics homecoming after winning the title, he should be extremely fired up to defend his title in front of the home crowd.


I think Darch will be too much for Sikali and should stop him. Darch has alot of power, he was the first to stop Pacheco and Singwangcha who has gone the distance with Aguirre at 105 and Hussein at 112. Darch stopped him in the 4th in their first fight and stopped him in the 5th in the rematch. If Sikali manages to make it to the final bell, the decision should be in favor of the champion defending on his home turf.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Reese dropped Orn in the 6th and in the 10th, waiting for the scorecards. Reese should have jumped on him after he nailed him in the 6th. He kept playing his natural role of counter puncher and it may cost him.

Atlas has it 96- 93 Reese!!!

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Reese wins by majority decision!!!

The dogs just keep on barking

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding a small dog for tonight

Vargas wins by 10 round decision +144...lay .2 to win .3

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

Darchinyan-Sikali under 10.5 -135...lay .5 to win .4

Southpaw Wongdongthong stopped Sikali in the first round, then he won 12 of his next 13 fights by decision!

Southpaw Roy Doliguez dropped Sikali 3 times in the first round

Darch is a southpaw with a lot of power. I'm sure he and Fenech are aware of Sikali's suspect chin and the problems he's had against southpaws in the past. Since Sikali has the tendancy to be hurt early against southpaws, I expect Darch to come out firing big shots right away. Darch will start fast, and once he has Sikali hurt, its over. With the home crowd cheering him on, he'll look to impress and finish strong.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

From fightnews...

Darchinyan defends Sunday!

Saturday, March 26 2005


IBF flyweight champion Vic Darchinyan defends his title for the first time Sunday night against Mzukisi Sikali at the State Sports Centre in Sydney, Australia. Darchinyan (22-0, 17 KOs) won the title in December with an 11th round KO of longtime champion Ireme Pacheco in Hollywood, Florida. Sikali (29-2) holds the IBO belt. Darchinyan says he hopes to finish off Sikali as soon as possible. "If I can finish in 10 seconds, I will," he said. "My fitness is very good but I don't look to be punching long distance. I go to kill." Other notables on the Jeff Fenech-promoted card include jr welterweight contender Lovemore N'Dou and featherweight Nedal Hussein in separate bouts. N'dou faces Jesar Ancajas and Hussein takes on Obote Ameme

 

[1837]

Box, are you as confident as i was last week with Lucas?

I will take your pick (-485 now...) for 1 unit and UNDER 10.5 -135 (2 units)

Hope to see us in the winning circle tonight! :mj14:

BTW, anyone can post an update round by round about that fight tonight like i did last week for Lucas ? i can't catch it from where i live... maybe our buddies in Australia can see it? Thanks!

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I believe this fight goes off around 3am

To be honest I'm not as confident this week as I was last week because Sikali is a decent fighter. Crawford is horrible and has no power, Lucas is pretty good and has a decent chin, and the fight was in Canada so it was basically a lock and a steal at that price. In this case Darchinyan is very good and has a ton of power in both hands, but Sikali is a decent southpaw with skills and experience. The kicker here is that the fight is in Austrailia, if it was in S. Africa I would not have layed -365. The line would have been lower but I wouldn't have played it due to the possibility of Sikali running all night and winning a bs decision. To win a decision in Austrailia he will have to outwork and outland Darch, which means he will have take some punches as well. I don't think Sikali can take it.

gl bl

 

[johnnyb.]

kinda surprised to see you thinking fernando's fight going 10 rounds... is this a big play? thanks

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Small play

Vargas is coming off a 16 month layoff, he may be a little rusty. This fight is at 160, Joval has been a middleweight his entire career and has never been stopped. This willl be Vargas' first fight against a true middle, and he says he's going back down after this fight.

Vargas may want to make a statement and could overwelm Joval. But at +144 there's value in a decisionl. Most books have the over 9.5 at -125, since I think Vargas will win easily I took the + money...small.

gl bl

 

[gardenweasel]

the only thing is that these euro`s blown up records don`t always translate when they visit the states....

i saw joval twice...we all probably saw him against soliman and hernandez...and he`s not real mobile...didn`t have to be vs smallish hernandez and light punching soliman...so,i don`t know for a fact that he CAN`T move if necessary..

if he fights vargas like he fought these guys,i think he`ll get stopped..

soliman is a tough, busy guy...but he can`t punch...hernandez was fat...he was a smallish jr middle...fighting at middle..

soliman had joval hurt several times and almost stopped him...

the layoff is really a key....and joval looks like a fairly durable guy....

but,he hasn`t seen anyone the caliber of vargas...even though i`m no big vargas fan...

the only vargas fights that went the distance were vs winky wright(a loss,imo) and ike quartey....so he has a tendency to finish all but the elite guys he fights....

the layoff,as box says,is the thing that stops me from betting an inside the distance prop...

 

[johnnyb.]

G.W.
whats your play on fight?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Just played Vargas -498 at 5dimes in case anyone's interested.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Sweeet

Sweeet

Glad I loaded up on Vargas straight at the last minute, also hit the decision prop at + money.

Very profitable night