Boxing 8/25 - 8/27

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +18.35 units
2 unit plays: 1-0 +2.0
1 unit plays: 8-2 +5.25
.5 unit plays: 55-27 -.55
Dogs: 54-56 +11.65


8/26

McCline-Pannell fight won't start round 5 -160...lay .3 to win .2 (winner)

Whitaker-Monaco fight won't start round 7 -120...lay .25 to win .2 (winner)

Dogs

Diaz-Davis over 9.5 +103...lay .50 (winner)

Mercer over Briggs +264...lay .1 to win .25 (loser)

McCline-Pannell under 2.5 +118...lay .2 to win .25 (loser)

Bell-Rothman under 9.5 +115...lay .2 to win .25 (loser)


gl bl

 

[armageto]

I like the under in the Bell fight also. I thought Briggs was WAY to heavy at a fav with those odds. Not saying that Mercer is the best, but he has a strong jaw and still has some pop left. Briggs looked gased after 2 rounds in his last fight.

I'll stay away from the McCline/Pannell under. Pannell has been a walking punching bag the last few years, but McCline is never that agressive enough to finish someone that early. I'll stay away from that one.......

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I'll stay away from the McCline/Pannell under. Pannell has been a walking punching bag the last few years, but McCline is never that agressive enough to finish someone that early. I'll stay away from that one.......

McCline was very aggressive against Byrd, knocked his ass down in the 2nd.
When's the last time you saw Byrd dropped in the 2nd round?

Prior to the Byrd fight, McCline stopped Llewelyn in the 1st round, seems pretty aggressive to me.

McCline also stopped Shufford in the 3rd round

For some reason, he wasn't aggressive against Brock, it cost him the fight and he knows it.
I expect McCline to change strategies here, esp against Pannell.

McCline needs to win impressively, his stock is not exactly high right now.
If this goes past 2.5, it won't be an impressive win, and he knows it.

The under 2.5 would have cashed in ALL of Pannells last 6 fights.

Gotta love the + money here.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

So much for the + money on the Mccline under

-102 and -117 now

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding

Reyes-Levya under 7.5 +110...lay .25 to win .3

gl bl

 

[armageto]

I'm a little lost, you said that the under at 2.5 would have cashed out on his last six fights. Didn't a few of those end in the 2nd, so how could that cash out? I also thought he went 3 with Mercer. Either way, I don't have that much faith in McCline to win in one round. I don't know if you saw that Liewelyn fight or not, but I box better than that guy. I'm not being sarcastic or making jokes in anyway. He might have been one of thwe worst boxers I have ever seen.............

 

[armageto]

Adding

Reyes-Levya under 7.5 +110...lay .25 to win .3

gl bl

Didn't they already go 12 rounds a few years back with Levya winning?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Didn't they already go 12 rounds a few years back with Levya winning?

That was their first fight

In their last fight, Reyes stopped him in the 3rd


Levya took this fight on 2 weeks notice

gl bl

 

[armageto]

Thanks for that input..I have to change around something on the other board since you told me that!!!!

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I'm a little lost, you said that the under at 2.5 would have cashed out on his last six fights. Didn't a few of those end in the 2nd, so how could that cash out? I also thought he went 3 with Mercer. Either way, I don't have that much faith in McCline to win in one round. I don't know if you saw that Liewelyn fight or not, but I box better than that guy. I'm not being sarcastic or making jokes in anyway. He might have been one of thwe worst boxers I have ever seen.............

What makes you think Pannell is better than Llewelyn?


Geto

There's a few things you need to learn before questioning my plays on a very smart boxing board, This will save you from further embarassment...

2.5 rounds means two full rounds and then another half, in other words, 1:30 of round 3.

Yes, some of those fights did end in the 2nd, which means they easily hit the under 2.5

Yes, he did go into the 3rd round against Mercer. Unfortunatly for him and you, it was stopped 50 seconds into the round, which means the under 2.5 would have cashed.

I don't have much faith in McCline winning in 1 round either, which is why I took the under 2.5

gl bl

 

[armageto]

What makes you think Pannell is better than Llewelyn?


Geto

There's a few things you need to learn before questioning my plays on a very smart boxing board, This will save you from further embarassment...

2.5 rounds means two full rounds and then another half, in other words, 1:30 of round 3.

Yes, some of those fights did end in the 2nd, which means they easily hit the under 2.5

Yes, he did go into the 3rd round against Mercer. Unfortunatly for him and you, it was stopped 50 seconds into the round, which means the under 2.5 would have cashed.

I don't have much faith in McCline winning in 1 round either, which is why I took the under 2.5

gl bl

I was under the wrong thinking, sorry about that. I assumed that 2.5 rounds was 1:30 of the 2nd round. I'm new to this online gambling stuff, sorry about that. I've been making some bad bets than for a while looking at wrong lines.... :mj07:

 

[armageto]

Ok, I don't think I'm a total idiot now. I asked my sportsbook again and they told me 2.5 rounds, for them, would be 1:30 of the 2nd round and below. I guess that's just the way they do their betting?

 

[armageto]

I'm lost now, my sportsbook live help told me it's 1:30 or below in that round from 2 different people. Over at 5dimes, one person said the same another, told me they just have the .5 so you won't get a push and the fight has to end in that round. Box, you said it was 1:30 of the next round. I'm lost here....................

 

[armageto]

OK, I think I got to the bottom of this at last. It seems your right Box and I've been just getting alot of bad advice from online help. I find it odd that I've been betting for 6 months online and I've never won or lost when I didn't think I should have. I guess it just worked out that way. Thanks for your help box. Sorry for killing this thread...... :-(

 

[Spreadking]

feeling crazy this week

Rothmann .3 units to win 1.2 (+400)
Diaz/Davis under 9.5 .2 to win .18

I don't understand the McCline under prop not being a favorite. I bet the McCline under when he fought Llewylen. (my memory is not bad). should end early if McCline wants it to.

Leyva came back and fought Ivan Calderon tough. Reyes had the robbery in Indonesia of his belt vs Rachaman. He then lost to Soto, I think because he didn't really care about that fight. This could go the distance, if Reyes is still feeling down over losing his belt. Leyva might have got some confidence back after 2 kayo losses vs Barrera and Reyes.

 

[armageto]

So far, with my new understanding of the over/unders here, I took the under in the Bell/Rothman fight, the under in the McCline fight, and I made a small play in the under of the Mercer/Briggs fight...

I wanted to know what everyone's thoughts were for the under of the Urango/Eason fight and the Green/Muller fight. I notice that Muller was only really a six round fighter. Maybe him having to last until the middle of the 9th round will be new territory for him, and it's + money. I was thinking of making a small play on one of these two fights......

 

[Spreadking]

Green is a very good puncher. So if his opponent is a nobody, I would expect him to stop him earlier than later. Haven't checked Muller stats myself.

Don't sleep on Eason. Even a Bojado bomb he didn't see coming, he got up from, and the kid can hit. If he can keep the fight on the outside, he has a chance to win. but Urango is a good pressure fighter. I can see it going the distance. A kayo win for Urango would be very impressive. I have seen Urango the last few times out.

 

[armageto]

Green is a very good puncher. So if his opponent is a nobody, I would expect him to stop him earlier than later. Haven't checked Muller stats myself.

Don't sleep on Eason. Even a Bojado bomb he didn't see coming, he got up from, and the kid can hit. If he can keep the fight on the outside, he has a chance to win. but Urango is a good pressure fighter. I can see it going the distance. A kayo win for Urango would be very impressive. I have seen Urango the last few times out.

I've seen Eason, but I've never seen Urango, at least from what I remember off hand. What I read is just like you say that he is a good pressure fighter. I checked his record and he really didn't have any good opponents so I really could get an idea of how good he was. The Green fight went down to -120, so I guess alot of people are going with the under there. I might make a small play on it. I might just stick to betting on that bad PPV to keep me interested in it. Either way, I'll do updates every couple of rounds on Boxrec......

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Diaz/Davis under 9.5 .2 to win .18

Spread

You know I respect your opinion, tell me why you like the Diaz-Davis under?

Thanks and gl this weekend

bl

 

[kneifl]

Like that Mercer play a lot! I don't think Briggs has a snoballs chance in hell of winning that fight and the line really puzzles me. I know Mercer has aged through the years, but come on Briggs is nothing special.

kneifl