Boxing 3/30 - 3/31

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YTD Total: +4.30 units
2 units: 1-0 +2.0
1/2 unit: 21-10 +0.95
Dogs: 15-17 +2.50
LT's: 0-8 -0.55
S/H: 0-2 -0.60



3/30

Gonzalez over Pacheco -325...lay 1.60 to win .50 (winner)

Dogs

McNeil over Bundrage +180...lay .20 to win .35 (loser)

Sanchez over Bojorquez +185...lay .20 to win .35 (winner)

Gonzalez-Pacheco Under 10.5 +185...lay .20 to win .35 (winner)

Bami-Lauri Under 10.5 +275...lay .10 to win .30 (loser)


Parlay

Smith over Reid -260 (winner) / Drews over Branco -325...(-123)...lay .30 to win .25



gl bl
 
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gardenweasel

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"the bunker"
that sanchez /bojourqez line looks insane to me...sanchez should have beaten verno phillips....

and every time i see him,bojourqez is looking more and more like damaged goods...and lord,he`s god-awful slow....

sanchez has been fighting very well....

maybe bojourqez can hurt him and get him out...but,i like the way sanchez has been fighting....

wrong guy favored here?.....could be....getting better than 1.5 for 1?...i like it...wish i`d seen it earlier...

and i hope to hell that calzaghe is a little irked at that fantastic kessler performance last week....

`cause he`s got the perfect foil in front of him next week....a relatively light punching,smallish,straight forward plugger that`s fighting way out of his comfort zone in wales...

i think other than the contender(which was vs mostly much smaller guys),manfredo has fought outside new england once....

he`s been talking smack...and i hope that calzaghe realizes that it would behoove him to whack this con(pre)tender in front of an american audience....

manfredo called calzaghe a (slapper) and he`s full of himself after k.o.ing two bums as a super middleweight(pemberton and spina...both dogs).....

we have height,reach,speed,power,...venue.....the lefty/righty advantage......

he has a guy that`s easy to hit in front of him....a guy that`s used to fighting almost exclusively at home.....

you have his nemesis coming off a huge int` national t.v. win....
this should be a blow out...if calzaghe wants it....he may just dance his way to a win...if he does,shame on him....

he doesn`t have to k.o. manfredo...he can just batter him into submission....the talent/class gap here is enormous....

what more can you ask...i wish the under were 9.5 instead of 7.5....

so,i parlayed under 7.5 with mayweather by 12 rd decision.....and got better than 4-1 odds....

if calzaghe gets it done(and it`s not calzaghe`s style to go for broke early),we have a nice hedge to play with in the dlh fight....

a nice longshot wager....

theres a calzaghe inside the distance at -280.........i wouldn`t lay a flat-280.....but,this could be used in another parlay.....i will be shocked if calzaghe allows a ham n`egger like manfredo to go 12...

if calzaghe doesn`t toy with manfredo(who deserves a title shot about as much as larry holmes does),he`d better not get in with kessler....

i can`t imagine calzaghe not showing off here in his hometown....his last fight vs bika was uninspiring....

how is manfredo a top 10 super middle after wins over spina and pemberton?....

but,you never know...he may go through the motions...
 
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Flipper13

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so i guess you don't care for manfredo much?

What do you guys think about Frietas vs Diaz? I kinda like Frietas at +200 or better.
 

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Futures


4/28 Sturm over Castillejo -190...lay 1.9 to win 1 unit

4/28 Freitas over Diaz +200...lay .20 to win .40

5/5 DLH-Mayweather Draw +1400...lay .1 to win 1.4

6/2 Klitschko over Maskaev -210...lay 3.1 to win 1.5

6/9 Judah over Cotto +350...lay .20 to win .70

6/23 Castillo over Hatton +140...lay .35 to win .50


Pending Parlay (as posted)

Juarez -1500 (W)
Cotto -2075 (W)
Darchinyan -1525 (W)
Klitschko -1050 (W)
4/7 Calzaghe -1700........(-260)....lay 1.05 to win .40
 

The Sponge

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Weasal i think Manfredo has a great jaw that someday is gonna get him killed for taking to much of a beating when he should have been knocked out. Either that or the Latin snake hits like a pussy which could be.
 

gardenweasel

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"the bunker"
Weasal i think Manfredo has a great jaw that someday is gonna get him killed for taking to much of a beating when he should have been knocked out. Either that or the Latin snake hits like a pussy which could be.

sergio mora/...19-0....4 k.o.`s....

doesn`t mean that manfredo doesn`t have a decent chin....i`m sure he does....

he just hasn`t been in with this class...or this kind of talent at super middleweight...or any weight...

manfredo said he`s gonna knock calzaghe out?...then he said he`s gonna box him....

manfredo`s not gonna outbox calzaghe..that`s laughable.....and he won`t out-power him....he doesn`t have calzaghe`s natural size...calzaghe`s good feet....height...lefty stance....

he has nothing to win with here...he has a decent chin...and he`d better have....

under 7.5 is very iffy...that`s why it`s +140....and given calzaghe`s willingness to go the distance lately,it could go some rounds....

but,theres no excuse for calzaghe not to put a horrible beating on manfredo.....

a horrible beating...

with floyd by decision,i think it`s a fair longshot...

and i`m looking for a parlay partner for that inside the distance prop at -280...

i don`t know,though...calzaghe broke his left hand in the 3rd vs evans ashira(a guy he could/should have stopped).....

the hands could do us in...

manfredo may go into a survival shell...

that`s why it`s a 4-1 longshot parlay.....:shrug:

.
 
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Hey frankie, I'll give you my thoughts on Hill-Maske but only if you'll tell me why you're so damn interested in it

lol
 

frank s.

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Well, I see this fight as an abberation. Guess I'm always looking for some sort of weakness to exploit. Nothing really earth shattering. Guess it just caught my eye cause it's so bizzare.
 

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Smith stopped Reid in the 7th...the parlay is alive


frank...truth is I have no idea whats gonna happen in that fight. One thing's for sure, Maske won't stop Hill, so maybe Maske by decision +450 is the only play here. But I wouldn't waste my money on it, Hill should win easily, but its in Germany so you never know. The Under at +130 looks tempting, but I have a feeling these guys will do more holding and wrestling than punching. Maske has always been durable and Hill has never been a puncher, but at 43 yrs old after a 10 year layoff, you never know.


Hill by 12 round decision +149 might not be a bad bet


gl bl
 
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frank s.

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Box, thanks for the reply. And thanks for the Sanchez winner. I would not have bet it were it not for your post.
 

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No problem frank...glad you cashed


I know its late, not sure if you'll see this in time, but I'm making a small personal play on Hill by 12 round dec. at +160. Call me an action whore, but a guy I respect from another site is on Hill -300, the Over 9 -200, and Hill decision +170. This guy knows his sh*t and he's from Germany, says he expects Maske to be in very good shape.

When they fought 10 years ago, Hill won a split decision in Germany. Since then Hill has fought competitively once a year and stays in great shape, he looked solid in the weighin photos. Maske has been retired for ten years so I don't expect him to give a better showing than last time. The only question is, will he last all 12 rounds. With Hill being 43 as well, and not a big puncher, I could see Maske jabbing and holding his way through this thing. I'll take a small piece of that Hill dec. +160

gl bl
 
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BOXLOCKS

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Adding


3/31

Hill by 12 round decision +160...lay .15 to win .25


Parlay

Hisataka over Yoshida -240 / Valuev over Chagaev -300...(-112)...lay .30 to win .25


gl bl
 

BOXLOCKS

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Its over...Maske won by 12 round UD

Unbelievable

Somewhere in this thread I mentioned "Maske by decision +450 might be the only play here"
 

Riskbreaker

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I'm german and also didn't think he had it in him. Big big upset. People might talk about this years from now, i'm sure in Germany they will. He was a legend here 10 years back, made boxing popular in Germany and ended his career with his only loss... he sure is a legend now.
 

MayorgaFan

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I thought either guy could have won by a point. Those scorecards were filled out before the fight. Absolutely horrible. I don't argue that Maske won because it was damn close but those scorecards taint the legitimacy of the fight IMO.
 
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