Boxing 9/1 - 9/2

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boxlox23
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YTD Total: +1.35 units
1 unit plays: 7-4 -2.25
1/2 unit plays: 63-30 -3.85
Dogs: 45-65 +7.45



9/1

Augustus-Burton Under 9.5 +170...lay .20 to win .35 (winner)


9/2

Woods over Johnson -105...to win .30 (winner)

Toney over Peters +125...lay .20 to win .25 (loser)


Parlay

Augustus over Burton -270 (winner) / Kessler over Beyer -650...(-170)...lay .50 to win .30

M'Baye-Balbi Over 11.5 -240 / Kessler -650...(-157)...lay .40 to win .25 (loser)



I played Peters +140 a while back, now Toney +132 is available. Toney weighed in at 233 which is decent for him, so I'm definitly scalping, and recommending a small play on the live dog.


gl bl
 
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boxlox23
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Futures

Barrera -175 over Juarez...lay .90 to win .50

Morales +220 over Pacquiao...lay .2 to win .45

Casamayor over Corrales +230...lay .10 to win .25

Parlay...Kessler -650 / Mayweather -475...(-250)...lay 2.0 to win .80


Pending Parlays

Cherry -650 (winner) / Kessler -720...lay .80 to win .25

Williams over Mitchell -365 (winner) / Kessler over Beyer -720...lay 1.2 to win .45

Williams -400 (winner) / Kessler -650 / Mayweather -475...(-135)...lay .35 to win .25


gl bl
 
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boxlox23
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A few quik thoughts on Toney-Peters...


At 240+ pounds, Toney's stamina and work rate should be a BIG concern. Like CapperKing said, Toney was breathing very heavily during workouts and reports have indicated that Toney refuses to train properly (cardio) saying that he's not preparing to run a marathon.

Peters has the right idea, says he plans on hitting Toney everywhere he can land. Which means he won't be headhunting all night and wasting energy trying to hit Toneys elusive head. Peters should go to the body early and often, that flabby gut ain't going anywhere. With Toney being so out of shape and having that soft midsection, if Peters directs those heavy punches to the body, he could break Toney down over 12 rounds.

However...Toney is by far the better fighter here, and Peters best punch (the overhand right to the back of the head, usually in the form of a rabbit punch) is totally illegal. The Toney camp (and the rest of the world) realize that most of Peters ko's have come from those kind of punches. Roach and team Toney have already warned the referee and commision of these tactics.

The outcome of this fight will be influenced by what punches the ref allows Peters to get away with. If Peters is not allowed to hit to the back of the head, he'll have to break Toney's body down as he's not skilled enough to land clean punches to Toney's face.


I'll post more on this fight after the weigh-in

gl bl
 
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armageto

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Great night for sportsbook to be down :shrug:

Hopefully lines don't change to much by 2morrow. I like your call on E.A. and the under. I think Peter beats Toney. Toney quits on his stool, citing and "injury". Ghost beats Aiken as well....
 
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amhlilhaus

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I'm amazed that toney's gotten as far as he has with his conditioning. they say he won't run, just spars rounds and that's gotta catch up to him eventually, well his refusal to limit what he eats while he 'trains' has a lot to do with it.

I think the biggest question is will peters be disciplined enough to stick to a gameplan when he will miss consitently to toney's head, will he become frustrated and start swinging away just dying to land one good punch to the little bobbing basketball head to see what happens? it goes two ways, toney by dec or peter by ko.
 
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badjab

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Toney is by far the better fighter here
Click to expand...

Toney quits on his stool
Click to expand...

I agree on both counts. Seems strange that Toney is the underdog here...by now he should be at least considered a legitimate heavyweight (especially considering the current state of the division).

I don't have a lot of logic to support this conclusion, but I do think that Peter will prove to be too much for Toney to handle. Toney can stand right in front of you and he's still virtually impossible to hit cleanly...however over the course of 12 rounds, he will take plenty of shots...if Peter doesn't go head hunting, I think he wears him down.

In any case, for the sake of the division, I hope that Peter wins. I'll be at the fight to root him on.
 
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amhlilhaus

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what gives? they don't have fight props up at 5dimes or pinny, yet I found them on sportsbook?
let's go people you have props for friday night fights but not showtime championship boxing?

btw it's peter by ko 2-1 and toney dec 3-2
 
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boxlox23
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haus

If you have an account at Olympic or Bet365, play the Green-Linton Under 8.5 +100. You can get the Over +106 at pinny right now or waite to see if line leeps moving.


Btw...I take it you missed my reply in Scott's thread about getting my e-mail from Jack?


gl bl
 
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gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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as i said in "felonious frankie`s" thread,i like augustus and the under.........i think burton`s shot......to many wars...to many beatings......and that elder loss....whoa.....

an excellent card tonight...

it`s up to augustus....does he play...or does he want payback for that horrible decision in the first fight....

i rode on woods with you when the odds dropped,although i`m skeptical...

it`s on me.....

g.l.
 
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boxlox23
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I hear ya...

Johnson weighed in at 172 and everyone's making a big deal about it, but the guy fought at 168 for most of his career. He knew conditioning was a must to win a decision in England. I just think Johnson is not as sharp as he once was, and Woods is peaking right now. Anything close goes to Woods for sure, so at even money, at this point in Johnson's career, I'll take the hometown guy who is very focused and prepared for this fight.

gl bl
 
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amhlilhaus

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BOXLOCKS said:
haus

If you have an account at Olympic or Bet365, play the Green-Linton Under 8.5 +100. You can get the Over +106 at pinny right now or waite to see if line leeps moving.


Btw...I take it you missed my reply in Scott's thread about getting my e-mail from Jack?


gl bl
Click to expand...

private messages have been turned off, I don't even know how to contact jack, other than posting and logging on I'm an internet retard, notice I have no avatar.
 
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