Boxing 5/24 - 5/28

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +21.15 units
2 unit plays: 1-0 +2
1 unit plays: 7-1 +5.9
.5 unit plays: 35-16 +2.3
Dogs: 36-25 +10.95


5/27
Castanedo Jr. over Barrientes -200 1/2 unit (winner)

5/28
Chavez-Hernandez over 11.5 -230...lay 2.7 to win 1.2 (winner)

Dogs
Chavez over Hernandez +130...lay .3 to win .4 (winner)
Krasniqi by 12 rd decision +380...lay .3 to win 1.05 (loser)

Parlay
Chavez -500 / Marquez -620...lay .6 to win .25 (winner)


gl bl

 

[Flipper13]

Any opinions on the matchups for the contender on Tuesday night?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

To be honest I don't watch the show

With these fights being short rounded, I think both could go either way

 

[Flipper13]

oh there are now 7 rounds in each of the bouts tonight.

 

[Spreadking]

Alex Munoz is fighting in Argentina, don't know about his opponent though. his opponent is unbeaten, and at +300 at home, just might pull the upest. will look more into it.

boxlocks,

I also like
Castaneda Jr
Jesus Chavez

Hernandez gets those headbutt cuts in every fight, so a tech dec wouldn't surprise me, which could hurt an over bet. just throwing in my 1 cent.

good luck guys

 

[gardenweasel]

hernandez/chavez are so similar,it`s scary..they will more than likely be in one another`s face the whole night...

looks like a toss-up....i`m a little surprised there`s a favorite here...maybe because hernandez has fought a little heavier a few times...and the fact that he went the distance with mayweather...

mirror images...should be a great war...a battle of attrition..

not "great" fighters...but,world class fighters..tough guys..

this one should be headlining this show...not the chavez/robinson joke...

 

[frank s.]

I like Castaneda, and Hernandez. I will lay off the latter, but am on Casta.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Spread
I know there's a risk of cuts in this fight but thats the only way I see this being stopped short. Both have excellent chins, very tough guys, and neither has much power. I'll take my chances if I think a cut is the only way I can lose.

Chavez looked better against Morales with one arm than Hernandez did with both arms. I think Hernandez is very limited in talent. Chavez is the more skilled fighter, imo.

Castaneda should win easily, especially in Cali

Let me know what you come up with on Rogue Ler, if he can take a big punch the backyard decision is definitely a possibility and worth a small shot at +380.

gl bl

 

[Spreadking]

I put 2.5 units to win .5 on Rafael Marquez at -500
Vargas was dominated by Herbirto Ruiz this past April. Marquez will be to fast and too strong. Marquez has that weak chin, but Vargas is no big banger. Marquez all the way.

good luck guys

 

[BOXLOCKS]

gl Spread

I wanted to play Marquez -450 when it opened at Pinny but I really liked the Chavez over and I didn't want to risk the potential winnings on a heavy favorite. The line on Marquez is suspiciously low, scares me a little, but then again Lucas -450 over Crawford and Gatti -500 over Leija were curiously low lines also.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

Parlay
Marquez over Vargas -620 / Chavez over Robinson -500...lay .6 to win .25


gl bl

 

[Spreadking]

word on Roque Ler from a guy in Buenos Aires..

"Mu?oz gave the weight in 2nd attempt, today. Ler is a good boxer, against Rinc?n Miranda did not go of favorite but he wins by KO in the 7th round, in a great fight. He is strong, he does not have punch to win by KO of a single blow, wins by accumulation of blows."

he follows close enough to know munoz made weight, so probably maybe an insider ? Munoz doesn't like strong boxers. If Roque Ler can keep his strength over 12 rounds, he could stop Munoz late. I thought Martin Castillo was content to box for 12 rounds, he did drop Munoz twice, but he never went for the kayo really. I think I will lay just a little dash on Roque Ler. just for fun

 

[gardenweasel]

be careful with the marquez/vargas over.....he`s gone rounds with a big puncher like jhonny gonzales....

but....

vargas uses his head like a weapon....alex baba...gerson guerrero...jhonny gonzales...martin castillo and cualht.gomez....even tapia received a severely swollen eye in the first round from vargas` head...

not much power...but a solid body puncher....a good chin...looks short of short in the ring...

he was actually leading tapia early before the fight was stopped in the 8th and declared a technical draw....

so,if marquez starts slowly and gets cut,it could get dicey....

vargas will use that head ....

i love marquez` style...he seems to get better and better..should be way to much for vargas..barring a cut or something odd happening...

i expect him to use that odd uppercut early and often...

vargas is a tough nut......just don`t think he has the power to exploit marquez?? chin.....

 

[BOXLOCKS]

be careful with the marquez/vargas over

Just so there's no confusion, I didn't play the Marquez-Vargas over.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

5/28 Dog
Krasniqi wins by 12 round decision +380...lay .2 to win .75

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I'm pulling my play on Krasniqi straight and replacing it with the previously mentioned Krasniqi by 12 round decision prop.

Yes, I still like Krasniqi straight and it obviously has a better chance of winning than the prop. But I like the value of the decision prop and its redundant to play both of them so I'll take my chances with the extremely generous + money.


Adding a little to...

Krasniqi by 12 round decision +290...add .1 to win .3

Final play on prop...lay .3 to win 1.05

gl bl

 

[gardenweasel]

you can get "goofi" inside the distance at 5 dimes at a little over +200....

if you are worried about "goofi" stopping kras....

would be tough for "goofi" to get a decision unless he strings a couple knockdowns together... imo...

g.l.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Great Start

Great Start

Castaneda Jr wins by 12 round MD

Congrats frank, spread, and all Cast backers

I put a sh*tload on this one!

 

[KillerInstinct]

you're the man, box

 

[gardenweasel]

goofi gets ktfo in the 6th........

go figure...lol