Boxing 8/18 - 8/19

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +0.35 units
1 unit plays: 6-4 -3.00
1/2 unit plays: 62-29 -3.75
Dogs: 43-63 +7.10


8/18 Dogs

Barnes over Maddalone +500...lay .10 to win .50 (loser)

Barnes-Maddalone Under 9.5 +145...lay .20 to win .30 (loser)


Holyfield-Bates Over 4.5 +159...lay .20 to win .30 (loser)

Scalp: Holy-Bates Under +118...lay .15 to win .20 (winner)


Parlays

Williams over Mitchell -365 (winner) / Kessler over Beyer -720...lay 1.2 to win .45

Williams -400 (winner) / Kessler -650 / Mayweather -475...(-135)...lay .35 to win .25



gl bl

 

[gardenweasel]

very nice.....like it alot....i see that williams is only -400 at 5 dimes....from your return,it looks like you meant to key -400....

i`m taking a small shot with sobral vs unbeatable chuck liddell in the ufc on the 26th....at +300....

liddell`s on a roll...and he`s beaten sobral before....

but sobral is on a bit of a roll himself...he`s a very tough nut..i finally expect to see a guy that will go the through hell to get liddell on the ground....

 

[BOXLOCKS]

No I just shot my load too early...

5dimes opened Williams -600...with Kessler the odds came down to -300

Williams went down to -475 this morning, I played the parlay again at -250

Now the line is down to -365...getting -225 on the parlay


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding to the parlay...

Williams -365 / Kessler -720...lay .45 to win .20


Final play...lay 1.2 to win .45


gl bl

 

[amhlilhaus]

very nice.....like it alot....i see that williams is only -400 at 5 dimes....from your return,it looks like you meant to key -400....

i`m taking a small shot with sobral vs unbeatable chuck liddell in the ufc on the 26th....at +300....

liddell`s on a roll...and he`s beaten sobral before....

but sobral is on a bit of a roll himself...he`s a very tough nut..i finally expect to see a guy that will go the through hell to get liddell on the ground....

I like sobral also, chuck better not look ahead to silva and their last fight I thought sobral didn't get a chance, if you can avoid chucks standup for a round or two, make him work to avoid takedowns or even get him down a couple of times babalu has a GREAT chance to submit him. I just hope pinny releases the line that high, but still sobral at + money is good.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Futures

Barrera -175 over Juarez...lay .90 to win .50

Morales +220 over Pacquiao...lay .2 to win .45

Woods -105 over Johnson...lay .30 to win .30

Casamayor over Corrales +230...lay .10 to win .25


Parlay

Mayweather -475 / Kessler -650...(-250)...lay 2.0 to win .80

Pending parlay...

Cherry -650 / Kessler -720...lay .80 to win .25


gl bl

 

[amhlilhaus]

hey box, I think I found a decent scalp oppurtunity, diego sanchez +125 to parisiyan, I think the bandwagon will jump on it and push him to the same amount of chalk by fight night.

also took bates +1200,

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Thanks for the heads up

I played Bates very small myself


gl bl

 

[amhlilhaus]

bates this morning is +700, I wonder If the +1200 was the opener. and you have to take a guy like that small, I think holy's done and liable to be upset regardless of who he fights. (that hasn't been 'compensated' beforehand)

 

[frank s.]

In regards to your futures, I really believe this last fight between Morales and Pacquiao will be Erik Morales' swan song. If Manny trains as he is supposed to, I will play him to win, very possibly by TKO, or KO. Morales win start out like gangbusters, but I feel the wars past will manifest themselves in fatigue and the punches will take their toll. He will give as good as he gets, but by the 8th round, he will be noticeably worn down. Also, I may even consider Rocky as a value play, but that I ain't sure of at all.

 

[gardenweasel]

as if it weren`t bad enough that tyson bit holifield`s ear off......

now he has to fight norman bates?.....

who`s holi`s matchmaker?.......charlie manson?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

bates this morning is +700, I wonder If the +1200 was the opener. and you have to take a guy like that small, I think holy's done and liable to be upset regardless of who he fights. (that hasn't been 'compensated' beforehand)

+1250 was the opener I believe


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Barnes over Maddalone +500...lay .10 to win .50



Added a play to my futures posted above


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Holyfield-Bates Over 4.5 +159...lay .20 to win .30


gl bl

 

[amhlilhaus]

I didn't get the scalp like I thought, it held above sanchez as a favorite, still like him though will just take a little off it. I think their ground skills are even but sanchez is more aggresive, and that will be the deciding factor.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Parlay

Williams -400 / Kessler -650 / Mayweather -475...(-135)...lay .35 to win .25


gl bl

 

[s_dooley24]

Box just curious as to why someone would play Bates +690 (pinny) when you can get him at

Will J. Bates win by K.O., T.K.O. or D.Q?
07:00 PM 9 Yes +1200

Fri 8/18 Will J. Bates win by Decision?
07:00 PM 11 Yes +1800


If you were to put 100 on each prop you would be covered for everything besides a draw.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Here's how it breaks down...

If you lay 100 on each prop, and Holyfield wins, you lose 200 so that is the risk amount

If Bates wins by ko,tko,dq...you would win 1200 but lose 100 on the other prop so you profit 1100

If Bates wins by decision...you win 1800 but lose 100 on the other prop so you profit 1700


In summary...

You are risking 200 to win 1100 (+550 odds) on a Bates stoppage

OR

You are risking 200 to win 1700 (+850 odds) on a Bates decision


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Scalp...this one is too good to pass up

Scalp...this one is too good to pass up

Adding


Holyfield-Bates Under 4.5 +118...lay .15 to win .20


Already played the Over at +159...so I'm risking enough on the Under to cover the other bet, sets up free cash on the Over


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Late Play

Late Play

Adding


Maddalone-Barnes Under 9.5 +145...lay .20 to win .30


Available at 5dimes

gl bl